Kraft

? Is there some issue between us that I am unaware of?

Russia doesnt need to infiltrate isis, they just need to let it happen which they did. Examplary reaction Ive seen a few times: My prediction: mobilisation focusing heavily on religious minority, their passport 'volunteers' have been exhausted, now the rest will be called in. Who's going on the street to protest if its just muslims? Let them atone for their religious brothers with blood of their own, you will hear. Just like they dont give a **** about the convicts who turned into maggot food, no muskovite will cry over the landfill of bodies they'll be dumped in, I guarantee you that.

300k officially*, I am sure the real number will be far greater. https://www.rferl.org/amp/russia-mobilization-war-ukraine-prisons/32873203.html

Commander of the Ground Forces Lieutenant General Oleksandr Pavliuk:

I think it does a better job of flattening concrete bunkers in the vicinity and cellars that might withstand nearby 500kg impacts though?

US intelligence is quite impressive in their ability to know of these things ahead of time

With a complete breakdown in the promised US support and perceived unreliability as an ally, how much is a higher chance for Bidens protracted status quo war stance in office worth if MAGA hats keep their complete deadlock on the system? The Trump base doesnt seem to mind at all if the US gov stays paralysed and I dont see them change their mind when another election is "stolen". The supposed bypassing of the speaker only now has a single republican supporter, meanwhile not even all Democrats have supported it. MAGA blockade and resulting shell rationing has gone on for a quarter of the war now! Pressure on russia to end this has to come from somewhere and everyday the US does nothing because of a "minority" fraction causing touble is a day further in a future where it counts less as an ally and consequently will be listened to less.

To add, there are now 50 videos from drones filming russians end themselfs, I think 4 new videos just the last 7 days. The frequency has been increasing steadily. ---- Also first filmed instance of an african/cuban mercenary receiving his paycheck for early retirement And while this human garbage comes to kill for riches Anastasia, a medical officer, gave her life trying to pull a wounded comrade from the 67th ombr to safety.

Monobank for the specific fundraiser: https://send.monobank.ua/jar/5eBaMvoanU General: Bank card 5375411215349155 Private 5168745030910761 PayPal sternenkopaypal@gmail.com

I think just being able to get a rough glimpse of the drones path can help discover the drone team, if they are stretching the range its likely a near straight line from team to target, especially if they are unaware they are being watched and havent adapted The OSINT geolocators are already incredibly fast at finding even simple treeline locations from a few seconds cut drone footage

Two russians armed with stick and shovel try their luck at air defense but the claymore airburst FPV does not need to get close, better luck next time

Anecdotal comment from a company commander in 5th SturmBat

Just to clarify, I do not believe these losses to be sustainable, I have repeatedly said otherwise. Russia has about 1.5-2 years at high intensity left in its storage, before it is down to production numbers only. I quoted the lowest estimation from a western intelligence group. The issue is that in the short and medium term these losses are replaceable for russia only. After that, they are irreplacable for both but my guess is that by then drones will be so dominant that neither can do anything but dig down and try to get into the earth.

If anyone here has knowledge and is interested in technical info on Radio, EW, missile, and drones, frequencies, developments in the FPV arms race, etc, I have this channel to share. Sadly its content surpasses my knowledge on the matter.

Some month(s?) ago there was the topic of Krynki and sustaining a Bridgehead /expanding it. Here is an example of what happens when the pressure is too high on the 2 km marshland route, a Marine with a simple wound that was tied off who could not be evacuated for 14 days. Graphic as the wound turned to necrosis and the limb needs to be amputated. Those with heavier wounds that could not cross either do not need to be evacuated anymore.

Attrition in my mind is the constant cost of war, where as casulties from offensive operations are seperate. The naming here is pretty irrelevant though because as I said, the ZSU is not suffering more absolute casulties* This is not because the average drone pilot is 10 times better or has 10 times more drones and thus somehow offsets the total lack of shells. Its just a result that attacking in an environment where units can be reliably spotted kilometers away before they even assembled for a large scale attack, and can be killed more easily with the cheap-o FPV PGM, is near suicidal as russian meatwaves prove day in day out. Even if they make it past no mans land, a focused drone effort wipes most of the exposed and often EW-unprotected / unentrenched survivors out before much of any momentum can be gained. Its the same for both sides in this way but as Ukraine is not attacking, its not subject to this exposure as much, just the daily bombing and artillery shelling Yes, I agree with this. Beyond 2025-2026, this war will reach non sustainability for putin and keeping a stalemate will just help get there safer. But this does not refute the idea that the disparity in casualties is caused by offensive actions, which compensate for the firepower difference. *although, when it comes to relative losses I think the picture depends on the weapon system. I made the case for the Avdiivka losses, where russia ended up basically at a zero change with the captured, refurbished and produced vehicles in that timeframe, while the losses to Ukraine are permanent and lowered the capabilities of the armed forces, since there is close to no heavy gear still being supplied in quantity.

My point in the response is to the daily attrition, which has shifted in favor of russia. Ie a situation where neither side attacks Attacking in the current environment successfully at scale is near impossible for anyone. That russia continues to do so evens the casulties out, whether the russian offensive capabilities outlast the defense and results in a crumbling of the front is known not even to the commanders.

You asked for data you got data. If you want to go into dreamland where 1 ZSU drone has the effectiveness of 10 russian ones and cancels out the 10 to 1 artillery shell disadvantage, go ahead. Theres 0 evidence for that though.

Imagies like this exist for both sides Here is the data

Keep in mind a large portion of FPV are used on a single MG, AGS, or even just an empty dugout. Its a systematic way how defenses are continously degraded more than can be replenished before attacks. What makes you think so? There are plenty people who count FPV attacks and russia is just a sliver behind in the number of attacks, and completely dominating with artillery. If you arent seeing the gruesome results, its because you are not frequenting russian TG channels I assume. In attritional casulties russia is doing better, the only reason they have more dead at the end of the day is because of the constant meatwaves that get destroyed. Were it a completely static line with both sides not attacking, russia would be way ahead in causing dead & wounded and not even close to the 3:1 ratio that is needed to maintain force parity

@Battlefront.com I think this is the highest quality upload of your favorite river crossing, sadly quite short and not while they attempted it, the carnage must've surpassed what any movie could ever portait.

I think this is last reserves being commited as the out of EU shells seem all but confirmed to arrive, so no need to pay with lives what artillery can do

The important part is the loss ratio, which at 2.2 while purely on defense is far too low. Not just to attrit russia, but to not be attrited. Not just in vehicles, but FPV strikes are even worse, russia has near parity, but X times the amount of troops on the line to absorb the losses. With every day russia becomes more dominant in the force equation, and the rate at which the front moves increases. Current developments in Orlivka will expadite it

Western resolve in opposing/appeasing putin is starting to bear its first fruits.