Holien
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Days Won
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Posts posted by Holien
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This really helped me understand the Russian pyramid problem.
Also touched on why Ukraine is protecting its younger generation from recruitment.
Imo worth the 30 minutes watching as he explains the issues really well.
Ties into Russian increase of invalids...
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For those interested in listening in on two world leaders talk about Ukraine before the war. More to follow....
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Hmmm unless they have a way to get it past the dogs in the manger they could promise anything and it ain't going?
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It could be that to protect the bridge they need the ships out patrolling...
Who wants to bet that Ukraine has more Drones than Russia has ships...
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Well then I suggest that those Germans who are reading this, and want Ukraine to be supported get involved and get in touch with their elected representative.
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2 hours ago, Rokko said:
This has be to be a joke, right?
Yep Jon has a very dry sense of humour.
It is the same level of Joke that with Leopards earlier the war would be already be over...
We are where we are.
Hindsight and rewritten history is inevitable, humans being human.
Doesn't mean that there shouldn't be pushback on those spinning a message so it does have to be countered.
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10 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
so no point in further beating dead horse.
Yep...
Hindsight a wonderful thing....
As if we even knew Russia WAS going to invade...
Going forward Europe is showing every intention of upping it's support despite some folk saying otherwise...
Ukraine is NOT out of the fight and if it addresses some weaknesses it will certainly stay in the fight longer than Russia has...
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Capt,
Simple answers is all people want...
Make peace - Simple problem solved
Send more tanks - Simple problem solved
Capt keep up the good work - it ain't simple...
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43 minutes ago, Kraft said:
The "not possible" is just a moral veil for "not in the interest
There we go with simple answers and simple statements....
How would the logistics worked with all those tanks?
You do know the tip of the spear needs a decent length of well crafted wood behind it to make it effective.
Look Steve earlier has as ever given a far more detailed effective response.
Sure there could have been things we should have done sooner and more effective.
Sure Germany could have stepped up sooner. It would certainly have helped but there were / no easy answers, hindsight is easy...
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1 hour ago, Kraft said:
Now say, that instead of 1970s scraps and rusting cold war stock, more units with the hundreds of available Bradleys and Abrams were involved, the outcome would be the same?
Could have been worse than where we are now as Ukraine would have had to take more troops off the front line to learn and integrate an influx of equipment.
You clearly forget the discussions at the time that we needed to send soviet era kit as easily used by Ukraine.
We could not just dump modern kit into Ukraine and expect it to be used effectively.
People want easy answers. This war isn't easy and there is no magic wand. Sure we need to better upgrade Ukrainian military forces, but that ain't easy...
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Perun does a bit of a deep dive on Arty towards the end of the video.
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10 hours ago, Offshoot said:
UK MoD saying that the Russian A-50 fleet is likely grounded
It will be interesting to see what options that opens for Ukraine.
It could be more Russian planes shot down if they still want to risk flying without an eye in the sky to watch over them.
I am hoping it opens a vulnerability that Ukraine ready to exploit.
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47 minutes ago, squatter said:
Is this a forum for only those who blindly believe in inevitable Ukrainian victory, no matter what their eyes tell them?
Hmmmm I think you need a new set of eyes...
What I see is Ukraine still fighting and doing immense damage to Russia be it loss of men, hardware or industrial machines.
As long as Ukraine has the will and resources to continue doing this Russia will never "win".
Just look at Afghanistan for an example where the will to continue fighting has out stayed the ability of those attempting to change the country.
Why is that model not possible for Ukraine?
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37 minutes ago, squatter said:
Have you both considered that what the single beleaguered toehold Ukraine has managed to cling onto at Krynky is actually evidence of how hard it is for them to cross this river in any significant force?
Hmmm now you have finally admitted it is possible, your previous statement said absolutely impossible.
No one is saying it's easy, but you said it is impossible yet Ukrainian forces are proving you wrong. So why were you wrong?
Let's see if and when Russia removes the bridgehead. If it was that easy Russia would have done so already.
If it was that well fortified Ukrainian forces would have failed to establish a bridgehead.
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16 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Caution Germany became a locomotive of military aid, France, who wanted "to allow Putin to save his face" now allowed own SOF and other units to cross Ukrainian border
The Trump Effect?
Europe is upping its game...
Long may it last...
I truly hope Ukraine can hold on and the aid truly arrives in time.
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56 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
we have 3 100 % confirmed, 2 with high probability confirmed, 2 allegedly confirmed by COSPAS marks and rest 4 just unverified claims
Thanks for keeping us grounded.
It will be interesting to see if can get confirmation of accurate numbers.
I guess without pilots ejecting we can't rely on COSPAS and if they go into the sea no satellite proof possible.
Just maybe in months time obituaries of the pilots if they pop up on social media.
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1 hour ago, squatter said:
sustaining any scale of operations across a massive water obstacle with no permanent crossings in a near-peer environment is effectively impossible.
Hmmm
Any scale of operation?
Would you like to take a crack at explaining how Ukraine has managed to maintain such a bridgehead which has been in existence for months?
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15 minutes ago, Letter from Prague said:
Yeah, SOME Germans are always good at finding excuses not to help too much.
Fixed it for you...
It would be like me saying that about America at the moment..
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52 minutes ago, Offshoot said:
If 10 is correct it is interesting that they weren't running with a full complement of specialists (10-11) by the looks of it. I read somewhere that Ukraine had claimed Russia operates nine A50s in rotation around Ukraine, so it's possible they were already suffering personnel shortages, especially after losing an A50 in January. It can only be worse now.
I just checked AWACs to see what crew would be needed just to get an idea...
QuoteThe Crew. In order to operate the complex equipment on an AWACS, the E-3A has a crew of minimum 15 drawn from a variety of branches and trades, all of whom are extensively trained in their respective roles. The maximum crew the E-3A can accommodate is 33. The total number depends on the mission.
So your right seems like they were a 3rd down on crew and the crew they had 50% were Majors, sure seems like they might have problems getting trained folk as crew...
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6 minutes ago, Kraft said:
Case in point, russians denying civilian massacrers in his interviews, which was not challenged.
Hmmm I think he was fairly clear off camera about his views and he was interviewing folk with guns so he was never going to challenge them strongly, especially as he got quite a bit of hostility towards him.
I found it interesting that Wagner were operating ahead of the Russian forces in Kyiv and his assertion that there was no killing blatantly untrue.
So from my POV it was worth watching. The details I picked up just watching the images we're worth it.
YMMV
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Talking as we have been about real journalism I managed to watch this available in UK on ITV.
YouTube promo above.
He got access to the Russian side and it isn't Russian BS propaganda but does interview those fighting for Russia and the separatist.
He even gets into "Sherwood Forest" just after it was taken by Russian forces. He sees the aftermath of the rout of one of the Russian collapses.
The interviews with a couple of the civilians are worth watching, especially the crazy / lovable large lady who nearly kidnapped him.
No stunning information but it kinda of backs up (I hate to say) the Capt pov that it might be better for Ukraine to cut Donbass loose.
An interviewed Russian doctor sums it up war destroys everything. - Russian medical care not great but interesting to see a "field hospital".
Not sure of distribution outside of the UK, but if you do get a chance to watch it, I think it's worth it.
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Please don't feed the troll...
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by Holien
BBC had a page on Macron and his volt face...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-68575251