cesmonkey
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Posts posted by cesmonkey
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Anyone know what the flight profile is for the rockets fired from the HIMARS systems? Is that what makes them more difficult to intercept? I'm sure that fast and relatively small also helps.
This article says:
https://kyivindependent.com/national/why-is-russia-so-vulnerable-to-himars-in-ukraineQuoteBut the problem is that HIMARS’ rockets are very hard to notice on time.
HIMARS M30/M31 GMLRS rockets strike their targets at the speed of Mach 2.5, or nearly 3,062.6 kilometers per hour. Therefore, when they have to reach a target 80 kilometers away, they spend some 94 seconds in the air before they hit their target. But they also fly at altitudes far lower than any cruise or ballistic missile, giving Russian air defense little time to notice them and react.
Perhaps it's programmable?
https://www.microwavejournal.com/articles/print/5692-lockheed-martin-s-guided-mlrs-rockets-successful-in-anti-jamming-tests
QuoteThe first rocket employed the GMLRS “vertical trajectory shaping” software that allows the rocket to impact the target vertically, while the second incorporated the “nominal trajectory shaping” software, which allows for the standard ballistic trajectory flight pattern.
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51 minutes ago, dan/california said:
I clearly need to annoy my Congressperson and Senators AGAIN!
I wish Rob Portman was my Senator. Every week he speaks from the Senate floor urging the administration to do more for Ukraine by expediting the delivery of military aid they are requesting.
https://www.portman.senate.gov/newsroom/press-releases/portman-colleagues-ask-defense-department-expedite-critical-military-aidAs he points out, Congress authorized $20 billion for military assistance to Ukraine in late May, in addition to the lend-lease act which appears to still be unused. The U.S. looks to delivering around $2 billion of military aid per month, and fairly reluctantly the weapons that Ukraine is requesting.
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In the briefing today, Gen. Millie said no decisions have been made on the flight training of Ukrainian pilots.
However, there was this from the Air Force:
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2022/07/20/us-air-force-chief-of-staff-says-officials-considering-training-ukrainian-pilots.html -
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2 hours ago, Huba said:
More HIMARS announced. I'll watch the whole thing and bullet point it later:
He says the new package "will include more HIMARS" but he doesn't specify how many. Also additional rounds for MLRS and artillery systems.
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56 minutes ago, Calamine Waffles said:
They're basically the isolationist MAGA wing of the Republican Party. There is a similar kind of wing on the Democrat left side, but they are not *that* isolationist.
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This retired UK Air Marshall is in favor of giving the Ukranians F-16s vs other Western types because:
1. There are plentiful numbers in reserve that wouldn't take away from existing Western capabilities.
2. They are relatively simple to operate. He speculates the Ukraines could be trained up to a minimum standard in 6 weeks.
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Another batch of videos on the training of Ukrainian soldiers in the UK. This time, the new recruits:
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5 hours ago, Grigb said:
Regarding RU replenishing manpower losses/mobilization potential (sorry if it was posted already)
It is Tiger battalion to support 155 marine brigade (Far East).
According to this interview, these are ages of some of the volunteers (Google Translation)
https://www.kp.ru/daily/27416.5/4615321/
What is the age of the volunteers?
- Our with you, Alexander. Well, different ages: 50+, there are up to 50 years old - 46, 47.
Volunteers have no age limit - you can join these units until retirement.
Also in this interview:
- Why - "Tiger"? Who came up with it? Governor?- These are the volunteers themselves - they offered several names, and now they consulted and decided to choose this one.
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2 hours ago, hcrof said:
I would love to see the source of the claim that the donbas contributes 80-90% of Ukraine GDP - what about all the cities of the west, including the capital, where the vast majority of Ukrainian people live?
I think the video from Austria was talking about more than just the Donbass, but all the areas of Ukraine that Russia occupies, and the 80-90% was for if Russia succeed in capturing Odessa, also.
... but I see now that others have covered the details of this in the above posts better than I did.
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Speculating on what is the new type of 155 millimeter artillery ammunition to be supplied by the US, 1000 rounds, with greater precision, suppose it's not Excalibur(too valuable and expensive), nor the German SMArt 155 (not American), nor Copperhead (no laser designators in theater, really), what's left?
The M1156 Precision Guidance Kit?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M982_Excalibur
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SMArt_155
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M712_Copperhead
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M1156_Precision_Guidance_Kit -
The transcript for today's DoD background briefing where they talk about the additional HIMARS is now posted:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3088129/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing/ -
This Russian newspaper offers a mildly-critical editorial expressing the view that Russians will continue to follow Putin down the path he is leading, whether that is a rational thing to do or not.
Here is an excerpt as translated by Google:
QuoteBy all appearances, Putin continues to maintain control over the dominant emotions of Russians. Which is the basis of his rating. And the rating is pushing for new bold plans. Such is the reality. Or a narrative about reality...
As long as Putin maintains an umbilical connection with his majority, he will be unstoppable in translating his own mental constructs about the world into real life. Putin's perceptions as a geopolitical reality. And domestic political too.
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4 minutes ago, Harmon Rabb said:
Did this guy ask for donations from his followers? If so he was probably just a sleazy conman trying to profit from a war, where a lot of folks feel sympathy for Ukraine and are willing to send money over.
If he was working for Russian intelligence I'm sure they could have provided him with a photo of a real rifle so he could continue his disinformation campaign.
As someone who enjoyed followed https://twitter.com/canadianukrain1 and now misses his posts now that he has gone, let just say that comments like the above are proof how easily rumors get started on social media.
From what I saw, he never asked for donations, encouraged people to donate to legitimate channelers of donations.
Additionally, he said he was still in Canada, from where he was tweeting, but his two or three buddies, ( I can't remember how many), we're actually fighting in Ukraine. They emigrated as youngsters from the former Soviet Union to Israel, served in the Israeli army, then he eventually emigrated to Canada.
I don't have any proof of the above, beyond what I remember him tweeting over the last few months. -
Here's a few videos looking at the training of Ukrainian troops on artillery systems in the UK. The must have had a press day earlier this week:
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9 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
Pay attention to the date. Since then, several generations of Ukrainians have grown up, while in 1991 the Soviet people voted
So is there a better, more up-to-date poll somewhere or is this still the best we have?
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55 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
A very common (and false) opinion in Western countries that the inhabitants of the eastern part of Ukraine do not want to live as part of Ukraine. This should not be surprising, since Russia has invested heavily in promoting this opinion. DPR and LPR conscripts fight under duress. In the ranks of the DPR and LPR troops, they are held back by fear of reprisals.
Is there a better source for judging the sentiments of various regions of Ukraine towards belonging to either Ukraine or Russia than this?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Ukrainian_independence_referendum#By_region -
10 hours ago, THH149 said:
What's the Russain response to long range HIMARS etc fires? I presume there's some kind of countermeasures.
What about a long range drone turned into a kamikaze drone?
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In this video at about the ten minute mark, the general being interviewed says the primary advantage of the Pzh 2000 to the Ukrainians, compared to other systems, is it's fast ability to shoot and scoot. Thereby, it can be more-prudently employed closer to the front lines bringing more of the Russian artillery units in range of counter-battery fire.
Anyone know how much better the Pzh 2000 is at quick shoot and shoot compared to the other artillery Ukraine now has?
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Some US senators are urging Defense Secretary Austin to speed up the delivery of more HIMARS systems to Ukraine. They seem to be getting a little frustrated with the Biden Administrations slow pace.
https://www.portman.senate.gov/newsroom/press-releases/senate-floor-portman-highlights-ukrainian-victory-black-sea-sheds-light
At this crucial time in the battle for freedom, democracy, and the ability for countries to decide their own future, America cannot afford to be tentative. -
There lots of food for thought in this article:
https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/strange-debacle-misadventures-in-assessing-russian-military-power/ -
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1 hour ago, Billy Ringo said:
On multiple occasions I've tried to find the % of Russian military by region both serving and KIA/WIA and can't find it. I've seen numerous articles stating that Russian casualties are significantly higher for ethnic minorities and remote regions than that from more populated and progressive Western areas. But nothing definitive.
From a population perspective, my visual reference of Western Russia consists of:
Region Population, ml. %of Population
Northwest 13.6ml 9.5%
Central 38ml 26.4%
Volga 30ml 20.8%
South 16ml 11%
North Cauc. 9.5ml 6.6%
Total Western Russia 107 ml 74.4% of total population. Total Russian population 144ml.
An assumption on my part, wrong or right, would be that most residents of these regions would likely be more progressive and likely to have more access to Western media. Thus, their opinions on the Russian operations would be much different than that of Central or Eastern Russia.
It's one thing to stay quiet and go about one's business when/if the bulk of Russian forces are coming from far away places. But to leverage full Russian mobilization would require the forced conscription of these territories which might then be the tipping point for the bulk of the population to become more vocal and disruptive. Basically say, no mas.
If this assumption is only partly accurate, would this make the population base for potentially available Russian conscripts more like 35-45 ml. instead of 144ml? Are body bags of Russian soldiers being sent with frequency back to Moscow or St. Petersburg? From what I'm seeing--the answer is no.
Would welcome the thoughts/opinions of those with a much greater and expanded knowledge of Russian culture and demographics. Thanks in advance.
This website is cited as a source for casualties by region, if you can get someone to translate the charts and tables for you:
https://zona.media/casualtiesActually, look at the graphics on this one:
https://zona.media/translate/2022/05/20/casualties_eng
And here are some, rather dated, news articles:
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220517-young-poor-and-from-minorities-the-russian-troops-killed-in-ukrainehttps://www.bbc.com/russian/features-61638530
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I didn't read that NYT article the other day complaining about the lack of visibility into Ukraine's military operations by US intelligence. That's because I'm not a NYT subscriber.
However, the NYT does offer a free podcast and today they looked at that same issue.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/13/podcasts/the-daily/ukraine-war-intelligence.html
The reporter's argument is that Ukraine should provide more information to the US in order for the US to know whether the aid they are providing is being properly used - and what is truly needed.I'm not sure I agree.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Boris Johnson tags along with the training of Ukrainian soldiers: