Beleg85

It appears some morronic officer in 128th Mountain wanted to celebrate Ukrainian "Artilleryman Day" in old Soviet style with orders and formal party...except close behind the frontline. Unfortunatelly effects were predicatble. There will be lot of new graves in Carpathia (beware, drastic photos). Pointless and unnecessary deaths. https://twitter.com/SomeGumul/status/1720825730706129208 Crossposted with Haiduk.

Clip from Krynki village (Dnieper area). Entire Russian squad being stopped in their feet and wiped out by what apperas to be Ukrainian snipers or MG's. Later they may be given drone-born grandes.

Opinion about Avdiivka situation from Butusov:

Also, entire short article by Zaluzhny available here if someone wants to read it (nafo parody account, but valid): https://nitter.net/jabuttee/status/1719798891502289064#m

In last days, there were numerous flights in Kalinigrad (and accompanied NATO SIGINT assets inside our borders). I am not sure about validity of the conclusion presented here, but there is very notable move of muscovite forces from the enclave.

They just started to react with deploying Rosgvardia. Interesting- on one side, Kremlin is unlikely to commit into perpetrating outbursts of street violence as it can spiral out of controll very quickly and is problematic from reputation standpoint. But on the other, there is well-known tradition of channeling anger into something neutral from their perspective. It also aligns with Putin's new mission of "representing" Global South. Long time ago we discussed it here- Dagestan is potentiall powderkegg and "muslim udnerbelly" of Russia, perhaps more important than Chechnya due to demographics and lack of true self-governance.

Could be personal sharades, with misconduct as an excuse. There is entire carousel of names changing heir seats in high commands lately that even people familiar with mapping web of connections within muscovite generalship found rather chaotic. Perhaps delayed effects of Prigozhin march. Video was posted here, but worth to paste upgraded, slowed and more detailed version of it. https://twitter.com/Military_oO/status/1718611780115579345

Rare example of hand-to-hand combat from Russian clip. Russians attack digged Ukrainian, leading muscovite runs out of ammo and attacks defender with end of his rifle. Very old video, from 8 months or so.

Short but nontheless interesting piece from propagandist Sladkov. Russian propaganda try to convince audience that it took measures to use Tuvinians as "Russian Navajo", using their hectic language instead of code to communicate between units. I heard different opinions as to how widespread this phenomena actually is in muscovite army- it doesn't look like they took systemic effort to employ it along whole theatre, in manner of US Navy in WWII. Code talkers from various minorities (they have a wide selection to choose from, admittedly) for now seem to be ad hoc solution taken by various commanders. Worth to note Ukrainians use Hungarians and Huculs in the same manner.

I read somewhere on Russian forum that it was rather part of regular combat than targeted killing, reportedly artillery strike on some base or trench. So...who is left alive? Girkin in arrest, Borodai almost dead once and living borrowed time, Pasha Guberiev already looks like he stared into abyss too long and (pardon my French) Penis Dushylin still ticking somehow, somewhere... damn, Separ stars leave this world faster than members of Club 27.

On slightly lighter note- Russian sources also confirm that Alexander "Babai" Mozhaiev aka "Muppet of Donbabwe" died lately in occupied part of Ukraine. A persona that is perhaps known to folks who followed the conflict from 2014, this former spetsnaz member was accused of atrocities in Donbas and bullying western journalists. In short- typical example of career of local "freedom fighter".

More about Avdiivka battle, because never enough of burned-out Russian wrekcs.

There are another reports on (mainly Russian) TG's of supposed Ukrainian landing across Dnieper. Given that progandists have this kind of fever every time Ukrainians score some major success like recent airstrikes, it should best be treated-for now- as part of PR struggle.

Bloody Black Mirror. Btw. may be wrong, but it seems small kamikaze quadrocopters hunting singular soldiers seem much more common now than barely year ago.

Murica vibes 100%. Yeah, why not three? But seriously it is interesting how much military help USA is willing to give to Israel in current situation. Beside guarding aganst Iran with navy/airforce there is probably not that much material assistance that Israel would need against Hamas alone. Maybe some quality bunker-buster munitions, drones and similar top-shelf stuff; only military resource that could seriously compete with Ukrainian demand are perhaps AA assets. It also seems Blinken managed to tame Netanyahu for a week or so (I don't believe weather explanation), so heads could cool off and at least some basic limitation of fighting field could be done. Subsequently, Ukrainian war will likely take precedence over help to Middle East, unless somethng bery bad happens. I can bet Putin counted for more.

Btw. there are another videos of Hezbollah targeting Merkava's with atgms while tanks standing still on checkpoints, with Trophy switched-off and crew outside. It seems they need to adjust their tank operating procedures in border warzone. It's ofc. different climate and war than Ukraine, but clearly tanks face new challanges now. We will need to see yet how Cahal plan to use them in urban fights, that means if they will actually enter Gaza proper.

We need to wait several days and not jump out to conclusions, but it seems there will be weak advantage of non-right parties that in theory can create a government if manage to agree on it. Still there is a lot of procedural and dirty tricks (including forming minority government) that PiS can do if wants and we are very early in the polling. Probably it will take 2 days to know results. Worth to note, that for Ukraine it means nothing new. Resources are already given up or depleted, PL is firmly in NATO camp anyway and every party is stounchly anti-Russian. Only small, far-right Confederacy tried to build their capital on free-market and often anti-Ukrainian sentiments, but, despite serious worries of reaching up to 15%, they seem to fail miserably, finishing barely above the 5% threshold. Society did not accept their "sceptical" UA rhetoric and suspicious "eastern" connections of several of its more crazy members (anti-vaxers, paleoliberals and similar kind of guys). Which is perhaps most important here; their partition in government could in theory change county's internationals stance.

And early analysis of Avdiivka battle from Tatarigami:

110th Brig. repelling muscovite attacks (perhaps was already posted). Casette munitions (?) visible.

The source of the story with supposed Russian language on this video seems to be UNIAN, one of Ukrainian unofficial media outlets. PsyOps probably all along.

Well God damnit. "Musk, give me back my legions!"

Cool. Perhaps not the most functional, but cool. In serious categories, I hear from volunteers about constant shortage of terrain vehicles especially in TDF brigades.

Not everyone lives in quiet town in Germany, either. Of course it is more interesting, from a number of reasons that are not "military nerdy" at all. To name just a few: 1.Cultural influence - as to 'what about Africa" issue; we empathize with guys "like us" much more than with people who look, speak, think and behave broadly like like us. Not because of imagined "racism" toward others, but because of natural evolutional adaptation and shared space. You know, just like you more care about own neighbours than random guys from Papua-New Guinea. So for you Tokmak may be in Greenland, but people coming from there are too similar to just put the issue on the shelf "not my business", at least in social media era. 2.Sheer scale of conflict, in political, material and intellectual terms (yup- the last one is also a challenge)- there is a reason why leading media outlets still keep Ukraine live feeds or at least in major leads crosshair for almost 2 years. It fluctuates from time to time, but overall topic is still hot and on agenda. 3.Ripples it send across serious world politics; pretty much every major global player needed to take some stance, even if "neutral"- entire geopolitical blocks are formed around these stances. We are observing here Big History, the one that shapes borders, shatter empires and resettles milions of people. And Collective West (states that are for current world order) threw a lot in helping Ukraine- and the West is still keeping major frames of cooperation in the world, fortunatelly. So goodbye Fukuyama, at least the popcultural-one. The problem is that arguments you put before are only anecdotal; they may be very true in your own environment, but otherwise seem to be description of one's own social bubble rather than broad reality. For example, I could give you contrarian examples of circa dozen of Ukrainian emigres I more or less know (and who live in Ireland, Italy or UK) who I assure you care about this war very much. And one- two taxi drivers from Donbas and Kharkiv living here who didn't care at all, listen to Arestovych all week and passively vote Russia to win. That being said, it is very likely this winter the interest of global public in Ukraine will settle down.

There are early reports of hevay Russian attacks on Avdiivka today. Meanwhile, such situation of Russian armoured column trying to reinforce the push...to be fair to them, it seems this time engineers were drunk rather than crewmen. Bridge looks very narrow. Sorry, but this is no-argument. How many of us happen to live in Africa? It's entirely natural that violent and unexpected close conflict on massive scale unseen from WWII (in Europe), especially one involving major powers that sends nuclear threats on daily basis, generates far more interest than some guerilla on other side of the world. Looking on human sociology, there is no such thing as "global citizen". Also, fact that Ukrainians carry on with their daily lives does change nothing.