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cesmonkey

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3261263/more-than-3-billion-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/

    Quote

    Capabilities in this package include:

    • 50 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles with 500 TOW anti-tank missiles and 250,000 rounds of 25mm ammunition;
    • 100 M113 Armored Personnel Carriers;
    • 55 Mine Resistant Ambush Protected Vehicles (MRAPs);
    • 138 High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs);
    • 18 155mm self-propelled Howitzers and 18 ammunition support vehicles;
    • 70,000 155mm artillery rounds; 
    • 500 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds;
    • 1,200 155mm rounds of Remote Anti-Armor Mine (RAAM) Systems;
    • 36 105mm towed Howitzers and 95,000 105mm artillery rounds;
    • 10,000 120mm mortar rounds;
    • Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);
    • RIM-7 missiles for air defense;
    • 4,000 Zuni aircraft rockets; 
    • Approximately 2,000 anti-armor rockets;
    • Sniper rifles, machine guns, and ammunition for grenade launchers and small arms;
    • Claymore anti-personnel munitions;
    • Night vision devices and optics;
    • Spare parts and other field equipment. 

     

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by cesmonkey

    Another confirmation of the Bradleys and Marders:

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/01/05/joint-press-statement-following-a-call-between-the-president-joe-biden-and-the-chancellor-of-the-federal-republic-of-germany-olaf-scholz/

     

    Quote

    President Biden and Chancellor Scholz expressed their common determination to continue to provide the necessary financial, humanitarian, military and diplomatic support to Ukraine for as long as needed. To this end, the United States intends to supply Ukraine with Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles, and Germany intends to provide Ukraine with Marder Infantry Fighting Vehicles. Both countries plan to train Ukrainian forces on the respective systems.

    https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3801081-us-germany-to-supply-ukraine-with-more-fighting-vehicles/

    Quote

    The Bradleys will be included as part of “another round of security assistance for Ukraine” anticipated on Friday, the Pentagon’s top spokesperson Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder told reporters later on Thursday. 

     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Grossman said:

    In July 2022 US Congress gave approval for the US Air Force to train UKR pilots on F15's, F16's and other US aircraft. There's about 600 UKR folk hanging around in Texas at various Air Force bases.  With a 3 month minimum training period the first cohort should be ready for service. 

    What are your sources for this information?

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by cesmonkey

    Details of the aid to be provided to Ukraine in the new budget act passed by Congress:
    https://www.appropriations.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/FY23 BILL HIGHLIGHTS_UKRAINE.pdf

    I'll paste in just the military portion below:
     

    Quote

    MILITARY AND SECURITY ASSISTANCE

    • Provides $19.8 billion in authorities and associated funding to arm and equip Ukraine and NATO Allies to counter Russian aggression, rejecting the Administration’s request to throttle down support for the Ukrainian war effort.
    • Provides in excess of $6.2 billion for the Department of Defense to sustain the surge of U.S. forces and operations in Europe in response to Russia’s actions.
    • Provides $687 million to accelerate domestic munitions production capacity at Army ammunition plants.
    • Provides $300 million to support the Ukrainian police and border guards’ efforts to protect civilians, rescue victims of Russia’s persistent attacks against civilian infrastructure and cities, and defend Ukraine’s sovereign territory.
    • Includes $126.3 million for the National Nuclear Security Administration for nuclear nonproliferation, counterterrorism and counterproliferation activities in and related to Ukraine.
    • Provides $105 million for the clearance of landmines and other explosive remnants of war to protect civilians and troops and allow for Ukrainian citizens to return to areas liberated from Russian control.
    • Provides $50 million to address cybersecurity threats emanating from Russia and other malign actors.
    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Additional info from DoD press release on new US contributions to Ukraine:
    https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3252782/185-billion-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
     

    Quote

    Under USAI, the DoD will also provide Ukraine with:

    45,000 152mm artillery rounds;
    20,000 122mm artillery rounds;
    50,000 122mm GRAD rockets;
    100,000 rounds of 125mm tank ammunition;
    SATCOM terminals and services;
    Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment.

     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Some details were providing on the expanded US training program for Ukraine in the Pentagon's December 15th briefing:
    https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3248297/pentagon-press-secretary-air-force-brig-gen-pat-ryder-holds-an-on-camera-press/

     

    Quote

    Q:  Two quick questions.  On the training, when will the extended training begin?  And then can you just give a sense of what -- what combined arms maneuver training would look like beyond the -- the individual systems?  Can you just sort of fill that in a bit for us?  

    GEN. RYDER:  Sure.  Thanks, Oren. So I won't get into specific dates other than to say we expect the training the starting in the January timeframe.  What you can expect to see is that we will, as mentioned, bring in battalion-sized units.  And it will begin with things like live fire exercises followed by squad-, platoon-, and company-level training that will then culminate in battalion-level maneuver training.  

    Importantly, it will also include battalion headquarters staff training.  So the way to think about this is as you show up for your training, first you're doing the -- the classroom exercises to -- to better understand what it is that you're going to learn, right?  It's going to be crawl-walk-run.  And then you're going to shift to the practical application, starting from the -- from the squad-platoon to the battalion level of applying these concepts, culminating in a field exercise where you're getting into more advanced training scenarios, how to respond to situations.

    So again, you -- you've heard Secretary Austin talk about that the equipment is important but it's how to take that equipment and apply it in the field in a way that's going to enable you to do combined arms and achieve decisive effects on the battlefield.  And so this training will -- will contribute to that.  Thanks.

     

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    So, we have a right not to ASK support, but to DEMAND. From you, guarantors of our sovereignty, who gave us toilet paper of Budapesht Memorandum in exchange on our disarming. 

    Tragically, for Ukraine, they shouldn't have trusted that we (America) felt bound by the Budapest Memorandum.  In hindsight, they should have insisted that the U.S. Senate ratify a treaty with real obligations before they gave up their nuclear weapons.

    Here's what Wikipedia says:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum#Analysis

    Quote

    The Budapest Memorandum was negotiated at political level, but it is not entirely clear whether the instrument is devoid entirely of legal provisions. It refers to assurances, but unlike guarantees, it does not impose a legal obligation of military assistance on its parties.[1][46] According to Stephen MacFarlane, a professor of international relations, "It gives signatories justification if they take action, but it does not force anyone to act in Ukraine."[45] In the US, neither the George H. W. Bush administration nor the Clinton administration was prepared to give a military commitment to Ukraine, and they did not believe the US Senate would ratify an international treaty and so the memorandum was adopted in more limited terms.[46] The memorandum has a requirement of consultation among the parties "in the event a situation arises that raises a question concerning the ... commitments" set out in the memorandum.[47] Whether or not the memorandum sets out legal obligations, the difficulties that Ukraine has encountered since early 2014 may cast doubt on the credibility of future security assurances that are offered in exchange for nonproliferation commitments.[48] Regardless, the United States publicly maintains that "the Memorandum is not legally binding", calling it a "political commitment".[21]

     

    3

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Interesting ...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-141
     

    Quote

    On 15 March, an undisclosed source close to the MoD of Croatia was cited in the Croatian news magazine Nacional as saying that the investigation had concluded that the crashed drone belonged to the Armed Forces of Ukraine and carried a bomb that was meant for striking Russia's positions, but the drone had strayed off course and crashed after it ran out of fuel.[11]

     

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by cesmonkey

     A little bit dated - from last week - but I found this podcast analyzing the failures of the Russian Air Force in Ukraine very interesting:
    https://podcast.silverado.org/episodes/how-the-russian-air-force-failed-in-ukraine

    And this is the report this podcast episode is referring to:
    https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/special-resources/russian-air-war-and-ukrainian-requirements-air-defence

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