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Seedorf81

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Posts posted by Seedorf81

  1. 24 minutes ago, Kraft said:

    Does history also teach what it leads to when one side arms up and the other doesnt? 

    Not aimed directly at you but china has been massively building up its navy in the past decade, while the US one has been downsizing, I guess now people are more willing to accept that a nation that put terratorial conquest of its independent neighbour island into their constitution may not seek peace with its new aircraft carriers and just because we pretend all is and will be fine doesnt change the reality that some despots dont care how many soldiers end up dying if they can get what they want.

     

     

    But still, no war.

  2. 14 minutes ago, holoween said:

    arms races are caused by tensions in the relation of great powers. those are also what causes the wars not the arms race.

    I did not say "cause".

    Politicians, fears, nationalism, idealism and even economics and a lot of other reasons cause armsraces, yes. But buying/producing more weapons usually urges the "other side" to do the same, and then someone, somewhere, somehow sees or fears that there will be a disadvantageous imbalance, and decides "to strike now, before it is too late".

    Chicken and egg conundrum, probably.   

  3. 5 hours ago, dan/california said:

     

    I don't agree with General Milley about some things, but he has this bit 100% correct.

    It is actually a fairly long article about the current and future status and effects of global defense spending. Worth your time.

    Well.. what I learned from history, is that armament-races (except for the nucleair one) usually LEAD to "great power wars".

  4. No doubt in my mind that this "Russian legion" is being set up by the Ukrainians, and I think it's not only brilliant and bold, but a bit funny, too. I mean, using Putin's own trick against him, that must piss him off big time.

    On the other hand, what if the Ukranian offensive starts, this Russian legion conquers a bigger chunk of Russian territory than anyone expected, and in desperation Putin uses a tactical nuke on them?

    Nobody ever dreamt of a Russian nuke to kill Russians in Russia, but now?!

  5. 1 hour ago, Centurian52 said:

    I emphasize again, while I do think warfare is headed in that direction, it is still a long way away. As impressive as chat GPT looks from the outside, AI just isn't there yet.

    Fully autonomous weapon systems are next decade's tech (at the earliest), not this decade's.

    Well, in my opinion we could be very surprised on how war, and the growing threat of more war (global even), expedites funding of, and progress of, development in technology and weaponry. (By the way, this also goes for medical and logistical etc. developments.)

    In 1933 famous scientists (Einstein, too) said that they believed that nucleair energy/weapons would be impossible. https://www.facebook.com/veritasium/videos/why-einstein-thought-nuclear-weapons-were-impossible/310406717550229/.

    Only twelve years later, ARMS-RACE and WAR years later, the Hiroshima bomb exploded. It was predominantly the almost ridiculous amount of money for the Manhattan-project that made the exceptional scientific progress possible. Money that never would have been allocated in peace-time.

    So war, and even the threat of war, unleashes funds and capabilities that can have stunning results. I believe we ain't seen nothing yet.

     

    P.S.: When watching D-Day 1944 film-footage I always think of the unimaginable exponential growth and functionality (mind-blowing logistics, from USA to Birma, China, Africa, Europe, Russia, Middle-east, Australia and all over the entire Pacific) of the United States Army in WW2.

    If the current USA would only have half of that WW2power, (which lies dorment at the moment, I think) then it would be wise for anyone not to go to war with the United States.

     

     

  6. 56 minutes ago, dan/california said:

    Next year the kamikaze drone won't even need an operator. The recon drone can pass the gps of the target, and in a high jamming environment an terrain matching map automatically recorded by the recon drone. Any number of systems are already capable of pattern matching the picture of the basement opening for terminal guidance. Maybe the recon operator, or his assistant needs to pencil in the desired final attack vector in a 3d map view. There is no reason a two man team of drone operators couldn't dispatch an appropriately targeted kamikaze drone every thirty seconds in a target rich environment. And this is before someone wades into it with real AI. 

    Yeah, war always speeds up technology-development.

    I suspect it won't take long before we see synchronized drone-clouds (hundreds?) with explosives and "human-recognizing"-software. One operator steers them to the target-area, and then the drones "hunt" individual soldiers. (And any unlucky civilian that is around.)

    Scary stuff.

  7. 12 hours ago, JonS said:

    Right, but a generation later in 1944 they faced exactly the same decision, for the same reasons, and instead chose to continue into gotterdammerung.

    But even within that, they chose to end things in May 45, which included not continuing in the alpine redoubt, and not transitioning to a decades long insurgency.

    Yes, the Germans gave up, but only after Hitler killed himself.

    Question is if that would have been the case if Hitler had gone to the Alps (or in hiding like Saddam Hoessein).

    It shows to me that getting rid of The Big Guy on the Top (Putin) is vital for any peace-possibilty between Russia-Ukraine.

  8. 4 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    More interesting videos:

    (..)

     

    First in a new series of K2 videos from a different sector than the infamous T Intersection videos we all watched.  This one is of Russian reinforcements trying to get to their own trenches.  By K2's count, 10 Russians got KIA or very seriously WIA:

    Steve

    This awful K2 video reminds me of the numerous stories from (pre-drone) wars and the soldiers' struggle on what to do when mortars zero in on you when caught in the open or partially open.

    Veterans seemed to be fairly equally divided on what to do.

    A. Drop down, don't move and wait until the worst is over or

    B. Immediately run as fast as you can to get out of the kill-zone.

    Although it looks to me that drones "solve" this problem by making any escape virtually impossible, I find it remarkable that the only surviving soldier in this clip is the one who got up and started to run. Would that be luck or wisdom?

    I don't know, but the more I see these vids, there more I count myself to be very, very VERY lucky not to be in a war.

  9. 2 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    With a better designed vetting process this could be fairly easily worked around.  For example, being told to hand over access to all social media accounts during application process and being subjected to random inspections while holding classification.  Couple things like this with a lie detector test and I think we're well on the way to scoping out who we're hiring:

    Interviewer (I) = do you have any social media accounts you haven't told us about?

    Prospect (P) = no.

    I = well, this needle here shows you're lying.  What account are you not telling us about and what is your user name?

    P = well, I go by JewKiller666 on whitepower.com.  But I hardly use it so I thought I didn't need to mention it.

    I = yeah, well, don't let the door hit you in the arse on the way out.  NEXT!

     

    Of course I am being a bit flip here, but my guess is that the vetting process is not geared towards the full spectrum of whackos out there.  It needs to be on the lookout for people who are, basically, antisocial generally.  You know, because antisocial people tend to do antisocial things.

    I wouldn't be half surprised if they still have a type written question like "have you ever been a member of the Communist Party USA?"  OK, I'm being flip again... so I'll just stop there.

    Steve

    I laughed out loud, when I read this fictional and seemingly ridiculous interview.

    But then I thought of some of the people I recently met in the neighborhood, at work, and on the Internet; and it dawned on me:

    that fictional interview may be much less ridiculous than it looks.

    Maybe I've turned into a negative grumpy old man, but the amount of antisocial, ignorant, "ever-complaining about the stupidest things" and "blame everyone but oneself" kinda people seems to grow by the minute.

     

  10. 59 minutes ago, poesel said:

    I have to say that I'm a bit disappointed by this thread, and by thread I mean YOU.

    I learned about this on a main media website first, then on the fricking TV and only after that, here. In the days of yore, I would have read about the delivery date here a week ago.

    :D

    I did not claim it to be "breaking news" or "sensational news" or anything like that, did I?

    If you expect others to be the first with every bit of news, you'll be disappointed a lot more, I fear. 

  11. 1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    (..)

    Again, this is speaking from my own personal experiences with actual Human beings that I interact with. 

    Steve

    In a usually grim and sometimes horrible thread, a very funny line, I think.

    Don't know if this was intended, but it sure confirms that Steve is at least a little bit of an alien 🤖.  

  12. 4 minutes ago, chuckdyke said:

    Exactly the language putin likes to hear and uses as an excuse. The age of the right by conquest is not here anymore. That is what he wants to restore. Russia is just a European country nothing more and nothing less and it is time the people don't fall out of windows or get poisoned in any European city for just disagreeing. All the other ex-Soviet Republics have the right to choose their own destiny. As a rule their leaders have super clue in their pants. Once on the seat of power impossible to move.

    Again, that has nothing to do with my posts, as far as I can see.

    I asked why you accused me of being pro-Putin, and I haven't even seen a hint of an understandable answer/explanation.

    Although my annoyance about the accusation is actually growing, I'll let it be, because this discussion shouldn't be on this Forum at all. 

  13. 1 minute ago, chuckdyke said:

    Lukewarm at best as long as the war doesn't cost too much. I am ashamed of the late contributions of Western Europe. US again donate out of all proportion.

    What has that to do with me? I still don't see where I showed any "Pro-Putin" thoughts, and I resent being accused of that.

    I do not take that lightly.

  14. 36 minutes ago, chuckdyke said:

    Not giving up 130000 primary Russians fought on the German side. Novgorod was according one veteran I knew one heck of a friendly city among a few others. You strike me definitely as pro putin in your post. Giving credit when it is not due. 

    Russian Liberation Army - Wikipedia

    How, and why, you come to the conclusion that I am pro-Putin, baffles me, shocks me, and even slightly insults me.

    I'm stunned, really. 

  15. 12 minutes ago, Ultradave said:

    I think you guys are using Russia and Russians two different ways. One very literal, the other general and encompassing.  Might be more of a language/usage issue than an actual disagreement?

    Dave

     

    That is probably part of it, thank you, Dave.

    With "Russians", I meant that as in The Russian Empire (Napoleanic times) and The Sowjet Union in general.

    I have no idea how many people under those names really felt part of that, or only part of their region/ethnicity/culture, or maybe a little bit or both, perhaps?

     

  16. 4 minutes ago, chuckdyke said:

    Russia, the Ukraine, Kazakhstan and all the other Soviet republics beat Germany on the Eastern Front with Lend and Lease from the west. By itself Russia achieved zilch 0.000000000 nothing. Their leader was not even Russian but Georgian.

    To say they achieved "nothing", is historically inaccurate.

    And do you think that the Russians think that?

    It was about their mindset on why not giving up, so I do not see the relevance of your post, TBH.

     

  17. 13 hours ago, dan/california said:

    That is THE question of this war. Why don't they look around declare it a disaster/I mean total victory, and go the bleep home?

    Against Napoleon things didn't look good for a very long time, but the Russians kept on fighting, and they finally did win.

    The Winterwar of 1939 didn't go especially good, to use a nice euphemism, but the Russians kept on fighting and they won eventually. 

    And well, the summer of 1941 was way, way, WAY worse for the Russian Army than anything else, but they kept on fighting (against any logic or sensible reason), and they won in 1945.

     

    So their history teaches them: how bad it is, even unimaginably bad, in the end we can win.

     

     

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