danfrodo

well, you could just look for the red hat and the tshirt w trump's head on rambo's body hip-firing a heavy MG. But hey, I'm no Humint pro....

I love having LLF here -- seriously, I mean it. Always knocks me off my comfort zone in one way or another, whether I end up agreeing or not. Sounds like he leads quite the interesting international life of business. Or life of crime, not sure Meanwhile, Denys Davydov on youtube says the RU Dniper pullback is fake news, so we just don't know and we're getting contradictory info. Davydov says maybe it's a PR trial balloon for actual pullback later, but that's just speculation.

So you are thinking RU might re-position away from river to get out of artillery range? Interesting. If RU has arty shortage on this sector I can see how their forces would be getting clobbered and they'd want to pull back. I hope within a couple days we'll know more. I suppose RU would want to get UKR into position where it has to move arty onto left bank, where it would be more vulnerable due to restricted mobility for displacing after firing.

yeah, that's what I was wondering. What could foot mobile troops do that would cause RU to make significant pullback? UKR would need to have cut multiple roads which they don't seem to be close to doing yet. Once again, I let my hope overwhelm my frontal lobe.

For sure, Kinophile. Hopefully this starts the much hoped for cascading series of collapses we've all been wanting. I doubt it but hopium springs eternal, as they say.

Like I said before, I really really really hate being on the pointy end of a squad of PPSH fire. but I do love being on the trigger side of that. Indeed, hammer away. It's meatball surgery not brain surgery, as I once heard said.

Great pics, once again. I do love the T34/85. Yeah, it aint a panther but it works and there's lots of them and only weighs ~35 tons. With a powerful gun, again, not as good as the german guns & optics, but cheap and plentiful and reasonably reliable relative to intended life. I never play russians in modern or CW but I really enjoy playing them in WW2.

Really really wanting this to be true, and significant. Now I'll be checking here every 15 minutes all day hoping for confirmation.

Tense clip indeed. Glad to see RU losing forces, kinda sorry for those involved that were kidnapped (conscripted) and wanted no part in this. Not sorry for any volunteers.

Heard, Chef

xxxxx

deleted, the above is so awful just need to walk away

Maybe these young people are climate change zealots because they have to live with the catastrophe that our generation chose to mock & ignore. Did you see the temperature data from this summer? This september? -- Off the f--ing charts. Things are getting bad much, much faster than projected a decade ago.

Ah, I see. I think this is unrealistic because it would take huge casualties to 'depopulate' the region. But I can see where China is happy to see Putin push these regions to revolt over the ongoing kidnapping & murder of these people ( by kidnapping & murder I mean, of course, RU conscription). Great point. I actually feel a little happier thinking of it that way.

River crossing hopium here today. I have become rather skeptical of any UKR offensive turning into any kind of operational gain, but I still have some hope. Is RU getting weaker? Seems so, especially as they are burning up forces for nothing. But this could also mean they have much more men and material than we think they do. I am hoping that the current RU offensives are just political stupidity and really are weakening an already crumbling military machine. I suppose Putler believes that with winter coming he'll not be under any real threat of UKR breakout, so why not try to grab some land in anticipation of freezing the conflict. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/12/2205064/-Ukraine-Update-How-Ukraine-is-overcoming-the-disadvantages-of-an-amphibious-landing?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_6&pm_medium=web

I think that's my point. China should be wanting Putin to fail, badly, very badly, though maybe they are best pretending in public this is not the case. But the esteemed LLF was saying China wanted Putin to win and have more land, which I didn't understand.

Not sure I understand this. If Vlad wins, what hinterlands are available? If Vlad loses, there could be RU breakup and lots of hinterlands available.

Copper is expensive. Doing this w copper would be kinda insane at the dugout/trench level.

I'll file this under 'hopium'. Feller here talks about pontoon bridge possibilities at Krynky. We'll see. In my mind, kinda pointless to do this over many weeks as RU will simply plant a bunch of mines and put some schmucks in holes, supported by some arty & drones, and nothing will happen. If one were to do something like this I would think it would need to happen fast enough that the enemy can't spend weeks countering it with cheap defenses. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/9/2204663/-Ukraine-Update-Ukraine-is-surprisingly-close-to-securing-a-pontoon-bridge-site?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_2&pm_medium=web

Day job killing me, you'd be waiting forever, sorry. But you at least would get an easy victory!

Wow, you've outdone yourself with this pics, thanks for sharing.

Great points above JonS & Tenses: shell production deficit is not the whole picture.

Perhaps instead of focusing on things that evidence-based and seem to be very true you could spend a little more of your time telling me things that make me feel good instead? What is it with you anyway? I do keep hoping that RU gets weak enough that UKR can make some solid gains, somewhere. I don't actually think this is likely, unfortunately. Seems RU can lay mines faster than UKR can get through them.

since the wave strength will reduce as the radius^2, I wonder if just have the crew move 5-10 meters away for each shot would significantly help. Can they fire by pulling a rope? NYT also had article today ( I only saw headline) that UKR wants to expand across Dneiper (Dnipro?) to push RU artillery back from easily shelling Kherson city.

I suspect Putin doesn't care about the world after himself outside of him being remembered as some great conquerer. Succession plans means danger for himself. I also suspect he's like a character from the book All the Light We Cannot See, or from Raiders of Lost Ark, where he's obsessed w finding ways to unnaturally extend his heinous life.