fireship4
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Posts posted by fireship4
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4 hours ago, danfrodo said:
What do y'all think of this? Are we happy? Do we like strykers for UKR? I have used them a lot in CMBS. They are better than M113s & pickup trucks for sure, but what big advantages do we expect to get from these? What firepower packages would be sent??
Modern, in production, can carry 9 soldiers, thermal RWS, paving the way for 30mm... looks good if you want to mechanise your infantry.
How many men are in the average UKR squad these days anyway? 9 has always felt a little brittle. One or two casualties seems to make a 9 man squad of two fire teams substantially less effective. I suppose you could argue any squad dealing with casualties becomes ineffective to some extent, and the smaller the better? The other direction is more toward a 12 person or 3 fire team squad perhaps, but then whither transport? The only vehicles that I can think of which could hold substantially more than 9 are the USMC AAVP-7A1, with space for 21(!?) passengers, and its replacement based on the Iveco SuperAV, holding 13 (just in time for the squad size increase from 13 to 15).
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On 1/8/2023 at 8:02 PM, Battlefront.com said:
Science appears to disagree with you
I was listening to a study that was done with subjects in MRI. When asked about various things they noted parts of the brain lighting up and how strongly they lit up. The more the questions were about the future and abstract concepts (e.g. the planet vs. you personally), the more distant and the more abstract the less the brain lit up compared to nearer and more personal topics.
This makes sense if you think about it. How many people are managing their day to day finances reasonably well compared to planning for retirement? Government spending is also notoriously short term thinking. Government's priorities are almost always a fair reflection of people's short term thinking. Etc.
In a totalitarian system it makes a lot of sense for someone to be more concerned about being arrested tomorrow for something they do today than concern for what may happen a year from now.
Steve
Without wishing to begin a discussion outside the topic, I will simply say I have not read anything thus far by Mr. Science on the subject and will have to get by refuting unsubstantiated theory on it's own merit.
In considering the conjecture 'Humans are biologically tailored towards short term thinking', on the basis of the supplied anecdote, I refute it thus:
# I understand fMRI can be used to measure areas of the brain where oxygen is being consumed at a higher rate, with an approximate resolution of 1 second. These images are I suspect compared with models of the brain which are averaged between different subjects to produce maps showing where similar inputs produce activity.
# The brain is neither a tabula rasa nor can it accomplish anything much lacking long term interaction with environment and culture. I believe we know very little about how the brain is programmed by these things.
# The extent to which the planetwide and personal are more or less abstract seems a question of culture and complexity, not of biology (assuming you are programming something like a Turing complete machine, presumably linked with biological systems computing in more specialised and less reprogrammable ways). Our distant ancestors, with the same equipment, would not have understood the question, were they able to communicate and have it translated for them.
Furthermore, short-term legislation by government, and the financial planning of people are systemic and cultural (even moral) subjects also, unless someone can point me toward the section of our DNA encoding pension funds.
The last point would depend on who you are in the system. A totalitarian system may plan far into the future, and furthermore have that plan actualised more readily and directly than a democratic one.
However, were you to post some screen-shots of a new CM3 engine I might agree to disagree.
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5 hours ago, The_Capt said:
What has this infrastructure campaign actually achieved?
I've seen it suggested it may encourage the movement of anti-missile systems away from the front, making it more vulnerable, and run down their supplies, so the RuAF can fly at higher altitudes.
8 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:Humans are biologically tailored towards short term thinking.
I cannot agree with this. People under duress may think on shorter time scales, with the aim of surviving day-to-day, when thinking further ahead and the effort required to sacrifice for tomorrow are too taxing on their limited resources. Living further from the edge may allow for clearer thinking, and saving up for a decent pair of boots which will cost less in the long run.
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On 1/5/2023 at 7:04 PM, Vacillator said:
"...I mis-read your post as saying it's in the titty-tag..."
On 1/5/2023 at 7:38 PM, JM Stuff said:"Our mind play sometimes with ourself..."
Dear oh dear.
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5 hours ago, Huba said:
JDAMs are going to Ukraine
Hope they get these: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ground-launched-small-diameter-bomb-would-double-ukraines-precision-strike-range
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10 hours ago, domfluff said:
The six batteries of the brigade would be unlikely (but not totally impossible) to turn up in support of a single battalion tactical group. More likely in practice this would be split between the two btgs the brigade or regiment is expected to provide.
A battalion of SPG artillery was expected to travel with the BTG apparently, or two battalions plus MLRS plus AT guns plus attached artillery as part of a brigade formation, according to 'The Russian Way of War', which I think was based on a bunch of military training material left on a Russian general educational website, with commentary.
With regard to artillery being weak, we see 152mm artillery destroying tanks in Ukraine without hitting them directly, and I doubt a 10min 120mm barrage by a mortar battery on their heads should leave an infantry company a viable force.
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A Russian brigade artillery group's 2 battalions of howitzers together are 36 guns... I have never seen that kind of support available in game outside user-made scenarios. Furthermore, artillery in game has been accused of being weak, and I agree as far as I can judge. I believe this has all been gone over before in any case. Would love to see it change!
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Aircraft in hour+ holding patterns over Kaliningrad Krabrovo airport again this morning, with one so far apparently on the way back to mainland Russia, presumably due to weather conditions.
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Multiple flights from Moscow & St. Petersburg seemingly unable to land at Kaliningrad Krabrovo this morning. It's a long way back!
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48 minutes ago, danfrodo said:
Denys Davydov today said Bundeswehr agrees to send leopard 2 tanks to UKR.
Video caption reads:
Quote'The USA advocated the transfer of German Leopard tanks to Ukraine. Biden's national security advisor, Sullivan, told Foreign Policy Chancellor Jens Pletner that the US would welcome Germany's delivery of the Leopard 2'.
'The Bundestag has confirmed that the USA will support Germany's decision to transfer tanks to Ukraine, said the head of the Bundestag Defense Committee, Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann'.
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33 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
On other note, it is good you pasted Vlad Vexler YT.
I should have said that the author of the first video linked to the criticism himself in the comments section.
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A recent YouTube piece on ideologues influential on modern Russia, in particular: Ivan Ilyin, Lev Gumilyov, and Carl Schmitt. It provides context to why the influence of Dugin is considered overstated.
QuoteAnd for some pushback/criticism on how much Putin himself is in fact an acolyte of Ilyin:
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QuoteQuote
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19 minutes ago, Kinophile said:
Crimea liberari debet.
Caecilius est in culīnā.
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29 minutes ago, Kinophile said:
Crimea delenda est.
Er, can we settle for liberation Cato?
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Full translation of Dugin letter via @wartranslated, these do not seem to be words that can easily be taken back:
https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1591181876815106048#mQuote
EDIT: Also, via @TpyxaNews:
“Iran has suspended the supply of weapons to the Russian Federation,” - Arestovych
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Fans of Joseph Wright of Derby may appreciate this photograph I found via @WarMonitor3, hosted by the NYT, captioned by him as 'Bakhmut, 58th Brigade':
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19 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
(note slight typo in the translation should read "Bombed Donbas" instead of "Dombed Bonbas"
I am no expert on this but... the translation reads 'Dombed Bombas' and I believe it is intentional. I have heard Volodymyr Zolkin refer to Donbas as 'Bombas' a number of times in the past and I think it may be in reference to Russian refrains on it being under attack.
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Mark Galeotti is back from holiday, with a catchup episode:
https://audio.buzzsprout.com/oxwwdnx3sfnvqmcg8q3dy0kxg0yq?response-content-disposition=inline&
Of the podcast 'In Moscow's Shadows':
https://feeds.buzzsprout.com/1026985.rss
That goes along with his blog:
https://inmoscowsshadows.wordpress.com/
EDIT: In other news, Adam Curtis has released a new documentary 'Russia 1985–1999: TraumaZone':
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ke600MgW1F0
or for those in the UK: https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p0d3hwl1/russia-19851999-traumazone
An interview about it:
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1 hour ago, Haiduk said:
Alas, I havn't own account in twitter, so can't see locked twits (
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3 hours ago, LongLeftFlank said:
...I am studying the NE quadrant of his latest topo together with your map here to try to visualise a credible Russian defensive line along the Krasna river (Svatove-Kreminna)...
...FWIW, I dislike maps visually dominated by big red and blue front lines...
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Using some live map information from the 24th onward and BMU height maps, imported into Google Earth. Link for higher detail: https://postimg.cc/62F8C1m8
[Of course there's another Lyman just 90KM ENE]
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[@DefMon3 Map dated 2022.09.30 overlaid upon something similar https://postimg.cc/67CkwMkd]
1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:"no plan is still a plan and it is usually the worst one possible"
For what it's worth:
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"Russia's FSB detains and expels Japanese consul for alleged spying - agencies"
I had been thinking of making a post of reasonable weight regarding some of the topics touched on recently, including statements about Scotland and Wales being 'self-governing', Northern Ireland being 'occupied territory', the sapient status of Russians (including presumably those Ukrainian grandfathers who fought in the GPW, several forum members and their relatives), the current nuclear brinkmanship, the nature of a modern democratic nation state as it lives in the heads of its populace and institutions, and the extent to which a society can be considered 'open' or 'closed'.
In lieu of the last two subjects those interested may find a 1988 article in The Economist by Karl Popper worth reading: https://www.economist.com/democracy-in-america/2016/01/31/from-the-archives-the-open-society-and-its-enemies-revisited
The verbosity and frequency of posts to the thread make it hard to get a handle on without some scanning and skipping. I'd advocate that news posts from members like Haiduk and Grigb continue apace, while more attention be paid to concision in the expression of opinion and discussion in the thread.
Glad to hear some Western nations are averse to lies in theatre, and I consider there to be silver lining to the cack-handedness (camoflage in a virtual studio and misguided WordArt) I witnessed where 'information warfare' faces the home front, as I do in the case of our unruly classrooms.
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Apologies for the repost, but I was unable to edit the one I made 2 hours ago.
A link to the video of Prigozhin speaking to inmates that @FancyCat posted yesterday, with subtitles, via @wartranslated: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570123353331011586#m
What Girkin thinks about it: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570374548914053121#m
A relevant scene from Shtrafbat:
A thread by Galeev: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1539258381243908096.html
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A link to the video of Prigozhin speaking to inmates that @FancyCat posted yesterday, with subtitles, via @wartranslated:
https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570123353331011586#m
A relevant scene from Shtrafbat (autotranslate is all that's available):
QuoteEDIT: What Girkin thinks about it: https://nitter.net/wartranslated/status/1570374548914053121#m
I was listening to a study that was done with subjects in MRI. When asked about various things they noted parts of the brain lighting up and how strongly they lit up. The more the questions were about the future and abstract concepts (e.g. the planet vs. you personally), the more distant and the more abstract the less the brain lit up compared to nearer and more personal topics.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by fireship4
According to The Warzone, in an article about rumours around planned Western tank provision, the Stryker is not suited to winter conditions, being replaced in Alaska by the BvS10 Beowulf/CATV.