evilcommie

I don't think the f-16 will make that much of a difference. In fact, I think less than other wunderwaffe's as RU does have pretty robust air denial against aircraft targets. The wunderwaffe's Ukraine have had so far include drones, Javalin, NLAWs, HIMARS,ACTAMS, Patriot, Storm Shadow Leopard 2 , M1 Tanks... sure they did make a impact to Russian operations when they were first introduced, but I really suspect they are running out without replacement. Once the kill ratio's between UKR and Ru draw closer... I suspect something will collapse and the parties will come to the negation table. As much as we people laugh at Russian Arm's production, its probably in a better shape than the what the EU can do.

The Russians replaced their 5v28 missile used in the s-200 missile system with the 9m82 missile from the s-300 family. The s-200 system was really designed to shoot down large bomber aircraft at very long range. The 5v28 missile is unwieldy. It weighs almost 8 metric tons , more than the max takeoff weight of a Mig 17 fighter jet and uses some toxic fuel with nitric acid based oxidiser and also strap on solid fuelled boosters. I can’t imagine them being easy to maintain and deploy. They probably also take ages to deploy. There is no western equivalent system.

I just don't see how Ukraine will be launching any more offensives given the disparity in Artillery Ammunition supply vs the Russians.

I guess all the internal players in Russia must be preserving their own forces and equipment for a civil war rather than send them to Ukraine.

One thing for sure is a invoice for lots of concrete , sand and rebar for construction of these anti vehicle obstacles was issued and settled..

Is it really a M4 hit? Seems more like a Direct HE hit from 120mm mortar or 155 shell?

URAN-9 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uran-9 Here is the marketing video. https://youtu.be/b_qMMZqlByg

No BMD-4 and T80 BVM’s this year.

We seem to be seeing less UKR drone video these days. I guess the Russian’s with their shortened supply lines and decreased in-competence figured out how to reduce their effectiveness. Based on the casualty videos that are leaking out. I would think its starting more like a even 1 to 1 trade between the Russian and Ukraine now.

It certainly looks like ARMA 3, I wonder where it is geo located in Altris.

I suspect many NATO countries would want to donate their stockpile of munitions, especially ones close to their “best used before date” so they can justify getting newer stuff. It’s probably cheaper donating them than having to responsiblely recycle them following current environmental guidelines. Those East german Strella Manpads …..

Looks like both MBT’s got hit multiple times but survived . I guess they weren’t empty ERA blocks this time. The same cannot be said of the BMP2.

I would guess it’s a BMP3 or BMD4 due to the way it cooked off. Likely the 100mm rounds with combustible case. I would think fully cased rounds such as 30mm rounds cook off more like fire crackers.

I also think the Russians are having a harder time as easy to use ATGM’s have now proliferated to rifle squad level. Previously, squad level AT weapon would be some sort of AT rocket (RPG/Recoilless rifle) which requires quite a bit of skill to hit a moving target or hull down target. Even if the shot hits, the effect on a MBT would be questionable. Now, rifle squad level have access to point and shoot ATGM with top attack, which is are much more likely to hit and knock out a moving MBT with the 1st shot.

Thinking more, about it. How difficulty would it be to hide an S300 battery in Ukraine near the current battle zones.? Isn’t the country relatively flat and open ? I would imagine Russia will having no difficulty finding deployed ones and taking them out with Ballistic or cruise missiles launched from the Black Sea or from Russia itself. Might be better off announcing it, then send in some inflatable ones.