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Kraft

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Posts posted by Kraft

  1. 3 hours ago, Zeleban said:

     

    It became apparent to Tucker that he cannot redeem ruble checks for USD😄

    wonder why he would say that though, maybe he smelled the wind and noticed few people bought or cared about putins bs.

    Cant blame them, excited to be outraged at globohomos and all you get is a biased history lecture

  2. Quote

    According to data obtained by the Information Resistance group at the VOT of the Kherson region, including in the Kakhovsky district, due to the low percentage of local residents who received Russian passports, the occupation administration granted permission to vote in the Russian presidential elections using a Ukrainian passport.

    😁

  3. 35 minutes ago, Carolus said:

    It is important to be skeptical of Ukrainian numbers, but I would be curious why now, specifically, these announcements are made (and from official Ukrainian accounts). 

    Is it to improve morale after the continued Kab and Fab bombardment?

    Curious. 

    Usually Ukraine stayed somewhat conservative when it comes to "special assets" (ships, airframes) or provides footage.

    Usually most are 'really' confirmed by locals with smartphones anyway. As for the claims, I have lost track, but several of the claimed planes have been confirmed with satelite crash sites, locals, fighterbomber wishing eternal flight, and lost transponders, but I have no Overview how many of the claimed that is and I suspect there will be 1-2 added in.

    Theres definitively an uptick in losses though, probably due to a risker employment of AA to pave the way for F-16 as others have stated.

  4. 5 hours ago, cesmonkey said:

    I suppose this is what Rybar was talking about here?

     

    It is the incident but Rybar either has wrong info or decides to add flavor himself.

    No 4 boats were destroyed. 1 came under fire, while on shore, with a loss of 6 on board.

     

     

  5. 51 minutes ago, poesel said:

    The pro-Russian breakaway region of Transnistria may call for or organize a referendum on Transnistria’s annexation to Russia at a recently announced Transnistrian Congress of Deputies planned for February 28. The pretext for such a call would be the purported need to protect Russian citizens and “compatriots” in Transnistria from threats from Moldova or NATO or both.

    this is quite outdated no?

    They already voted for russia to "protect" them. Likely just bull**** to get ukraine to keep troops there as the frontline desperately needs some reinforcing

    https://www.dw.com/en/moldova-breakaway-transnistria-asks-russia-for-protection/a-68396033

  6. Trying to find reason in these excuse arguments is an exercise in futility.

    They shift over time as proven over and over again as the basis for these excuses erodes.

    UA is perfectly able to handle the most complex machinery with little training very successfully.

     

    It wont be said out loud but there is no will to give Ukraine the capabilities with which to inflict a massive defeat on the russians.

    The (more western) allies have been doing everything to keep the status quo on the front to grind russia down, nothing more and nothing less.

    A quick collapse leads to the potential for political issues and instability in russia that europe and usa dont want. In a quagmire, russia is contained and the problem is postponed.

    But of course, the reason for only 31 Abrams in 2 years despite storages filled with hundreds of capable machines is, let me check my notes, that they sink in mud. Or was it that theres only so few trainers in the world that the capacity just isnt there? Or was it that their engines are so fuel hungry, the logistic would break down! So many issues.. heres a list! Somehow Iraq got 140, Saudis 373, Taiwan 108,  but thats on sand, it doesnt sink there. Lets not worry about it, did you hear we said we do everything it takes?* Now go fight in M113s from the Vietnam war while we dismantle a hundred Bradleys for scraps.

  7. Aah I remember being told "its only a matter of time" half a year ago, silly me was pessimistic about the politician who has brickwalled new aid every step of the way for 2 years, now its suddenly "dont hold your breath", or to say it as Scholz does: "whatever it takes".

    Im sure theres German boots in SK right now, making sure they dont bomb NK with it, might draw Germany into a war🙄

  8. 5 minutes ago, Grigb said:

    Nobody says it is easy there. But when a few dozen defend ruins of village against two brigades that Putin watches... 

    I am not claiming the position is bad, in another post I said it is advantagous and funnels russians through deadly areas in which they attrition at greater numbers but I was talking about bombing.

    14 minutes ago, Grigb said:

    All stories about Krynky is hell is nice to hear until they tell you that there are about 60-100 marines against:

    The 35th, 38th, 36th, 503rd, 501st and SOF are there, I doubt they use 60-100 to hold a nearly 4km line at any given point, even if this is not "static trench".

    2 russian brigades amounts to 3k, lets say actual: 1k, vs 60-100? I question that number, dont have a number myself but that sounds optimistically low.

  9. 1 hour ago, Grigb said:

    RU arty cannot shell it properly because they are afraid of UKR arty. They can't drone it since the majority of the drones sent are destroyed. They can't bomb it properly because VKS fears Patriot (they don't believe in S-200).

    Every marine complains they drop nonstop bombs, from the average drone footage coming out of there, Id agree with them.

    Video-Capture-20240227-012335.jpgVideo-Capture-20240227-012341.jpg

    Screenshot-20240227-013452-Telegram.jpg

    Screenshot-20240227-013443-Telegram.jpg

    Avdiivkas inner parts are more intact despite daily 70+bombs, many buildings still had roofs during 3rd AB GoPro footage during the withdrawl.

    ze_bg1920 had a post about daily bombing, that he was even forced to deleate 

  10. 1 hour ago, squatter said:

    the bigger the strain put on cross-river logistics

    Just CasEvac alone requires carrying a wounded soldier under FPV and artillery threat through 1.9kms of marshland, crossing 3 water obstacles that each require a boat and loading and unloading of the wounded. The boat, will either have to be carried too, or stashed somewhere, where it is likely to be hit by drones. 

    Or you decide to follow the waterways, which requires only 1  boat but is significantly longer through the twisting river.

    All of that has a very finite throughput, putting more than a couple Marines at risk would be a great way to end up with piles of uncollected bodies. There's already enough videos of stretchers getting hit in that bog.

    The value of Krynki is that it is a very defensable position that funnels russian vehicles either through the few completely straight forest roads where they can bog down or get hit by drones or through the veery long river road, which is exposed and easily observable, leading to quick discovery and annihilation of russian forces.

  11. 59 minutes ago, Grigb said:

    Real Wagnerite group do not exist for like 6 months. And the majority of them stopped participating in combat after their withdrawal from Bakhmut 9 month ago.

    I dont understand what you mean.

    Data is jan23->jan24, so ~3 months of heavy city fighting would be included.

    This was done by convicts and the data shows the lowest desert numbers at that time, with which the '10' fold had been calculated. 

    Also we are talking about a number that at its monthly highest, is a quarter of the daily killed and maimed, if taking the official estimates.

  12. 2 hours ago, Grigb said:

    We don't have actual numbers to evaluate it. What we do have is the number of deserters who contacted the organization that assists RU deserters. It is a small set, but it is all I have for now.

    Also I have heard that number of desertion court cases is also increased.

    A possible data issue, they account for Mobik vs Contractmeat, but not Wagner - if they are not included it heavily skews the results, as Wagner did most of the meatwaves and in in of itself had a very effective deserter suppression method.

  13. The list goes on.

    To the previous 

    6 PoWs in Zenit

    2 PoWs in Bakhmut

    3 PoWs in the south

    This week

    Now comes another 9 PoWs in Bakhmut, executed by russians and filmed by drone. Not in combat situations, lined up.

    And a video of a russian using a PoW as human shield, where it is unclear if he shot the PoW after being hit himself.

  14. 7 minutes ago, The_Capt said:

    And what is the endgame here?  Make space for Ukrainian local air superiority?

    Or rather, be able to support and gtfo without getting swarmed by russian CAP, which outnumbers greatly - especially since the F-16s and their pilots will likely arrive piecemeal.

  15. 5 hours ago, IMHO said:

    Seems like you are prone to making swift and uneducated judgements. The tag says "There's no place to cowards in this world" and the poor guy is in Russian Army uniform yet in Ukrainian warming coverall. If it's not a total set up. If it's authentic it's Wagner hanging his own, they did have brutal rules. So just open Google translate before meting out justice.

    The picture originates from a video filmed by a Ukrainian recon team entering a russian position around Avdiivka.

    5 hours ago, Harmon Rabb said:

    Anon posting on 4chan.

    Of course its a serb😂

  16. 31 minutes ago, Holien said:

    and it isn't Russian BS propaganda but does interview those fighting for Russia and the separatist

    If you give blatantly incorrect viewpoints a platform without challenging them, you are no journalist but a propagandist.

    Example, russians denying civilian massacrers in his interviews, which was not questioned or challenged but instead just accepted.

    It is not even bothsideism, as there is no other side in this creation.

    Have they interviewed resistance in hiding? The people who dissapeared or are afraid to speak up? No. Just russians and their stooges.

    Quote

     it kinda of backs up (I hate to say) the Capt pov that it might be better for Ukraine to cut Donbass loose.

    ...

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