Vanir Ausf B

3:07 Why is the interface in English?

Zelensky (surprisingly) gave more detailed numbers. Between 60 and 100 Ukrainian soldiers are being killed in combat, and “around 500” are injured every twenty-four hours, Zelensky said https://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/zelensky-ukrainian-army-suffering-up-to-700-casualties-daily.html

Yes, but with caveats. It's a random chance that can vary by unit type, e.g. M1 Abrams has about a 70% chance but T-90 about 50%. This applies to all vehicles, even trucks. If the unit makes it's "saving throw" it knows an ATGM has been launched and the direction from which it was launched but not the exact location.

Michael Kofman and Rob Lee dive into Russian military force design and how it relates to this war. https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/not-built-for-purpose-the-russian-militarys-ill-fated-force-design/

Russia continues the odd practice of showing its forces missing targets. Unfortunately they don't always miss.

Many if not most of the Russian units in the Kherson area are reservists. The front line units are concentrated in Donbas.

“Anti-tank missiles slowed the Russians down, but what killed them was our artillery.” -- Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, commander of the Ukrainian armed forces I would be cautious about ascribing outcomes to any particular weapons system or type. Reasons for the Russian failure are manifold.

T-72Bs and T-80BVs pulled from storage to join the earlier mentioned T-62s.

They are definitely keeping it on the low down. But they have provided... some stuff. How much is hard to say.

The Great Tank Swap continues.

Maybe Poland is returning to their Warsaw Pact roots by going for an artillery-centric army? It is a staggering number, and I don't have a good explanation. But if the US decided to supply HIMARS to Ukraine I don't know why they would funnel it though a Polish acquisition rather than giving it directly.

Perhaps. 2023 is the earliest delivery date I have found.

I'm seeing reports that Ukraine is pulling out of Lyman.

Spot on.

If years of playing CM have taught me anything it's that cheap HE-chuckers are always useful

No panic, but...

More pics from the Bilohorivka crossing. Because you can never have too many.

The salient question remaining is how far can Putin kick the can down the road before he runs out of road.

Igor Girkin is calling it.

French hand grenades are dainty.

One seldom mentioned aspect of this is that, broadly speaking, the Southern Military District units have significantly out-performed those from the Western MD. The "elite" formations, such as the 4th GTD, have been the worst performers.

Well... it kinda is.