Jump to content
Special Upgrade 4 Tech Tips

Vic4

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    70

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Vic4

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Haven’t seen this article posted here yet.. While the spectre of a RF disintegration per the Capt’s description is possibly the worst case scenario. In contrast; it’s hard to see how the Orwellian loom ever stops spinning with this ideology being perpetually indoctrinated into every Russian generation. With kids in grade school, reading this makes the blood run cold. TLDR: Nazi/Fascist youth are contemporary…

    https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/24/europe/russia-schools-pro-war-parade-grounds-intl/index.html

     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Speaking of money, mafia state players and Putin's current instability: 

    Any thoughts on some entity/faction within Russia casting a keen eye on Putin's personal fortune? Rumored to be in the $3-400 billion range I believe.

    Do you think they're going to let him keep it, er.. along with his head?  

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Vic4

    31 minutes ago, kraze said:

    Chechens are basically the only putin's personal terrorist army left. They are to terrorize civilians, they are the only ones willing to do it in Russia* and they have no military training to fight somebody armed with a gun.

    Every russian is afraid of Chechens because they managed to defeat russian army twice over the course of just 5 years.

    I can see the personal terrorist army part making sense; but the more Russia loses, the less of a leash Putin will have on his dogs when he really needs them... Although tbf, the bolded statements above seem somewhat contradictory. (i.e. they could have had a greater impact than the poorly trained and equipped mobiks.) Anyways, just a sideshow it would seem.   

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    10 hours ago, womble said:

    It's such a shame that Kadyrov and his TikTok Toy soldiers are so shy. Would have been nice to see them charge into Wagner and both their numbers start ticking down, even if it was only for a day. That said, could they have been instructed to stand clear until the situation resolved a bit more?

    How is it that the Chechens have managed to avoid any significant deployment/action throughout the war?

    Why wouldn’t Putin/MOD be using them as fodder similar to Wagner as opposed to say VDV/Spetsnaz who have taken tremendous losses and are “ethnic”/core Russians and presumably much more loyal than the Chechens?

    I assume Putin/Russia needs Chechnya to absolutely remain in the Russian fold during the conflict, but it seems Putin does not have any leverage to force them to commit significantly. Also concurrently, it would seem logical that the more Russia loses its core forces, Kadyrov’s options and strength only grow exponentially.

    Ironically the TikTok bearded clowns seem to be coming out on top of all combatants. What am I missing?

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Nah, it's closer to a West German (unified Germany) Federal eagle as used by the Bundesgrenschutz.  Here they are side by side of the new Ukrainian unit badge, BGS badge, and Polish eagle.

    image.jpeg.38210029ef899576b313991a80f82526.jpegBundesadler.jpg84b79a08.png

     

    Steve

     

    At its’ core, the design appears based in compliment. Nothing wrong with a united front..!

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    I'm with you fully that the least of all likely suspects is Putin having done this as a false flag operation.  However, some Russian group doing it on their own and gleefully letting Ukraine take the blame is also a false flag operation.  Just not sponsored by the official power structure of Russia.

    Perhaps a RU nationalist faction with the aim of giving the Kremlin carte blanche to justify a full blown assassination campaign against Zelensky? Do we know whether or not there have been persistent attempts to that effect throughout the war? The RU response to this incident seems to indicate that such a campaign is being cranked to 11 if it hasn't been already.  

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    3 hours ago, sburke said:

    Thank god we are done with Trump discussion. That can’t impact Ukraine until at earliest Jan 2024 and by then we are hopefully in a whole different place militarily. The big discussion then will be (I hope) the financial support for reconstruction. 

    I get that US partisan politics is generally frowned upon here but unfortunately the sad truth is that it is the bull in the china shop, elephant in the room, (insert tired cliche here); in regards to the war and the literal future of Ukraine. As such the magnitude and weight that hinges upon the ’24 election in regards to Ukraine is crushingly pivotal. A second Trump presidency serves as the greatest threat to the viability of Ukraine being able to maintain its military advantage, receiving reparations, or prosecuting war crimes just to name a few of the most strident issues. As has been stated by more than a few of the forum’s European members, NATO is primarily based on US hegemony. Whether that in itself is good or bad or if US hegemony is good or bad is irrelevant. Thankfully as has been noted here, the current trajectory is stable, even on a partisan level in a majority support for Ukraine. Let’s hope it stays that way.

    Trump: 2.23.2022

    “I went in yesterday and there was a television screen, and I said, ‘This is genius.’ Putin declares a big portion of the Ukraine — of Ukraine — Putin declares it as independent. Oh, that’s wonderful,” Trump said in a radio interview with “The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show.” “He used the word ‘independent’ and ‘we’re gonna go out and we’re gonna go in and we’re gonna help keep peace.’ You gotta say that’s pretty savvy.”

    Politico: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/23/trump-putin-ukraine-invasion-00010923

    7

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    A seemingly comprehensive though pessimistic article that is relevant to the current conversation. Interview with a commander at the front... Hopefully these headlines will be eclipsed by a successful counteroffensive. 

    Ukraine short of skilled troops and munitions as losses, pessimism grow

    Ukraine’s military has been degraded by a year of heavy casualties. Front-line units are now struggling with new, poorly trained troops and a shortage of ammunition.

    Read in The Washington Post: https://apple.news/ARmuLouubT82YY5BNmh8GKg

    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    On 9/16/2022 at 3:04 PM, Ultradave said:

    Oh, yeah, well aware of that. My body tells me every day because I'm stubborn and continue to run even at the age of almost 66. (The Army made me run and surprise! I found out I was good at it and like it) I do have friends with more recent first hand experience though. We started getting Blackhawks about a year after I arrived at the 82d Airborne. Man, what a ride after thumping around and jumping (falling really) in Hueys.  It was like trading in your VW Beetle for a BMW 7 series. Not that there is anything wrong with a Beetle but what a difference.

    All this time later and the sounds of a Blackhawk, a C-130 and a Huey (don't hear many but very occasionally) are instantly recognizable and make you look at the sky. We have a couple of USCG C-130s that fly over south to north going to somewhere, or returning. I know them when they are barely audible - so used to the sounds.

    Dave

    The posts of your experience and knowledge are invaluable. Vet of the 82nd, Phd nuclear physicist, kicked cancer to the curb —- you set a high bar few achieve. Much respect $

    9

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Artkin said:

    Marioupol is faaar. I imagine that will be one of the last places to be reclaimed, given it's nearly right on top of the Russian border, and it's already pretty beat up, and is probably little importance besides being a major population center

    "Current" liveuamap seems to show it at about 80-100km from the front. Considering the recent gains and momentum, was wondering if this would be at all feasible in the near future. i.e. pre Crimea or Donbas regions. Would presume the symbolic nature of the victory would carry considerable importance regardless of the state of the infrastructure. 

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Vic4
    No paywall link and direct link to PM

    Seems like an interesting time for Rheinmetal/Germany to reveal a new tank. Apologies if this has already been posted, been off grid for a few days..

    -----------

    (Headline)

    Germany’s Badass New Tank Could Outmatch Every Other Tank in the World
    The KF51 is named “Panther.” Sound familiar?

    No Paywall: https://breakingdefense.com/2022/06/rheinmetall-unveils-new-tank-design-kf51-panther/

    https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a40277518/new-german-tank-kf51-panther/

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Vic4
    quote

    Some absolute beauts from ISW today. …In some ways it shows that the pen truly can be akin to the sword; shredding/damning/searing, is their assessment of Russia. ...Some personal favs:

    The opener: “Russian occupation authorities announced plans to destroy the Azovstal Steel Plant and turn Mariupol into a resort city, depriving Russia of some of the most important economic benefits it hoped to reap by taking the city in the first place.”

    Mid: “The Kremlin may hope to offset the loss of revenues from Azovstal and other destroyed infrastructure in Ukraine by profiting from the Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant that is forces have seized... Khusnullin added that the Zaporihia Nuclear Power Plant will exclusively work for Russia and will sell electricity to Ukraine."

    Finale: “This statement is a clear Russian recognition that there will be an independent Ukraine at the end of this war…”

    The rest: "This announcement epitomizes the kind of Pyrrhic victories Russian forces have won in Ukraine, to the extent that they have won victories at all."

    Love this thread - Glory to Ukraine$

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Vic4

    6 hours ago, The_Capt said:

    Then this old guy was on a panel that made the whole room sit up and take notice.  He was in charge of covert action in Afghanistan back in the 80s, which was pretty impressive, but his points on Russia resonate to this day.  His position was that the future global competition, as it relates to Russia, was which sphere that nation was driven or pulled into.  We, the west, needed to pull Russia towards Europe, and that should be easy as gravity of history and culture was on our side.  If Russia were to be driven into the Eastern sphere 1) shame on us for letting it happen and 2) that would be a very bad thing.

    Here we are in 2022, this thing is not decided but it sure looks like it is sliding in the bad direction to me.  I frankly subscribe to the "who wins out of all this" as a metric, and right now China's position looks pretty solid. 

    @The_Capt

    No doubt that this is a sobering and disheartening assessment, but perhaps there is a potential upshot.

    When this conflict presumably concludes with Russia entirely in thrall to China and isolated from the West, wouldn’t a likely result be that their immediate malignant intent will be diverted to China?

    Given that Russia seems to be primarily motivated by (a) delusions of grandeur and (b) envy/resentment, it seems that most of their energy at that point would be directed towards who they view as their immediate oppressor (China) and to the extent that their designs against the West will fall into a tertiary status. This could be advantageous to the West as China will constantly be having to look over it’s shoulder and keep Russia in line, while Russia’s immediate goal will be to throw off the Chinese yoke. Thoughts on this? Appreciate your insight. 

    1
×
×
  • Create New...