Kinophile
-
Posts
4,359 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
22
Posts posted by Kinophile
-
-
If you're not already aware of him, this guy (assuming) does really good threads on various Soviet weaponry and vehicles. Time to share.
-
-
Big claim. Nm Telenko, it's a Rob Lee/FT tweet. So take with salt.
-
Not dead yet?
-
Not gospel truth of course, but extra info.
-
-
13 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
There must have been a reason to hit the ship NOW. I doubt Russia just started using it and I also doubt that Ukraine just caught wind of its use. I'm not saying the rumors are true, just that I don't think the strike was done to nail a couple of dudes with headphones.
Steve
So Possibly both are true - it is an existing observation post and Teplinksky visited. UKR got wind and ploinked him.
-
Further to that strange ship attack:
We'll see.
Could easily be just this:
"ship was grounded after Russia blew the Nova Kakhovka dam last June. Being used as a command/control base".
-
-
1 hour ago, Maciej Zwolinski said:
I think he means that technically speaking, Russia will probably never exactly run out of war material, because before that happens it will reduce consumption/exposition to risk when faced with a shortage. Therefore one can not just draw a graph with one line representing average production, the other average consumption and at the point where they meet, the Russian army will stop firing guns or have no more tanks. He says this in all his podcasts in particular whenever ammo production is discussed, so I am fairly confident this is what is meant here as well.
And whereas the Russians can decide to reduce the firing rate/usage rate pretty much at will, they cannot increase the production rate by will alone, therefore the replacement rate is the more objectively observable variable.
That was my read also.
-
3 minutes ago, Eddy said:
This article from H I Sutton is about two ships that had previously carried S300s back from Syria turning back from entering the Black Sea to go the long way round via the Baltic. Although not to do with grain exports per se, it does indicate Russian reluctance to carry presumably sensitive stuff through the Black Sea for fear of Ukrainian USV attack.
Vital Russian Supply Lines In Black Sea Cut By Ukrainian Drones - Naval News
Sutton is a good source. Observant.
-
-
C&C located where, on what coast? For which unit/Service?
---
Ffs. Fine, whatever dumbass paperwork needs to be done to legally "protect" Germany from Russia attacking. Gimme a break but sure, fine. As if Russia would ever respect legalities or paperwork.
-
Not exactly "cut", but definitely a latent and growing threat.
Instead of Russia cutting off UKR grain corridor UKR could start sinking RUS/proxy ships carrying stolen grain from Azov/Crimean ports.
Wouldn't that be a turning of the worm?
-
Confirmation bias on my end is possible, but it does still look like 2024 = Hold in the east, Strike in the South.
Strike doesn't necessarily mean full ground invasion.
-
Nice, if true. Feels a little inflated, but there's definitely money to be made in shell production these days, so why not.
-
3 minutes ago, Carolus said:
Also, Russia is not not producing, it is producing and refurbishing old shells. The latter has an expiration date.
The rate is not sustainable.
We might see unpleasent surprises from China via NK, but for now, everything Russia does has an expiration date.
Also,
-
3 minutes ago, Carolus said:
Also, Russia is not not producing, it is producing and refurbishing old shells. The latter has an expiration date.
The rate is not sustainable.
We might see unpleasent surprises from China via NK, but for now, everything Russia does has an expiration date.
Also,
-
19 minutes ago, hcrof said:
. Thankfully the NATO numbers are finally going up at a faster rate than Russia's so hopefully Ukraine will be at least stable soon with regard to the artillery balance.
This is more my angle, such as it is. Ukraine with a stable and steadily increasing shell supply is very dangerous to Russia.
-
9 minutes ago, hcrof said:
On the other hand NATO countries have internal needs beyond Ukraine and also export ammunition to other countries, so Ukraine will not see even half of that production.
Thats still just a policy setting, no? Eg France no longer exporting to ME. And a half of a steadily rising capacity is not a static number.
Whereas Russia cannot spare anything for export, with that situation not improving. Its munitions production is three years into a full scale war and is barely sufficient for how it fights.
Ukraine both fights differently now and in the future. Even with the bad shell hunger that lost Avdiivka the Rus offensive still petered out afterwards. There's now strong indications that that hunger is fading.
I'm really curious about domestic UKR shell production...
-
Kerch Bridge delenda est.
-
15 minutes ago, cesmonkey said:
There's more nuance than that. 250K in Russia is All calibers. Nato 1.2M is 155 mm only. Quite a difference, plus NATO/West has far, far more latent capacity than Russia.
-
I'm curious what is the difference in mindset and mission control between RUS and UKR airforces.
My impression is that RUS airforces is, like the rest of its military, very plan oriented rather than mission, to the point of weapons release being controlled by Ground Controllers.
Is the UKR Air Force much different in mindset?
They're flying RUS platforms designed with that Plan mindset, so is there much of a Mission mindset?
Is the "difficulty" with f16s about breaking old modes of thinking, or and less about technical challenges?
-
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Wot Border Guards doin'?