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Murz published clarification regarding recent video of UKR platoon running away. I will not put video here as it is just light platoon of UKR guys running away (for RU guys reading us - your army was founded by a guy who managed to ran away from Germans like through the half of RU before being forcibly stopped). It was celebrated by Murz as a glimmer of hope. Bright clean spot on RU pants full of crap [sorry, got very emotional reading Murz]. The video is not important, but Murz clarification is. Girkin (and many others) criticized Murz that video is bad as it shows UKR running away without Ghost [Murz related battalion] arty interfering and killing them once and for all. Murz responded with clarification describing what was really going on. As I can see from other sources it is a more or less typical platoon-company battle at Donbass and will give feel of current fights.

Thanks! I believe Kadyrov end game is to become legendary ruler of de jure sovereign Chechnia. For that he definitely needs legitimacy of recognition by tribes elders.

Do you have a feel that at least Geraschenko is pushing toward a peace deal? Is it possible that there is power game among Ukraine political elite to portrait current situation as losing, push Zelinsky to get a peace deal then blame him for bad ending and remove him from power? Everybody will be back to business as usual... @Haiduk what is your opinion?

Kadyrov is not smart per se, but he is extremely cunning and ruthless. Otherwise, he would be dead long time ago. And we should not underestimate Tik Tok battalion (but we should not overestimate it as well). Their Tik Tok activities must be seen as image thing - they show they are above average RU unit because they can avoid participating meat grinder and do fun stuff around. It is like they are trolling other RU forces for the sake of reputation back in Kavkaz region.

On other hand hardening as well as integration of civilian surveillance infrastructure in to territorial defense forces might be a good idea also. Hardened Lifeguard beach cameras might be of great use for one Asian island in case of invasion. And I mean, ok, you shot the hardened camera with rockets launcher. Next day, official road worker will pass by and legally replace it because you know, traffic blablabla, road police blablabla. Even if you block the worker after couple of days somebody somewhere replace some cameras and got at last some coverage of the road network.

Interesting detail of 1 phase fighting. [EDIT] Civilian surveillance systems is something that for sure needs to be taken in to account when fighting in the cities.

I would say photo was made in Poland as a guy in a beret at the bottom right does not look like Ukranian.

Fresh Assessment from Girkin Take with grain of salt. He might make mistakes. I might make translation mistakes. Summary - RU Donbase offensive is ending. The battle finished in a Draw slightly tilting to UKR side. He expects a pause in Donbass (implying RU forces). A new RU offensive is coming in between a week and month and half but definitely before autumn as RU political leadership cannot tolerate current conditions.

Girkin UKR artillery is working hard in Donetsk.

Fun story (might be photoshop but it still funny) about what RU business is really thinking about the situation. As you might know recently there was so called Internation Economic Forum. It's where main RU sicko was talking about usual sick RU stuff. One of the biggest RU business media groups RBK had stand there. This is the photo of that stand with charade. It supposed to say RBK is about: Business but for Russians it literally says RBK is about [how everything is] F*CKED UP

Interesting bit about RU drones and EW from couple of RU video. It looks like commercial drones are doing most of the work in RU forces. Military drones seem to be very expensive and rare. As such RU EW devices tend to block their own drone operations. This could be the reason they are using EW sparingly.

Some details from Murz regarding the recent UKR strike of Red Ray ammo warehouse.

You do recommend to buy his lies, comrade. And your talking point about Nazi reminds me about Olginka building, comrade. Comrade, your masters' tactics of using useful idiots to throw in RU propaganda as if it is not coming directly from RU is well known. His talking point were already discussed and disproven. Notably by your own side, comrade

Yes, I believe the same. Crimea is like crown jewel of Putin Imperial legacy. Even ecological catastrophe or even just threat of it will destroy Putin as Imperial Builder. I my humble opinion UKR can just cut off Crimea, destroy the bridge and do nothing until RU collapses into internal struggle. Then simply follow retreating RU forces and liberate everything. The only problem would be time given to nationals > increased pressure to use the Red button.

I believe we are missing Crimea water problem. The Invasion of 2014 was not as successful as it might seem. RU failed to capture the land bridge and thus failed to ensure water supply to Crimea. The result was ecological catastrophe in slow motion. So, Putin had very real pressure to start a war with Ukraine as soon as possible to capture at least enough UKR land to ensure water supply. And if you are going to war why not to try to capture whole things? Military reports they can defeat UKR resistance in couple of days. So, all out war for quick regime change is better than limited invasion with unclear exist strategy.

Age is not a problem. Problem is the recoilless gun. BMD-2 has 30mm gun which is considered far superior to recoilless gun. Valid comparison would be units equipped by BMD-1.

Under normal circumstances RU command would keep these guys behind and use instead more capable units with better vehicles. BMP-1 considered old crap (due to the gun). The mere fact of their appearance at the front line is bad (for RU).

And another rant - Murz reaction to RU notion of UKR imminent defeat. [QUOTE] The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have lost most of the modern modifications of the T-72/90 and most of the BMP-3 fleet since the beginning of the SVO. More than a month ago, the crossing near Belogorovka showed not only the monstrous situation with the incompetence of the command in some places, but also that the Russian Armed Forces are already fighting with the second or third sets of equipment, which consist of the same BMP-1, which the Ukrainian army is now receiving from Eastern European allies. Moreover, the APU has chances to get more modern equipment in the near future to make up for losses, but the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the Corps of the LPR NM have no chance to replenish at the expense of modern products of our military–industrial complex - the military-industrial complex simply does not produce as much as it needs to be replenished, and it will not produce as much for a long time. Therefore, the T-62 and BMP-1 are coming to the front from storage, and, for example, the radio navigation equipment on this technique is either rotted, or is missing, or is represented by R-123 tube radios, while the APU have a technology for installing digital Motorola and military-standard GPS receivers in armored vehicles. For understanding, if there is now one fully combat–ready, combat-ready tank company out of three or four required by the state in one of the tank battalions of the LPR or DPR NM, then this is a record and a reason for pride. Moreover, most of the combat-ready vehicles are captured Ukrainian T-64s, because they are captured in a more tolerable technical condition than the own T-64s of the people's millionaires. The same “fire brigades” are advancing from our side in these areas, assembled from the remnants of the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM Republics that have still retained combat capability. In the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM Republics, the situation with personnel, complicated by the mass of Russian refuseniks, is much worse. What nonsense! How UKR came up with bull**** to teach someone… In our country, the mobilized are immediately thrown to the front. THAT'S HOW IT'S MEANT TO BE! And, of course, there is no mechanism for the constant training of mass combat-ready reserves. It has not been created, it is not being created and it is not known when this bright idea will come to the minds of the leadership. Like Tyra, right? [UKR said they recently exchanged female civilian volunteer paramedic captured in Mariupol, accused by RU in war crimes] By the way, our propagandists accused her of murdering a married couple with the aim of seizing children to escape from Mariupol [RU accused he in killing mother and kidnaping kids to pose as their mother]. That is, here is a direct visual war crime, for which it is supposed to be hanged. Still what? Or were they lying to us, or is it more important to exchange the son of our generals than to punish the murderer of civilians caught red-handed? Crippled separ[tist]s, who were lucky to survive in Mariupol, will appreciate this approach, I believe. We also have this problem. How to “increase the production of UAVs" in conditions when all the optics for them came under even more severe sanctions pressure? No way. Similarly, the mass of positions in other industries. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, allegedly equipped with the most modern encrypted military radio complexes “Azart”, 250,000 rubles from the budget for one walkie-talkie, use Chinese radio stations “Baofeng” in combat operations, easily listened to by the enemy (2,500 rubles for a walkie-talkie). Volunteers supply the army with optics, electronics, communications, thermal imagers and night sights. In the units of reservists for three months of the war, the supply of even the most elementary things like the most primitive means of front-line medicine has not been established, not to mention the fact that reservists are fighting without normal means of individual armor protection. Continue to Wait. [UNQUOTE]

That is why it is really scary scenario - In RU imagination they are fighting against Russia destruction. And it does not matter for them whether Russia is destroyed military or economically. Catastrophic development will be seen as The Plan of Evil West to Destroy Glorius Russia. So, they will press the red button sooner or later - And we, as a victim of aggression, we, as martyrs, will go to heaven, and they will simply die, because they will not even have time to repent. Putin October 18, 2018

Interesting RU comment about rear echelon of enhanced LDNR Vostok battalion comparing to regular RU forces

I was living there, mate. It was where I was born. So, i respectably disagree. Look at August 91 coup. It was USSR ending event. Where was VDV? You would expect VDV would be major force suppressing biggest uprising in modern USSR history. But reality was different. They are QRF and shock troops. Keeping Army or anybody else in line was never their job.

And it surprises me. It is army QRF and shock troops. Even in USSR. Army units simply are neither loyal nor reliable enough for any RU political regime because RU rulers rarely come from military clan. It is like this: Military clan will use VDV against KGB clan if Military decide to get rid of KGB clan KGB clan will use Rosgvardia to keep ordinary Army formations in line (generals will be killed by infiltrators) Both Military and KGB will use both VDV and Rosgvardia to deal with any significant uprising. VDV goes first to establish military superiority and may be perform initial cleansing of the most threatening enemy elements (Butcha) but it will be Rosguardia that will do the job of quelling uprising and keeping anyone in line. In case of minor uprising VDV might not be even called.

Yes, it seems so. Apparently Covid and isolation took its toll on Putin. Also Lukashenko was resisting Putin right until protests. After that Lukashnko became much more agreeable and that gave shortest route to Kiev.

Sorry, but it looks like it is not entirely true. I do not know from where idea VDV keeps army in line is coming. Keeping army in line is a dishonorable job beneath VDV. It is the job of Rosguardia formations. According to RU talks Serdyukov was de facto relived right after ending Kiev battle. Now it is just formally arranged. They say Serdykov wanted to be a legend like founder of VDV Margelov and decided to press on for Kiev even after they realized UKR forces are not surrendering. Almost all field commanders ignored him except 76th VDV Division. As a result the division got totally defeated (Divisional Recon company was destroyed). Those who talked with survivors got shocked for couple of days. Looked like guys were on edge of mutiny and Serdyukov got unofficially sacked.

The comment about Ukrainian tankers is somewhat questionable. He cannot know how many rounds UKR tanks are carrying. So, he judged by the fireworks. But even unofficial after Chechnia SOP with keeping only 20 rounds can produce the same violent fireworks. Even his 10 rounds SOP can do it. It does not prevent fireworks but just decreases the chance of major fireworks after a minor hit (RPG). Hit him with a tank round and up he goes.