cesmonkey
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Posts posted by cesmonkey
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6 hours ago, The_MonkeyKing said:
Cannot solve the helicopter problem within contested or mutually denied airspace.
Those things scoot and fire >10km away from "hull down" positions.
This is one way NATO would have handled large Soviet formations with extensive AA.
Fortunately these are not even close to the threat and volume of us army rotatory wing.
I wonder if an attacking force could lay a smoke screen ahead of their lead elements that might obscure the helicopters sensors enough that they couldn't target you from 10 km away?
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Looks like the Ukrainians are going to make another push tonight, according to this Russian blogger:
https://t.me/s/vrogov
https://t.me/vrogov/10204
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Everything suggests that today the main work will be in the area of the settlement. Rabotino, Orekhovsky district, Zaporozhye region.
From this:
https://t.me/wargonzo/13124
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️The situation in Zaporozhye at 00:30 Moscow time️
Scattered information comes from the line of contact.
Vladimir Rogov reports - away we go. Andryukha Rudenko reports massive artillery preparation, however, in the direction of work of the sources of the @wargonzo project , artillery is operating normally from both sides. And this is understandable - the situation on different flanks can differ radically.
I think it means there are three different Russian bloggers from slightly different sections of the Zaporizhzhia front line: -
33 minutes ago, Eddy said:
Worth a read I think. Seems to be a fair and balanced report.
This is just a transcript from a video from the Reporting From Ukraine YouTube channel.
I like watching his daily videos, but they definitely have a Ukraine is "doing everything smartly" bias, as opposed to the War in Ukraine YouTube channel which has a "unfortunately, the Ukraine military leadership is brain-dead" bias. -
Another War Gonzo update, for those that care:
https://t.me/wargonzo/13118Quote️The situation in Zaporozhye at 19:00 Moscow time️
On the Orekhov-Rabotino line, our troops managed to drive the enemy out of half of the positions he occupied. Currently, the fighting continues.
The enemy actively uses mortars and tanks, but mainly infantry. By the nature of its work and equipment, we can say that the APU threw the most trained units into battle.
The precise work of the Russian artillery today added to the number of destroyed armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
We continue to follow developments on the Zaporizhia front.
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War Gonzo again:
https://t.me/wargonzo/13094Quote️Urgently️The situation in Zaporozhye at 6:30 Moscow time️
As we wrote earlier, the enemy again stepped up offensive operations by nightfall.
The fighting continued all night, as a result of which the enemy, with massive support from artillery and armored vehicles, managed to occupy several positions of our troops in the Orekhov-Tokmak direction.
The situation is really serious. Neo-Nazis by their actions are trying to create a threat of encirclement of some of our advanced groups in one of the directions. The activity of the battles is extremely high.
Recall that during yesterday's roll-on, the enemy was also able to cling to our advanced positions, but failed to gain a foothold on them.
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After several hours ago, saying "Our troops managed to recapture the captured positions. The enemy rolled back to the starting lines", War Gonzo now says:
Quote️Zaporozhye️At night, the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Orekhovo do not stop activity️
In the direction of Orekhov-Tokmak, despite the relative decline in offensive activity, the enemy, nevertheless, sends 15-20 people every hour to again cling to the advanced positions of our troops.
Enemy artillery is still constantly working, so, according to the fighters, arrivals happen almost every minute.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the help of drones, controls the delivery / approach routes and immediately sends artillery shells there.
Also, two enemy tanks were seen, which roll out to our positions and strike.
Despite the failure of the first attempt at a quick offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, nothing has been completed on this sector of the front. The boys are in for a tough night. We wish them good luck.
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https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/08/politics/ukraine-forces-resistance/index.html
QuoteViacheslav Ratynskyi/Reuters
CNN
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Ukrainian forces have suffered losses in heavy equipment and soldiers as they met greater than expected resistance from Russian forces in their first attempt to breach Russian lines in the east of the country in recent days, two senior US officials tell CNN.One US official described the losses – which include US supplied MRAP armored personnel vehicles as “significant.”
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Interesting tidbit from this Russian telegram post:
https://t.me/dva_majors/17241QuoteLet's pay attention , the enemy started mining the paths with anti-tank mines DM-31 (magnetic anti-tank, reacts to metal !!!) in the direction of Novoe, Novaya Pavlovka, Verbovoye, Ilchenko, Sladkaya Balka.
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The interview took place on June 2nd:
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WarGonzo is busy providing updates today. The latest:
https://t.me/wargonzo/13053Excerpt:
Quote️APU involved in the attack on Zaporozhye up to 120 pieces of equipment️
In summary, they don't think it's over but the Russians have held the Ukrainians back so far.
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If you watch this Russian War Monitor video, the experts on their panel are essentially arguing that only the people in control of the dam could have blown it. The host doesn't like where this discussion is going and says they need to take a break and change topics.
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Another video from the Austrian colonel:
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Further update from Rybar. Says the Ukrainians were turned back.
https://t.me/rybar/48195
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During today's attack, Ukrainian units lost more than 15 armored vehicles , including more than seven tanks, and more than 100 people were killed and wounded. At the same time, as the South Wind correctly noted , the Armed Forces of Ukraine still did not use the brigades of the 9th and 10th army corps that make up the strategic reserve. Now the concentration of the enemy is noted near Kamensky and in the area of Stepovoe, and forces are being transferred from the Kherson region to Zaporozhye. So in the next 24 hours, we should expect another attempt to storm the positions of the RF Armed Forces.
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Fierce battles unfolded in Zaporozhye near the city of Orekhov. Nothing more is known yet. One can only assume that after an auxiliary-distracting strike in the Volnovakha-Mariupol direction (as I already wrote - in terms of the number of forces and means brought into battle, the enemy’s attacks were not “pulled” for more than an auxiliary strike) the enemy can inflict the main one on some other direction. (If anyone remembers, this is exactly the scenario I wrote and said: first, sabotage raids (to pull our reserves) to the "old border", then - distracting and auxiliary strikes, and only then - an offensive in the main chosen direction).
Let's see. There is nothing left for us (well, at least for me) for now.P.S. They write about the use of aviation by the enemy on the Zaporozhye front. Let me remind you that in the area west of Ugledar, the enemy did nothing of the kind in all the past days of his offensive. Indirectly, this may indicate more serious intentions in the Orekhovo region.
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https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-senators-back-overhaul-of-weapons-exports-rules/48573400
QuoteOne of the two parliamentary chambers has approved a plan to allow buyers of Swiss weapons to re-export them to third countries – like Ukraine – under certain conditions.
This content was published on June 7, 2023
June 7, 2023 -
QuoteA couple of hours later, the Armed Forces attacked the positions in Lobkove again. This time, the assault group was covered by two tanks that entered the village from the north side. Now there is a fight going on in the village.
In addition, separate formations of the enemy went down to the settlement of Zherebyanki , trying to push the Russian troops out of the two villages. At the moment, the clashes continue.
At the same time, accumulations of APU were noted in Kamenskoye and southeast of it. Most likely, the Ukrainian command keeps them as a reserve, ready to advance to support or consolidate on the borders.
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However, our current assessment is that there is no immediate risk to the safety of the plant.
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Rybar admits Ukraine made somewhat of a breakthrough to the north of Bakhmut:
Google translation:
QuoteAfter the withdrawal of PMC assault groups, the entire burden of defense fell on regular troops. Using shortcomings in the organization of communication between units and formations of the RF Armed Forces, Ukrainian formations wedged into the defense and cut off Russian positions piece by piece.
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4 hours ago, Beleg85 said:
Highly recommended article, from person at place:
https://warontherocks.com/2023/06/what-the-ukrainian-armed-forces-need-to-do-to-win/
And it makes me very nervous about Ukraine's chances for success in the upcoming operations.
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46 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
More from the Russian liberation groups they are, once again, on Russian Federation territory. Specifically, Shebekino:
https://www.newsweek.com/tanks-russia-ukraine-belgorod-freedom-legion-volunteer-corps-border-1803756
Videos uploaded from the RVK documenting the latest incursion:
Steve
Russia claims they already destroyed them:
https://ria.ru/20230601/shebekino-1875643689.html
Google translation below:QuoteMOSCOW, June 1 - RIA Novosti. The Russian military destroyed more than fifty Ukrainian militants who were trying to invade the Belgorod region, the Ministry of Defense reported on the Telegram channel .
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"In total, more than 50 Ukrainian terrorists, four armored combat vehicles, a combat vehicle of the BM-21 Grad multiple launch rocket system, one pickup truck were destroyed on the border territory from Ukraine," the publication says. -
32 minutes ago, Seedorf81 said:
Just now:
Dutch government wants to buy dozens of extra Leopard1-tanks for Ukraine.
Problem is that they wanna buy 'm from a Swiss company, and the Swiss government needs to approve the buy. The well-known "neutrality-stance" from the Swiss can cause delay or a "NO".
To be continued..
The Swiss might possibly amend their laws to allow re-export of weapons to Ukraine, next year:
https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-parliament-committee-recommends-eased-weapons-re-export-rules/48507340
QuoteAfter months of refusing to re-export Swiss war materiel to Ukraine, a parliamentary committee in Switzerland has recommended easing export controls
QuoteNo change is expected to take place before next year. In addition, amendments to the law could be challenged to a referendum, where Swiss voters would have the final say.
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More Ukrainian government humor:
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
On a somewhat positive note: