Kraft

I only found the daily twitter updates from him, does he have a cumulative list for comparison? Sorry I am terrible navigating twitter

I am curious about the tally. Lets see, Avdiivka was the most one sided battle in terms of vehicle losses. 224 tanks, more than twice the total Ukrainian losses. Best Case scenario, a 10-1 ratio. Using the Swedish FOI as a source, russia builds/refurbishes ~44 tanks/m. So they are short about a month, or gained 2 months if all the abandoned vehicles can be recovered. With a production rate of close to 0. And foreign aid (pledged or delivered) as of my knowledge: 0. Loss of 21, that will likely not be replaced within.. half a year, full year? Unknown. You can draw it parallel for IFVs and the rest, although I think those are more likely to be replenished by the West albeit in insufficient numbers.

I would argue it is more a result of the overly cautious escalation management, which threw a pebble while russia was going all in and showed little to no signs of serious backing off.

What a squealing little worm. I know LotR is more popular here (for good reasons) but he reminds me of that rat of Ronald Weasely who turned out to be a cowardly traitor

On the topic of rotation and casulties, situation in Zenit and Avdiivka overall.

The more threatening is the push from the north, which is about to cut off the escape road. Current ground conditions arent ideal to move through the fields

This is not generally true, I know mobiks who returned out of combat service and not because they are missing a leg.

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

He didnt surrender, he and his comrade were in panic and tried to flee but werent aware the other trench had been taken already, once he realised he ran back and got shot and killed by the guy wearing the gopro at 15:11 in the video -- Also since I cant edit my original post anymore, just an innacuracy on my part, these arent international legion they are 'chosen company' international volunteers who are integrated into 59th. Canadians, Americans, a Swede and a japanease fighter. Also while Im at it, if translations dont work the fighter who got shot by the Machine Gunner (in the head?) Survived but was badly wounded.

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench

Oh I did not know there was another neo nazi group operating

25th Air Assault Brigade captured a live Rusich member (Robotyne-Verbove?) In case you missed the signs, its a neo nazi group. They cut off the head of a PoW with a knife, then removed his hands and filmed themselfs for evidence(censor.net, not a direct link to the video). Their (ex?)leader Yan Petrovsky is currently held in Finnland and not being extradited for fears his treatment would be below skandanavian levels.

"Ukraine’s Pokrova Spoofing System Tells Shaheds To Get Lost" - Forbes Most likely active since 3rd of February.

I know people will meme like they did with the ali express dragon teeth but if they are filled with something and welded good luck getting past that in whatever maneuver phase one finds himself in. Oh and I bet its mined. I forgot to add, anti tank ditches made by the usual digging vehicles can be overcome with bridge layers or some heavy duty earth movers fairly quickly. This frankenstein construct seems immune to that.

CNN claims as many as 15000 Nepalis joined the russian army https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/10/asia/nepal-fighters-russia-ukraine-families-intl-cmd/index.html

From 13000 to 2500 soldiers stationed when Biden took over, according to wikipedia.

But he did that in Afghanistan and his base loved him for it. I am sure putin would encourage redeployment early enough to avoid awkward situations. Putin would likely stay local and limited in scope, not try to reach Berlin, so it would be fairly easy for the commander in chief to avoid having troops in that area, long enough for facts to be made.

I am legitimately curious how Donald Trump could be forced to send troops against his will, as he does not uphold the law per se. Especially if he has majority republican support

I'd add that through the last months, losses have been higher than replacements. With little to no pledged armaments An offensive cannot happen this year or it will end in an even greater disaster that could upset the balance swiftly.

Worry not because he has verbatum said just that before, removing unecessary doubts. Specifically mentioning the small NATO Eastern border countries, he would not help.

I read a book by Anthony Beever (dont know his repuation) a decade ago in which he claimed the 13th guards rifle divisions that arrived to Stalingrad river bank had at the end of fighting ~300 out of 10000 of the original soldiers left.

Im not trying to get pulled into this discussion too much but there have been significant changes in the way infantry attacks due to the prevelance of artillery, drones and low amount of soldiers. These sort of small groups were already used to great effect by wagner more than a year ago, attacking with just small squads of 5-8, a waste for artillery and without drones they still manage to overcome small group defenders often enough. Progress is just at a snails pace. There can be no "breakthrough" as the front is not static because of massive fortifications but because of the all seeing drone, that relays the location of any significant gathering and minutes later that gathering is gone, unless ofc republicans decide to block shells. Not much you can do about drones atm, besides crawling 2km through a sewer pipe or dig tunnels as russians did - both times surprising defenders. Until jammers are widespread on vehicles and infantry can be given a chance to clear mines somehow, the bog continues.

110th. russian assault being destroyed. Some new footage, I think? Definetaly less cuts than whatever ends up on twitter I think. There will be another part showing all the casulties

Interview in german, automated subtitles not really great though

I am not arguing for attrition or maneuver. My point is, if a change is needed in leadership/innovation and a non-political decision needs to be made who is best to replace what makes him the best pick? Obviously we dont know enough inside details among the generals for a fair assesement but I am also questioning whether this was a non-political decision with that aim to begin with. But I also dont want to slander with the little information I have which is why I deleated my original comment.