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Baneman

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Posts posted by Baneman

  1. 10 minutes ago, Pilaf said:

    CNN reported a group of Russian prisoners being knee capped which pretty much means they'll die of their wounds. Russians will probably have higher incentive to fight to death rather than surrender now that this is out.

    There's no reason why they should die of their wounds ... unless all the medical facilities in the area have been bombed... oh well...

    Sympathy failure here - also, has this actually been verified ?

    Then the Russians say "In the first response from Russian authorities, the chairman of the investigative committee of the Russian Federation, A.I. Bastrykin, said an investigation would be launched "to establish all the circumstances of the ill-treatment of captured soldiers by Ukrainian nationalists.""

    So - quick to launch investigations into "ill-treatment", but they aren't nearly so quick to launch investigations into arbitrary shooting of Ukrainian civilians as noted in phone intercepts.

    My sympathy remains in a failed state.

  2. 1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    ...

    For the next 10 years at least there are not going to be such debates.  Instead, camps will form to debate the degree of awfulness.  Anybody that attempts to make a case that there's something positive to say about the Russian forces or equipment will be quickly dismissed as out of touch with reality....

    To be fair, you might be being slightly harsh about the 10 years - Ukraine turned it around in less than 10.

    ( then again, they knew they absolutely had to - despite Putin's showy hysterical squalling, no one is threatening to invade Russia. )

  3. 1 hour ago, John Kettler said:

    ...
    But we also know that certain claimed outrages have not occurred (bombing the in fact empty for days Mariupol maternity facility, but selling the story as a slaughter of pregnant mothers and infants by using a crisis actor and suitable BG...

    As soon as you see the words "crisis actor", you should know whatever the story is, it's nonsense.

    I'm not aware of any event in the world that was actually staged using "crisis actors" - it's just a right-wing meme.

    In fact, if you thought about it critically for a bit, you'd realise that such a thing would be almost impossible to pull off - you'd have to get everyone for miles around to buy into it, or someone would be saying "they're not from around here" and variations on it.

    PS: the woman you're calling a "crisis actor" died of her wounds.

  4. 4 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:

    It must be edited. If any of the shells in those piles blew up, there wouldn't be any camera left, or people to make weird noises.

    The activity doesn't seem staged though ... which is insane - although that could explain a lot of those unexploded shells/bombs/missiles if they routinely treat their ammunition like that.

  5. 17 minutes ago, db_zero said:

    If the tank goes away as some predict then will armies just use IFVs? They will need something to transport infantry that protects them from artillery.

    Those IFVs will be even more vulnerable to ATGMs.

    I think too many are drawing conclusions based on the utter incompetence of the Russian army. 
    ..

    They will come up with some sort of countermeasures. Aside from what’s already out there we may see something like a mini CWIS system that uses something like the metal storm system.

    ...

    Countermeasures will still be around and improving all the time, but maybe they won't be needed for tanks.

    As I see it, the tank was originally a breakthrough weapon, designed to 
    A) Get infantry and firepower into the enemy line while
    ( B ) being largely impervious to the infantry arms in that line.

    As time went on from WWI, (A) evolved and mutated a lot, but the tank was still useful in all sorts of ways because (B) still held.

    With this war being practically the coming of age of infantry portable long range AT weapons, the utility of the tank appears to be diminishing fast. 
    (B) no longer holds and (A) can be achieved in all sorts of ways that weren't available when the tank was born.

    Fire support for the infantry no longer needs a tank, you'd be better off with several small unmanned vehicles with something like a CROWS on top - drones don't have to be airborne, right ?
    The means for any other specialist task that tanks were used for can these days be carried or easily brought up to the infantry requiring it.

    The all important ATGM and drone countermeasures you save to protect your mobile artillery and EW assets.

  6. 1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    My mind has been wracking the dusty memory banks to think of something equally stupid.  The Italian East African Campaign is one that keeps coming to mind, both in terms of the incompetence of how it was conducted as well as the ramifications that came from its defeat.

    The other that comes to mind is the Six Day War.  As with the Italian campaign, the attackers chose their moment and when the dust settled they had lost everything they worked towards and more.

    However, there were REAL reasons for both the Italian campaign and what became the Six Day war.  Putin's war on Ukraine was a complete fabrication of need. 

    I still vote for the Battle of the Horns of Hattin as being the best equivalent - it has the lack of need, the sheer military incompetence as well as the massive political fallout.

  7. 41 minutes ago, db_zero said:

    I never was a fan of NATO expanding East as given Russia’s past it would be viewed as threatening.

    ...

    Yes, but it was never about NATO expanding east, it was countries that happened to be east of the NATO group of the time that felt threatened by a future Russia and wanting to join.

    There's no reason to join a defensive organisation unless you distrust your neighbour  - and given Russian behaviour, they weren't wrong to want to join.
    Do you really think that Russia wouldn't be bullying the Baltics just as in Georgia, Moldova etc. if those countries had stayed out of NATO ?

  8. 6 hours ago, c3k said:

    ...This is nothing but a total debacle. The greatest strategic blunder since Teutoburger Wald?

    To be fair, the Romans had a militarily incompetent leader and were caught on the march.

    I think the Battle of the Horns of Hattin better reflects the level of arrogant incompetence by the Russian HQ ... and might have similar after effects to the entire power structure. ( we can hope ).

  9. 4 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:

    Any ideas about why Russia would spend so many cruise missiles to attack that training base close to Lviv? They caused casualties, but also spent around 30 missiles.. that's a lot for what exactly? Some barracks blown up?

    My take was that it was deliberately ( and somewhat successfully ) targeted at the "Western Volunteers".

    I doubt it will put anyone off as they hope, though.

    It also appears to speak to their targeting priorities being pretty scattershot in that they seem to hit the "hot target of the day" without it apparently advancing any military objectives.

  10. 3 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:

    .... Would it be politically and practically possible for Putin to begin a conscription of millions of Russians and mass production of weapons?

    Can't speak to politically, but practically I can't see it happening in the necessary timeframe - by the time any of that was ready for frontline service, the Russian army will either have nominally "won" and be fighting the ant-occupation forces, or have been kicked back to the Russian border.

  11. 3 hours ago, John Kettler said:

    ...
    While we're on good news, here's some for the rightly feared tractor drivers of Ukraine.

    FM6i4OFXsAA6MMf?format=jpg&name=small

    FFS John - that was already posted on  2 March page 97 !

    2 hours ago, John Kettler said:

    There has been intermittent discussion of disintegrating Russian tires and the causes. Here is a Twitter thread on the matter...
     

    And this on 3 March Page 109 !

  12. Best I can suggest is set them to the severe ammo so they have no RPG's and then manually reload their small arms ammo from a truck.

    Ammo transfer will happen between squads in the same platoon ( afaik ), but they need to be within a couple of AS's and they don't physically pass it over, the presence of friendly units close by allows the depleted ammo unit to keep firing, but using the ammo of their neighbour.

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