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Holien

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Posts posted by Holien

  1. 22 minutes ago, Letter from Prague said:

    EV minerals are a new one

    This is a right wing anti EV trope that Erwin is throwing into the pot, as is his Hydrogen BS as a viable (it's not) alternative to EVs.

    He has been watching too much FOX news and has made a Mish mash post...

    I bet if I spent some time down a dark rabbit hole I could find the people spewing this nonsense...

    But of course Erwin could back up his post with some proof and prove us wrong...

  2. 13 minutes ago, Ultradave said:

    Containment? “‘‘Tis but a scratch”

    The usual Russia blaming Ukraine for it...

    I tend to think Ukraine have better targets to go at.

    Russia perhaps using it to stoke up the threat?

    Let's hope they leave it alone...

    BTW I saw some footage of the Russians blowing up the dam that they said Ukraine did...

    Will have to dig out the link for checking if it is valid footage...

    FWIIW

     

  3. 2 hours ago, Erwin said:

    The Ukraine war is giving the West China (and others) excellent training on how the East west fights and what weapons systems they we deploy. 

    Just fixed that for you..

    😉

    This war is giving the West a serious edge against China and its Russian knock off copies...

    We can see what is working and we can re-tool and re-arm quicker than China.

    This war has stopped China dead on its plans to invade Taiwan as they have seen how badly a 3 day war can go.

    We are getting real time updates on what works and does not as we are embedded with Ukraine.

    How close are the Chinese military with Ukraine?

    Do you think China can magically change it's whole military based upon the Russian knock off kit?

    The weapons America had in store have now been disposed of at a fraction of the cost it would have needed to

    The kit was designed to deal with Russia and less so China so it is being used for what it was bought for.

    American jobs and economy is winning because we are buying more of the kit and it works!!!

    You really do need to think through this - It is a no brainer for America!!

    Finland / Estonia / Poland are not going to stop giving support any time soon.

    France and Germany are another thing but currently show no sign of backing down...

     

     

  4. 15 minutes ago, Tenses said:

    , do we have a clear target here or just "wait and see"?

    Yep, Ukraine to win just has to stay in the fight...

    What game plan does Russia have to win this?

    Time is on the Ukrainian side, they just have to keep fighting.

    Afghanistan is the model to look at...

    If and it's a big IF Ukraine can weather this year and generate enough new force they might have options next year...

    In the meantime keep poking the Bears eyes out and making it costly (oil refineries) for Russia to continue...

  5. 1 hour ago, Letter from Prague said:

    In what way?

    Soldiers would be the top of the list. I can see an argument that they have less available than they had.

    Maybe better trained less soldiers are enough with better drones.

    I guess we will find out this year...

    Ammo is another concern but that again is potentially fixed but not ideal so worse than last year.

    I think that Ukraine will hold, but compared to the optimism we had last year we could say they are in a slightly worse position? 

  6. 19 minutes ago, Hapless said:

    The Ukrainians had put all their eggs into stopping the Russians, and none into “what do we do when we do?"...

    Yep this at the end is the pay off....  Not.

    He offers no idea on how Ukraine should have done it differently.

    Ukraine was desperately trying to stop Russia and all energy and thought spent on that.

    If they had the means to encircle the Russians they would have.

    They did well to stop the Russians.

    To think Ukraine squandered a chance to end the war is utter BS...

    He offers no evidence on how they should have done it. Magic...

     

  7. For those that don't regularly check the BBC.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-68722542

    Interesting article on how hackers are being recognised by Ukraine as important to the war effort.

    Some interesting points made.

    Quote

    And most recently, in January, Kristopher and others also successfully hacked into a prominent Russian weapons-maker and stole 100 gigabytes of private data, which led to a public celebration from the Ukrainian authorities.

    "The array of information transferred to the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine contains drawings, specifications, patents, software referring to both existing and promising military developments," the announcement said.

    Ukraine added that the data stolen was a "significant blow" to Moscow and worth $1.5bn (£1.2bn) - although it did not say how this figure was reached

    Those being honoured are potentially now open to Russian retaliation.

    If it was me I would keep this quiet until many years after end of the war. 

    On the other hand I guess it might encourage more to join in if they know they are being valued?

  8. 1 hour ago, dan/california said:

    Kind shocked both sides haven't had this going already.

    Hmmm I wonder if the limited drones they have had up to this point had other more important targets on the actual front line....

    Russia has had trouble even hitting stationary targets.

    Ukraine has only just had the manufacturing capacity and capabilities to hit Russian oil facilities these things take time to develop, test and then manufacture in quantity. 

    It will no doubt happen at some stage but to say it should have been done already is a bit naive...

    I have had clients like you and I just smile...

    If it was easy it would have been done already...

    Humans you gotta love them...

  9. 10 hours ago, ASL Veteran said:

    .  I don't want to get this thread sidetracked though and I know how badly this topic can spin out of control so I think I'll just leave it there. 

    So why do it and then expect no response!!!

    🤔 

    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.

    I'll just leave it there...

  10. 12 minutes ago, kraze said:

    The sole fact that no cops or military personnel were present at Crocus for about an hour should tell you everything you need to know.

    That Russia is suffering a shortage of fast response armed units as they have been busy elsewhere.

    That decent command and control staff are busy elsewhere (if even alive).

    Ukraine is going to be blamed for anything bad happening in Russia whether or not it can be tied back to Ukraine or the evil 3rd party (British, CIA, FBI, America) depending on the whimsy of the Russian elite at the time...

    It really doesn't matter what Russia thinks, it's what the real world thinks...

    Russia already lives in a Fantasyland so who cares how they spin it...

  11. 7 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    This news, though it was again from "anonymous source" summoned a huge wave of hate in Ukraine. Especially on background of today's heavy strike. 

    Lot's of folk here not very happy with this either....

    I am all for sending Ukraine everything we can from the Uk. No point in having it sat here in warehouses when we have a fire to put out in Europe.

    I will be writing to my MP, not that I expect it will do much but it's something I can do.

    Europe has realised that we shouldn't be dependent on foreign countries for energy and key commodities so we are on a trajectory to remove the strangle hold of OPEC and Russia.

    If Ukraine can produce it's own weapon systems with European help, American Aid will become less important.

    We need to keep you in the fight this year....

    Ukraine needs to work out how to recruit folk to keep the front lines manned...

     

  12. 5 hours ago, Carolus said:

    Great news after another night of Russian bombardment...

    If America could only ween itself off Oil...

    There is a pathway but too many on the right are against anything "green".

    A topic not for this thread but it would help the world and stop Americans being held hostage to oil price pressure.

    I wonder if Ukraine will listen to this advice from Biden or will take the Israeli position.

    Europe really needs to up it's involvement as I despair of some Americans who hold power.

     

  13. This chap is doing fairly decent videos trying to explain attacks and the context of them.

    His content on the incursion into Russia has been useful for me to understand exactly where the videos have been taken. 

    His analysis is not military grade but by adding maps and context it is useful, to me anyway...

    Looks like Russia might have lost some long range bombers? 

     

  14. 1 minute ago, Carolus said:

    And maybe Ukraine will also eventually adjust their targeting to the most expensive and useful parts of the Russian energy and railway grid - unless the Western powers really wagged their fingers and declared that as forbidden.

    I am hoping this will be the case and the Western Powers can't stop Ukraine from using home grown weapons doing whatever they wish..

    In fact I think Macron might even be fully behind this now to end the war quickly...

    As I keep asking "ARE WE THERE YET!!!!"

    God do I hope so....

  15.  

    Ok as we are talking about Elections PR Stunts this popped up and worth a read...

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/05/05/putins-human-rights-council-accidentally-posts-real-crimean-election-results-only-15-voted-for-annexation/amp/

    The article is from May 2014. I know I know going back a bit but when did the war start...

    So for those thinking there was mass support for the annexation the actual figures don't back that up...

     

    Quote

    Yesterday, however, according to a major Ukrainian news site, TSN.ua, the website of the President of Russia’s Council on Civil Society and Human Rights (shortened to President’s Human Rights Council) posted a report that was quickly taken down as if it were toxic radioactive waste. According to this purported report about the March referendum to annex Crimea, the turnout of Crimean voters was only 30 percent. And of these, only half voted for the referendum–meaning only 15 percent of Crimean citizens voted for annexation.

     

    Quote

    We can debate the extent of fraud in the March 16 referendum, but only the Council’s highest estimate just yields the fifty percent turnout ratio normally required for major referendums. What counts is that the Putin regime solemnly announced to the world that 82 percent of the Crimean people voted to join Mother Russia, and many in the West swallowed this whopper. At best, according to Putin’s own council, only 30 percent did.

     

    Anyway all a moot point as any Russian election is just a PR attempt to dupe the world...

     

  16. 20 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Realistically?  It's still Russia's main source of income and every drop of fuel taken away from the civilian market for the war will be cumulatively noticed.

    This struck me at the start of the article..

     

    Quote

    On one hand, the additional income Russia receives from exporting the products made by its refineries instead of the oil they are made from, is relatively insignificant compared to what it makes from selling the crude oil. Ironically, Russia’s tax system means that the state loses money if energy companies export oil products instead of crude oil.

    So they make more from the crude and Ukraine is not targeting that production.

    Certainly Russia is going to see more fuel shortages for its internal market but it is not clear cut that the drone attacks will do enough to shut down the energy market for Russia.

    As the author says (he wrote article I guess before the 26th Jan) we will have to see how effective the repairs are.

     

    Quote

    If we are seeing the beginning of a wave of attacks on western Russia’s oil refineries, the consequences will be serious. Either way, Russia’s reserves of resilience and ingenuity look set to be severely tested. The speed and quality of the repairs at Kstovo, Ust-Luga, and Tuapse will be key indicators of Moscow’s readiness.

    I am hoping they are not as effective as Ukraine was in recovering from the attacks on their power grid.

    It could be the smartest use of drones by Ukraine so far and perhaps have the biggest payback. (And Ukraine is already at genius level for use with the ships sunk...)

    Fingers Crossed...

  17. 18 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    what a sense to strike broken helicopter it's unclear - either this was "false flag",

    False Flag...

    New HD web cam perfectly framed helo with broken window, fueled to make a bigger bang.

    Clearly not flown in ages...

    Done in day light, no easy to identify drone, could be anything that destroyed it.

    My money on a False Flag, let's see what else happens....

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