danfrodo

I was thinking about this subject this morning. Until we see lots of RU mass surrenders or mutinies, things will probably not change. I'll define mass surrender as 10+ soldiers at once. We'd need lots of those. Going into last winter I was sure the mobiks would be combat ineffective due to bad gear, bad field practice, bad supplies, bad commanders, lack of rotation & rest. But it turns out one doesn't need to be very combat effective to hold a hole when there's nowhere to else to go.

Yeah, they'll say anything. I am not straying from facts. There's problems, it's a war, I'm not discounting the reporting. I was just musing on what comes next in some dumb F's twitter thread. So while I've got your attention.... What do you think of the Kherson business? I don't see how UKR gets very far but maybe this is just a low cost operation to stretch RU resources? What's your take?

You misunderstand. Someone in congress or in pro-putin punditry land will say that based on these reports.

To be followed by: "we completely want to support Ukraine, but since the HIMARS don't work we sadly must remove all aid going forward".

Absolutely perfect picture, FlammenwerferX, thanks for sharing

grab back of stuff here, some hopium that is sorely needed. Alleged RU collaborators/officials are fleeing Oleshky and allegedly supply line to kinburn spit has been interdicted. Also another RU soldier appeals to Putin. Who does he think put him there? It's like Jan 6 clowns who thought Trump would pardon them/pay their legal bills. Rubes. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/20/2207021/-More-Russian-stuff-blowing-up-Ukraine-s-offensive-across-the-Dnipro-has-Russia-panicking?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

You've got it totally wrong BillBinDC. Moscow wealth is definitely indicative of the state of the larger country. Just look at Pyongyang. Both of these countries have benevolent philosopher kings who care only for the well being of their people, especially the poorest and most marginalized. But seriously, yes, looking at luxury cars is not a good measure of anything. It's like when there's bad economy in US but "2nd home ownership is up!". Yes, for all those who can afford 2nd homes (btw, this was actually something someone said once during a tough recession)

When I need a little pick-me-up.... I like to watch RU stuff blowing up. Lots of it here. UKR says huge losses today for RU, including 1300 troops. Cutting that in half to account for UKR bias still yields 650, which is a horrific day by any standards for RU. And lots of videos of RU stuff blowing up. https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/16/2206185/-More-Russian-stuff-blowing-up-Russia-s-losses-continue-to-mount?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web

whoa, that is wild!

100% for sure on all points. I love having Stuart when I'm facing german infantry & AT guns. The vast majority of fights were not w panthers & tigers involved, so shermans did a great job overall. Except for some of those fights in Brit sector in Normandy facing all those panthers -- those are gawd awful w shermans.

Christopher Robin then says "Silly old bear! they've got fossil fuels. Who cares about anything else?" And lots of blustery days for the 100 acre wood gang to enjoy up there.

One of the best movies ever, Death of Stalin. I could watch Stalin die over & over & over. And Zhukov shooting Beria -- so incredibly blunt and to the point while the others are all jabbering. You do have JoJo Rabbit on your list also, I hope? I hope Putin soon joins Stalin in the 'died in puddle of his own urine' club

well, you could just look for the red hat and the tshirt w trump's head on rambo's body hip-firing a heavy MG. But hey, I'm no Humint pro....

I love having LLF here -- seriously, I mean it. Always knocks me off my comfort zone in one way or another, whether I end up agreeing or not. Sounds like he leads quite the interesting international life of business. Or life of crime, not sure Meanwhile, Denys Davydov on youtube says the RU Dniper pullback is fake news, so we just don't know and we're getting contradictory info. Davydov says maybe it's a PR trial balloon for actual pullback later, but that's just speculation.

So you are thinking RU might re-position away from river to get out of artillery range? Interesting. If RU has arty shortage on this sector I can see how their forces would be getting clobbered and they'd want to pull back. I hope within a couple days we'll know more. I suppose RU would want to get UKR into position where it has to move arty onto left bank, where it would be more vulnerable due to restricted mobility for displacing after firing.

yeah, that's what I was wondering. What could foot mobile troops do that would cause RU to make significant pullback? UKR would need to have cut multiple roads which they don't seem to be close to doing yet. Once again, I let my hope overwhelm my frontal lobe.

For sure, Kinophile. Hopefully this starts the much hoped for cascading series of collapses we've all been wanting. I doubt it but hopium springs eternal, as they say.

Like I said before, I really really really hate being on the pointy end of a squad of PPSH fire. but I do love being on the trigger side of that. Indeed, hammer away. It's meatball surgery not brain surgery, as I once heard said.

Great pics, once again. I do love the T34/85. Yeah, it aint a panther but it works and there's lots of them and only weighs ~35 tons. With a powerful gun, again, not as good as the german guns & optics, but cheap and plentiful and reasonably reliable relative to intended life. I never play russians in modern or CW but I really enjoy playing them in WW2.

Really really wanting this to be true, and significant. Now I'll be checking here every 15 minutes all day hoping for confirmation.

Tense clip indeed. Glad to see RU losing forces, kinda sorry for those involved that were kidnapped (conscripted) and wanted no part in this. Not sorry for any volunteers.

Heard, Chef

xxxxx

deleted, the above is so awful just need to walk away

Maybe these young people are climate change zealots because they have to live with the catastrophe that our generation chose to mock & ignore. Did you see the temperature data from this summer? This september? -- Off the f--ing charts. Things are getting bad much, much faster than projected a decade ago.