evilcommie

I don't think the f-16 will make that much of a difference. In fact, I think less than other wunderwaffe's as RU does have pretty robust air denial against aircraft targets. The wunderwaffe's Ukraine have had so far include drones, Javalin, NLAWs, HIMARS,ACTAMS, Patriot, Storm Shadow Leopard 2 , M1 Tanks... sure they did make a impact to Russian operations when they were first introduced, but I really suspect they are running out without replacement. Once the kill ratio's between UKR and Ru draw closer... I suspect something will collapse and the parties will come to the negation table. As much as we people laugh at Russian Arm's production, its probably in a better shape than the what the EU can do.

The Russians replaced their 5v28 missile used in the s-200 missile system with the 9m82 missile from the s-300 family. The s-200 system was really designed to shoot down large bomber aircraft at very long range. The 5v28 missile is unwieldy. It weighs almost 8 metric tons , more than the max takeoff weight of a Mig 17 fighter jet and uses some toxic fuel with nitric acid based oxidiser and also strap on solid fuelled boosters. I can’t imagine them being easy to maintain and deploy. They probably also take ages to deploy. There is no western equivalent system.

I just don't see how Ukraine will be launching any more offensives given the disparity in Artillery Ammunition supply vs the Russians.

I guess all the internal players in Russia must be preserving their own forces and equipment for a civil war rather than send them to Ukraine.

One thing for sure is a invoice for lots of concrete , sand and rebar for construction of these anti vehicle obstacles was issued and settled..

Is it really a M4 hit? Seems more like a Direct HE hit from 120mm mortar or 155 shell?

URAN-9 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uran-9 Here is the marketing video. https://youtu.be/b_qMMZqlByg

No BMD-4 and T80 BVM’s this year.

We seem to be seeing less UKR drone video these days. I guess the Russian’s with their shortened supply lines and decreased in-competence figured out how to reduce their effectiveness. Based on the casualty videos that are leaking out. I would think its starting more like a even 1 to 1 trade between the Russian and Ukraine now.

It certainly looks like ARMA 3, I wonder where it is geo located in Altris.

I suspect many NATO countries would want to donate their stockpile of munitions, especially ones close to their “best used before date” so they can justify getting newer stuff. It’s probably cheaper donating them than having to responsiblely recycle them following current environmental guidelines. Those East german Strella Manpads …..

Looks like both MBT’s got hit multiple times but survived . I guess they weren’t empty ERA blocks this time. The same cannot be said of the BMP2.

I would guess it’s a BMP3 or BMD4 due to the way it cooked off. Likely the 100mm rounds with combustible case. I would think fully cased rounds such as 30mm rounds cook off more like fire crackers.

I also think the Russians are having a harder time as easy to use ATGM’s have now proliferated to rifle squad level. Previously, squad level AT weapon would be some sort of AT rocket (RPG/Recoilless rifle) which requires quite a bit of skill to hit a moving target or hull down target. Even if the shot hits, the effect on a MBT would be questionable. Now, rifle squad level have access to point and shoot ATGM with top attack, which is are much more likely to hit and knock out a moving MBT with the 1st shot.

Thinking more, about it. How difficulty would it be to hide an S300 battery in Ukraine near the current battle zones.? Isn’t the country relatively flat and open ? I would imagine Russia will having no difficulty finding deployed ones and taking them out with Ballistic or cruise missiles launched from the Black Sea or from Russia itself. Might be better off announcing it, then send in some inflatable ones.

Really? Does NATO really have stocks of S300 sitting around?

Design compromises. Many of those narrow tracked AFVs are BMD variants optimised for air mobile operations. Probably had to fit in a back of an IL-76 and have reasonable internal volume. So make the hull as wide as possible and narrow the tracks. Also, in order to reduce weight, make the hull out of aluminium. Notice how many burnt out BMD’s literally melted, unlike most BMP’s and BTR’s.

Is it me or are two of the Kontakt 5 modules on the turret missing? Are tanks being sent in with empty ERA blocks ?

A few interesting things about the missile is. (although some of guys will probably know this) - The Russian seem to like beam riding missiles. One stated advantage is that the guidance sensors actually faces the rear toward the launcher, hence its hard to jam ! - The missile has fixed fins that spin the missile. Only 1 fin moves to guide the missile. - Its also interesting to note the missile flight path. I would guess the missile is spun for conical scanning reasons too! - Up to 2 tubes can be raised for ripple fire.. - The 9M123 missile apparently has a version with thermobaric warhead for anti infantry use! This seems to tie in with the make the missile cheap so that we can fire many philosophy. One disadvantage of beam riders is that they are less precise as range increases, but I guess the designed probably made the missile cheap to fire in multiples and the warhead large to knock out any tank with 1 hit anywhere! One question is ? Can the millimeter wave radar beam go through smoke?

This might be abit off topic, I was watching a Russian video about the BMP3 At around 24m50s in the video, a 100mm from the 2A70 gun is fired down range. Is this the effect of a HE shell round? WP shell or is it a "Hollywood" explosion effect?