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cesmonkey

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Posts posted by cesmonkey

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    The Russian rybar telegram channel had an interesting post today. I'll paste the Google translation below:
    https://t.me/s/rybar/

    Quote

    🇬🇧🇺🇦 Zaporizhia direction
    Situation as of 12:00 on May 27, 2023

    Judging by the characteristic signs, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have completed the main preparations for the offensive. The enemy grouping is practically formed for an attack in three areas: Orekhovsky , Pologovsky and Gulyaipolsky . In addition, the tactical group "Marun"

    was created in the southeast of the Dnipropetrovsk region , which included the forces of 46 oambr, 82 airborne brigade and 132 reconnaissance battalion of the DShV, as well as 71 ebr of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Previously, 132 orbs were not observed near Zaporozhye . Also in Gavrilovka there were units deployed from the Kharkov region, presumably

    assault brigade "Spartan" . And Chaplino housed members of the 3rd battalion of the 33rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

    🔻HIMARS MLRS firing points are equipped along the contact line in the areas of the settlements of Primorskoye , Krasnaya Krinitsa , General , Gulyaipole , Novosoloshchino . MiG-29 and Su-25 tactical aircraft with Storm Shadow cruise missiles (CR) regularly operate

    from the airfield in Dnepropetrovsk . At the same time, attacks on Russian cities are being delivered from the same districts - Krasnogorsk , Gavrilovka and Novosoloshchino .

    A tank unit with a T-64 was deployed from Dnepropetrovsk to the Zaporizhzhia region, and 110 SRW were delivered to the Vremievsky ledge to reinforcefour tanks and several MaxxPRO AFVs.

     

    3

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by cesmonkey

    9 hours ago, dan/california said:

    Artillery in the Urban environment, by two serving U.S. officers who have observed Ukraine as closely as is possible without resigning and joining the Ukrainian military. 

    I liked listening to the podcast, but your comment above is quite a stretch ...

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Announced on Friday:

    https://www.rocket.com/article/aerojet-rocketdyne-awarded-2156m-supplement-ongoing-modernization-efforts-and-increase-solid

    Quote

    Aerojet Rocketdyne has entered into a $215.6 million Cooperative Agreement with the Defense Department to increase domestic rocket propulsion manufacturing capacity to meet increased warfighter demand for tactical missile systems used by the Department of Defense (DoD).


    https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3362263/dod-strengthens-supply-chain-for-solid-rocket-motors/

    Quote

    The funds will modernize manufacturing processes at the company's facilities, consolidate production lines, purchase equipment, build systems to process data, and increase production and delivery speed for Javelins, Stingers, and the Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS).

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mark-kelly-face-the-nation-transcript-04-16-2023/

    Quote

    MARGARET BRENNAN: President Biden has said they don't need F-16s, you disagree?

    SEN. KELLY: Well, I think it's something we need to look at and I've communicated that to the Department of Defense and the administration. We recently evaluated here in Arizona, in Tucson where I live, two Ukrainian F-16 Pilots, I spoke to the instructor pilots. It's still unclear exactly how they want to use the F-16. They're looking for the next game changer. F-16 is not an artillery piece, it's not a tank, it's very complicated and hard to maintain. We- We've also looked at some other options. I mean, there are other countries that have F-16s as well, that might become an option, but it's going to take some time. I mean, the assessment here is it'll take about a year to train, you know, 12 Ukrainian, if we go that route, 12 Ukrainian MiG-29 pilots.

     

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    New Sanctions Imposed by U.S., Britain Target 'Facilitators' For Russia
    https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-abramovich-usmanov-fixers-sanctioned-uk/32360583.html

    Quote

    the United States said its new sanctions apply to more than 120 entities and individuals across more than 20 countries, including facilitators of sanctions evasion.

    https://pl.usembassy.gov/factsheet_sanctions/

    https://www.ft.com/content/5f783731-b414-4ac1-a5eb-85bb2137a0dd

     

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3360231/secretary-of-defense-lloyd-austin-hosted-bilat-meeting-with-denys-shmyhal-prime/

    Very optimistic thinking:

    Quote

    We sincerely applaud the decision of the U.S. to join the tank coalition and supplying us with Abrams tanks but also to provide Bradley and Stryker infantry fighting vehicles. For our counterattack to be successful, we require an increase in such supplies. 

    In a modern warfare, air superiority is crucial. That is why Ukraine is initiating the building of a new so-called fire -- fire -- fighter jet coalition and we are inviting the United States to become its most important participant. America can, once again, demonstrate its leadership by providing Ukraine with F-15 or F-16 aircrafts. 

     

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    For those in the UK and can watch this, how interesting is this hour-long video?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001kz0p/stacey-dooley-stacey-dooley-ready-for-war?fbclid=IwAR1ge1FfaUYrqlxZGZ8-kT8F99TlEulTpfLCUyx0RKupqdVbv6t2pdSqlak

    Quote

    Stacey Dooley follows a squad of Ukrainian civilians from the moment they land on British soil for five weeks of gruelling training, designed to give them the skills they will need to 'survive and to be lethal' in the war against Russia. 

     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    This was on C-SPAN radio today, a panel from April 3rd:

    Atlantic Council Discussion on the Russia-Ukraine War
    https://www.c-span.org/video/?527122-1/atlantic-council-discussion-russia-ukraine-war#

    as kind of a follow-up to this article:

    Game-changers: Implications of the Russo-Ukraine war for the future of ground warfare
    https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/game-changers-implications-of-the-russo-ukraine-war-for-the-future-of-ground-warfare/
     

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    This isn't good:

    Ukraine War Plans Leak Prompts Pentagon Investigation

    Classified documents detailing secret American and NATO plans have appeared on Twitter and Telegram.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/06/us/politics/ukraine-war-plan-russia.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20230406&instance_id=89600&nl=from-the-times&regi_id=77867169&segment_id=129786&te=1&user_id=06eb42ecc9056dd32ea63af0c30707b6

    News is fast breaking and no other major online news source has came up in my search, so apologies for the paywall.

    The publication of this information isn't really that much of a problem for Ukraine because the source was probably the Kremlin.  In other words, they already had the information in hand.  And given how many agents Russia has operating with Ukraine, I'd be surprised if they didn't have a pretty good idea what was going on even without these documents.

    So it seems the main purpose here is to wage a disinformation campaign to help motivate Russians to fight.

    Steve

    Russian journalist Sasha Kots calls out this Telegram channel:
     

    zvi.png

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