Haiduk

Today's night wasn't lucky for UKR air defense. Russians could find some holes and hit multiple places in centarl and western Ukranie. Total 28 cruise missiles and 8 S-300 missiles were launched: - 4 Kh-22 (no interceptions) - 4 Kalibr from Russian figate near Yalta - 20 Kh-101/555 from 11 Tu-95 and Tu-160 (total 16 Kh-101/555 and Kalibrs were intercepted) - 8 S-300 missiles on targets in Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro oblasts (no interceptions) L'viv and around was struck by six missiles and only one was shot down. More that 40 private and residetial houses were damaged, 15 civilians were wounded In Lutsk Russian missiles hit bearing factory, belonged to Sweden SKF company. 3 employees were killed. In Smila, Cherkasy oblast, two missiles hit territories of hospital and machine-building plant. No casualties, but the city remained without water for five days

Some interesting details of known Russian video with atatck of T-90M and BMP-3 on Klichchiivka village and from where LNR unit got T-90M tanks. Grey zone claimed Russians initially shelled dismounting zone with DPICM, then T-90M of 85th motor-rifle brigade of LNR and BMP-3 of 83rd air-assault brigade attacked the village (I think if they are air-assault, they should have BMD-4, not BMP-3, but well). I was intrigued that LNR unit got most modern Russian tanks. But why? What is a mistery unit, which appered only in this year? Since some time of researches I encounred an information, that origins of 85th brigade are in 3rd Army Corps. The corps, being formed in Autumn 2022 got T-90M. As I knew Russian 54th motor-rifle regiment of 6th motor-rifle division of 3rd AC, was disbanded and on its place was formed 85th motor-rifle brigade, which was included into 2nd Army Corps (LNR )of 8th CAA. I can't find informatin about destiny of 6th motor-rifle division (it had 10th tank regiment, 54th, 55th, 57th motor-rifle regiments). Last information I have found, in mid of January 2023 units of division were moved to Belarus for training. Maybe in this time 54th regiment was disbanded. From other units of 3rd Army Corps to this time on 72nd motor-rifle brigade still in sight in Bakmut area. 10th tank regiment some time had been waging war near Avdiivka and suffered heavy losses.

Two UKR S-300PS were destroyed by probably Tornado-S heavy MLRS strike near Zelenyi Hai village, Mykolaiv oblast. This is about 52 km to contact line. Probably local traitor reported about position and Russians after additional drone recon confirmed the target and hit it. https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1691108048062840832

Pair of UKR Su-25 launch some guided missiles. Western OSINTers told this is HARM, but some Ukrainian accounts say, that more likely these could be Kh-25

UKR officials claimed, today's morning Russian HQ was struck in Yuryivka village on the coast of Azov sea (between Berdiansk and Mariupol). Loclas clarified there were two explosions on the territory of recreational complex, where Russians established vehicle repairing base and deployment of personnel. It's unknown if any high-ranked officers were among them.

I read a thread in twitter where one guy, who as if has relation to enlistment offices theme, claimed separate unit of former enlistment office servicemen is under forming. Private personnel will be likely from enlistment offices guarding companies and officer staff will be of former chiefs. Poor privates, if true.

One of variants - UKR T-64BV with a "basket" for dismounting infantry )

Artillery of 3rd assault brigade has foiled Russian counter-atatck near Andriivka village, Bakhmut area. 2 T-90M, T-80BVM, MTLB, BMP-1 got damages and were abandoned. I hope, all this will be destroyed soon by drones It's claimed 40 KIA and 25 WIA among Russian infantry, among them allegedly was kiled platoon commander of PMC "Espaniola" - volunteer unit, composed of football ultras, mostly of Moscow

79 air-assault brigade destroyed Russian UR-77 MICLIC with a grenade, dropped from the drone. Maryinka area.

Another example of damages, caused by M30A1 missile strike on the trucks, using by Russians likely for ammunition delivering and plundered grain and other goods export in opposite direction. Reportedly this is Kherson oblast.

Russian TG "Archangel of Spetsnaz" claims Russians recaptured Urozhaine back, but let's see - they claimed the same with Staromajorske and this turned out a lie.

Russian tank driver had "pathfinding skill" -1 and dropped his T-90M down from the cliff. Then the tank was hit by the drone.

Two days ago in small sea-shore town Urzuf on Azov sea, drunken Kadyrov's fighter of some numerous "Akhmat" units had a conflict with local military commandant office and shot out two Russian soldiers. After this he opened fire at civilians, who where unlucky to turn out themeselves in wrong place at wrong time - five more people were killed. Afther this, as claimed on the screen, "Akmat" fighters arrived to military commandant office and threaten by weapon prohibited to them and local police to make any investigation of this incident. They took own fighter with you and reportedly he already left territory of Ukraine back to Chechya. Local administration and police scared and answered to relatives of killed civilians they can do nothing "because you understand all perfectly", but we can give you some stew as humanitarian aid Aftermath of shooting - two dead soldiers in cars

Alas, Russian milblogger wrote today, both BMPT and T-80 got light damages and will be repaired soon. But even on the video you can see most of drones hit in non-critical zones or even missed.

Russian TG reported that UKR diversion group attacked again Russian convoy in deep rear near Razdolne village (14 km SE from Nova Kakhovka) Russian member of LostArmor community, Vein, told that motor-rifle regiment of Territorial Troops, guarded Kozachi Laheri area hadn't even PKM machine guns. Major Tomov and his survived recons in Ukrainan captivity, after UKR operation near Kozachi Laheri Tomov is drawing a scheme of Russian positions on left bank of Dnipro

This is just "the art of headline". Decision was made by National Security Council. Zelenskiy as a Supreme Comamnder has a right now due to this decision to make a directive for Ground Forces chief Syrskiy (who by the law is responsible for work of enlistment offices) and he by own order can fire these chiefs. But I mostly agree about populism. These people has high officer ranks - majors, lt.colonels, colonels. Nobody has a right to reduce them to privates and send in trenches. If they "clean" after investigation, they can be directed in some warm place in HQ, where they will fu...k field comamnders for keeping of Soviet-time journals piles. If such "valuable cadres", which forever stuck in USSR times will led a battalion this can led to the same tragedy as assault of 7th company of 116th mech.brigade on 27th of July near Robotyne. All company to this time considers itself as MIA.

@poesel Problem of UKR corruption with mobilization is not only celebrities. Almost each, who has 3000- 5000-10000 $ depending on place and greed of enlistment office chiefs could avoid mobilization. More "legal" variant is to get false health certificate from military medical committee (VLK in UKR abbrievation) and after this enlistment office recognized you as "unfit for military service", you get "white ticket" and can legally go abroad. The same committees easily recognized "fit for service" soldiers after heavy wounds, when they deserve to be recognized as disabled. Other variant (used mostly by sons of rich people) - your rich daddy establishes some public association or charity fund with very patriotic name. This organisation lend assistance for some pennies, but the son officially gets a status of civil volunteer of this association and can avoid mobilisation. For additional payment through the chain of "useful aquaintances" the son can be included by Oblast Military-Civil Administratin officilas into database of permission system "Way", which gives permissions for trevelling abroad for special categories of people who have "reservation" - deputies, top-officials, artists, journalists, sportsmen, civil volunteers, truckers etc. Rarely you can "solve a problem" with enlistment office chief personally, giving them some money and can be free, but without a garentee. But this way mostly takes place in small towns. This is of course not all ways how to not be mobilized. You can cross the border illegally for 5000 $ in special hides in trucks or with pathfinders. Or try to cross the border on your own, but this is too risky - and your detaining by border guards is a good variant, because you can just drown in the river. Oblast enlistment offices chiefs are just top of iceberg (or maybe even not a top). Many of chiefs on lower levels also have own income and must divide it with higer level. The separate hell is VLK. Soldiers and combat medics, which rised huge wave about needs of deep reforms in military medicine, which still in deep "sovok" told maybe in VLKs gathered most stupid, greed, impudent and mercyless doctors, which see on soldiers as on expendables in "best" traditions of Soviet army So, if we check all these public, we can find not only Odesa oblast enlistment office chief had villa in Spain and huge park of luxury cars...

Russian milbloggers about Ukrainian tactic on Zaporizhzhia front: 1. Ukrainians pulled to Orekhov direction [Robotyne from UKR point of view] many of EW assets. On my experience I can say here enemy's counteraction [of EW] is maximal. This is expressed in permanent counteraction to Russian communication assets and UAVs. 2. Big number of barrel and reactive artillery. The enemy doesn't feel "shell hunger". They pour forth generously. By my feelings - each five impact is claster munition. 3. The enemy actively use precision ammunition. As soon as they spot worthy target from usual UAV like "Furia", they try to hit it with Excalibur or HIMARS. They also don't spare HIMARSes - they became an integral part of counter-battery fire. This means, Ukrainians drastically reduced a time between spotting of target and it hitting by HIMARS [UKR experts assume that this happenmed also because now a main role of "long hand" for ammo dumps and deployment zones in deerp rear became to play Storm Shadows, so this allowed to switch HIMARSes from these tasks to counter-battery fire] 4. FPV drones of the enemy fly in further and further beyond frontline. They learned to hit moving targets on big distance from contact line. I think, that now is relatively safe to move only further than 10 km from contact line. 5. They actively use agriculture drones [means octocopters like R18 night bombers and similar] on Starlink. They effectively work at the night and it's hard to supress them with usual EW assets. On this screen: A battle ongoing. Up to 6 tanks of AFU attack. AFU actively use smoke screens for hiding of own maneuvers. All frontline in a smoke.

Our aviation supports our troops there - Su-25, helicopters. On the enemy positions in Urozhayne, which was allegedly liberated today, two JDAMs were fropped yesterday (likely Su-24M), so this is not one way ticket for our jets to fly there. Though, I don't know what altitude is needed for SS launch

1. Low probability, because Russian themeselves write SS is too hard to intercept and only one or two missiles were shot down, and 1 or 2 more were crashed itself. 2. Maybe, but I can't understand the tactical reason to spend SS for minor bridges in Chonhar and and Henichesk, which already substituted with pontoons and doesn't shoot in startregical bridge wich with 90 % guarantee will close it for enough large time. Especilaly now 3. The range of 290 km is allows (theoretically) to launch missiles from Huliaypole area in 270 km from the bridge. All this talks about "we will give you Taurus, but will pach it in order you do not fire on Russia" gives a question "either bridge considered as Russian territory or not?"

Russians claim they lost Urozhaine. But from our side no neither official, nor unofficial confirmation yet.

Meanwhile something going on along Dnipro river. Ukrianian troops likely didn't withdrew back to the island from Kozachi Laheri and fighting reportedly continuig, or at least heavy shellings of the village. Russian milblogger Romanov92 in his stand-up on eastern entrance of Kozachi Laheri claims UKR troops are shelling the village too heavy and seized western part of it. But our experts consider this is not a true and our forces really can control either farm and vegetable storages complex on western outskirt of village, or a zone in 3-4 km west from the village) In addition, yesterday Russian TG issued a message that on the section of the road T-2206 between villages Rozdolne and Vil'na Ukraina (in Russian post latter one names as Vol'noye) Ukrainian diversion group in Russian uniform ambushed column of vehicles and after attack lurked in tree-plants. Casualties among Russian forces reported, but without detals. This road is in 13 km from old Dnipro bank, in 14 - 19 km from Nova Kakhovka and in 50 km from allegedle landing zone neare Kozachi Laheri. If this was real deep SOF raid, then Russian defense and control over the troops can be quicly disruted if Ukraine will conduct more scale operation. But this also could be local partisans or even a clashe with Russian deserters, which then was given for "UKR ambush" According to Mashovets, Kozachi Laheri defends not 205th motor-rifle brigade, but 1445th motor-rifle regiment of Territorail Troops. And interesting detail, UKR landing near this village forced Russians to unbox own STRATEGICAL RESERVES. They now moving units of new-established Armies: 18th CAA of Southern military district and 25th CAA of Central military district. And it's demonstrative, they move these units not on Zaporizhzhia front, where their troops desperately need reinforcements, but into zone responsibility of Troops Grouping "Dnepr", where "nothing significant". Now only units of 18th CAA are deploying there - these are two regiments (26th and 28th MRRs) of 70th MRD in area of Nova Mayachka and Radensk. Other main formation of this division - 24th MRR, 17th TR and 81st SPHR are either in Crimea or on their way to deployment zone as well as units of 25th CAA.

Reportedly no damages on the bridge, a movement has been opened again. Russians claimed UKR used converted S-200 SAM misisles for attack. Number of used missiles is unknown - locals write about 4,6 and even 11 explosions. I wonder, why Storm Shadow arn't used? Either Kerch bridge is "restricted" target for them in order to "not escalate"

I think, this opinion is self-deception. "Democracy, freedom, rights" is just abstract set of terms without their carriers and those, who maintains by the laws existing of this values. This thing is a country, a nation as commonwealth of people, united by some values and culture and a state, as a rule representative of this commonwealth. Yes, we fight for freedom and rights too, but in first order we fight for the same "lines on the map", which mark our land, our cultural and national space - all what compose a country, which during hundreds of years has been growing and maintains these freedom and rights. But now I understand better, why so many western politics and usual people say in surprise "why you fight for pieces of land (as variat "for your corrupted government") and dooming many of your people on death and injuries? Fight for the territories - fi, how this "imperialistic"! You should start negotiations and make concessions with Russia, yes, you will lose a land, but you can leave in piece, you can develop democracy and you can become a EU/NATO member (sometime later... maybe... when pigs fly). Fight for "democracy and rights" only away from fight for own country is a way of atomisation of society. Bright example is a PLC of 17th century, were nobility fought only for own "rights", but not for country and in result this finished with crash of the state.