Calamine Waffles
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Everything posted by Calamine Waffles
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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Happened to the French in 1940... -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
If they are worth as much as Soviet PoWs during WWII, then I'm afraid you will need an infinite number of them for such an exchange to happen. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Seems about right, I think. The third group remains uncommitted as far as we know. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
"Mein Führer...Steiner..." -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
"Mit dem Angriff Kadyrows wird das Alles in Ordnung kommen." — Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, if he spoke German, probably. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
They can evacuate the troops as long as they are generous enough to leave all the heavy equipment behind. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
You have to remember that the density of forces involved on both sides is fairly small. It's more about being able to maintain cohesion and getting supplies through, almost like with maritime warfare and convoys. So you should not be worrying so much about "overextending" but more with maintaining lines of supply and knowing where your enemy's forces are or are not. The Ukrainians are actually the safest when they are moving because then the poor Russian ISR will have a much, much harder time targeting them. The moment they stop for a prolonged period is when the Russians can start to bring their artillery etc. to bear. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I believe the first (and minimal) objective is to ensure Kharkiv can never be threatened again. After that is to pursue the Russians as much as possible in order to not allow them to consolidate and regroup. So they will look for the weakest points and try to punch through and exploit the brittle Russian lines and their lack of depth in the region. It will take a few days to weeks for the Russians to redeploy forces from possibly the Bakhmut axis to try and stop the offensive, so time is of the essence. Highly unlike the Ukrainians will stop at a set point, they will push as far as they can. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I'm just going to leave this here (it's from a 2018 book) -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Documentary on Bureviy (the Ukrainian upgraded BM-27 Uragan) -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
T-64BM2, so most likely the 92 OMBr. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
The big problem was always breaking through the Russian frontline. It's hard but brittle, and once you get through, there is little to no defence in depth. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
92 OMBr has been in the Kharkiv area all this time. The others are newer. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
The Kharkiv attack is not just a diversion or opportunistic attack, these are some of the best equipped and most prestigious units in the ZSU -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I think the idea is to exploit whatever opportunity occurs and to shift focus appropriately. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
@Battlefront.com, it was indeed a missile strike, as we thought. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Jack Watling of RUSI admits he got some things wrong and overestimated the Russian artillery ammunition stocks back in June I don't believe this is due to corruption completely, or even majority. I believe Russia has underinvested in their chemical industry, just like the Soviets in the years before WW2, and just doesn't have the capacity to manufacture explosives in a sufficient capacity. During WW2, US Lend-Lease was able to compensate for it, but not today. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
"This video may confuse you" Also interesting they mention using an 82-mm M-37 battalion mortar. Yet another WW2 relic lives on... -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
The interesting part was the missing panoramic sight and the bent wind sensor. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-4-september-2022-ukrainian-attacks-in-kherson-oblast-ed25239f3116 -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Cooper makes good observations, though he has this obsession with Western "oligarchy". However, he has an interesting perspective given his background mostly writing on the neglected Middle Eastern conflicts.