The_MonkeyKing
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Posts posted by The_MonkeyKing
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No footage of losses so I take it this was not a failed attack but a probe, a raid or "preparing the battle field" ext.
In case of failed attack by Ukraine (even on company scale) we would see drone footage of Ukraine losses.
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25 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Subs at the start of video say "combat pigeon" ) Just a coincidence of strike and pigeon flight = mockery video )
Well darn. Some bird
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14 minutes ago, The_MonkeyKing said:
Unknown top attack drone once again in action:
source: https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1581268787420364802
Here is another that is surely the same system from this summer:
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Unknown top attack
dronething once again in action:source: https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1581268787420364802
EDIT: wrong to call it a drone. Don't know what it is
EDIT2: just a bird
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13 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
Still not confirmed if I read correctly, but quite likely he is training volunteers now.
I see this as likely as the Kadyrov "combat footage"
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information starting to arrive.
Kherson offensive starting up again.
Too bad RUS milblogger got shot down so it is going to be harder to follow this real time.
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best fast summary of types of 155mm ammo.
AT mines:
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Not sure what is the goal here. Maximum threat on the northern front while stealing all the equipment for RUS military?
Or Putin wants Belarus to go down with him
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40 minutes ago, The_MonkeyKing said:
Ukraine is getting the Hawk anti-air system.
source:
https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1eaKbrMPAQaKX
"Announcement by Spain that they will provide four Hawk launchers to strengthen Ukraine's air defenses"-Stoltenberg (2:09-2:17)It is **** but not as **** as you might first think:
Spain has the HAWK Phase III, overhauled in the 80-90s and missiles are from the 90s. So surely comparable to likes of BUK-M1 for example. Useful for static back lines protection like Kiev city center.
https://www.armyrecognition.com/united_states_american_missile_system_vehicle_uk/hawk_mim-23_low_medium_altitude_ground_to_air_missile_technical_data_sheet_specifications_pictures.htmlAlso seems Aspire is arriving:
https://mil.in.ua/en/news/ukrainian-military-being-trained-in-spain-to-operate-the-aspide-air-defense-system/
https://www.mbda-systems.com/product/aspide-2000/and Crotale confirmed:
https://www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_october_2022_global_security_army_industry/france_announces_the_supply_to_ukraine_of_crotale_air_defense_missile_systems.html -
Have you guys kept looking at the totals on this page? Creeping up pretty darn high
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/04/answering-call-heavy-weaponry-supplied.htmlhere are some of the largest
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Tanks (~320)
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Infantry Fighting Vehicles (~210)
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Engineering Equipment (25)
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Armoured Personnel Carriers (~700)
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Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Vehicles (~600)
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Infantry Mobility Vehicles (520+)
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Towed Artillery (~250)
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Self-Propelled Artillery (~180 with another 180+ on order)
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Multiple Rocket Launchers (~90)
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Radars (~85)
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Ukraine is getting the Hawk anti-air system.
source:
https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1eaKbrMPAQaKX
"Announcement by Spain that they will provide four Hawk launchers to strengthen Ukraine's air defenses"-Stoltenberg (2:09-2:17)It is **** but not as **** as you might first think:
Spain has the HAWK Phase III, overhauled in the 80-90s and missiles are from the 90s. So surely comparable to likes of BUK-M1 for example. Useful for static back lines protection like Kiev city center.
https://www.armyrecognition.com/united_states_american_missile_system_vehicle_uk/hawk_mim-23_low_medium_altitude_ground_to_air_missile_technical_data_sheet_specifications_pictures.html -
Ukraine is on the road of getting enough AA
I did not know Ukraine was getting 4 batteries of IRIS-T. Combine this with 8 batteries of NASAMS coming and you get pretty respectful AA coverage. You also get to top this off with all the soviet systems.
Finnish military has 8 batteries of NASAMS as the bas AA network (combined with around 60 modern fighters). This is deemed enough for FDF. Rest of the AA are short range systems.
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BTR-4 takes out T-80 with the mounted ATGM
49°31'46.0"N 37°55'36.6"E
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4 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
I see people saying explosives under the bridge, can SOF via underwater or boat get close enough to attach the explosives and enough in the right places?
I wonder if those USVs got used?
Could be, as likely as any of the other ideas floating around. haha
Could be launched from close by undercover civilian ship. UKR clearly has lots of operatives in Russia
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16 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
Missile?
Missile theory has a hole the size of missing footage and reports of anti-aircraft system firing in the area. They would have definitely tried to intercept.
I am still unconvinced of any current hypothesis.
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It would appear that the withdrawal of the RuAF on the northern Kherson front was at least somewhat premeditated. The withdrawal apparently took place in a better order than in previous similar situations, but the overall picture of the events is still unclear. 1/
RuAF will try to group its forces for defense primarily along Bruskynske-Borozensk-Mylove. Around Stepne-Novoraisk-Krupytsya, some kind of reserve will probably be gathered from retreating troops and other similar units. 2/
The Stepne-Novoraisk-Krupytsya line will also serve as the last line of defense before Nova Kakhovka is within range of the heavy artillery. It is difficult to identify the units at the moment, but it is likely that the weak and burnt-out units will be combined under the VDV. 3/
In the direction of the T0403 road, 2-3 weak combat sections of the battalion were probably destroyed. Battles took place at least on the Shevchenkivka - Zolota Balka level, as well as on the Nobooleksandrivka and Duchany fronts. 4/
The AFU has now likely withdrawn all the dwindling RuAF reserves to this sector. This can open up opportunities to unexpectedly change the focus of the attack to other parts of the front. 5/
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1 minute ago, Sandokan said:
Guys, your opinion about scenes like this. Is the programme "I want to live" really working?
maybe, but that footage is as likely fake as it is real. (this vid being fake doesn't take away from that it might be really happening in large amounts)
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25 minutes ago, Fenris said:
Haha, the level of grog chat of the most esoteric topics is great and funnily enough this came up on one of the main UKR twitter accounts today
Many are unjustified in launching at this. Indeed old fashioned but very effective. If I were to become hermit I would choose foot wraps over any socks.
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some rumors above and good visualization on the challenges of shrinking bridgehead under:
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3 minutes ago, Kinophile said:
Thats only part, the cold worms its way in inevitably. You wont regret it. Ive put a set in my boots, shot an entire day's worth (12 hours!) and come home with them still warm.
And, I swear to goodness, I put the boots on the next morning and the pads can still have heat.
Thick *** winter rubber boots with added boot lining (can be easily switched when gets wet, "rotation") combined with thick *** quality winter socks. Indestructible
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1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:
Heh. Well, I feel the same way about hot areas. I'd rather put more layers on than sit in a puddle of my own juices.
I went winter camping at -28F (-34c) air temp with a lot of wind. Younger days, but I rather enjoyed it! Fast forward 20 years to a night at an ice hotel (whole building made out of ice, including the bed and night stand). I was fine, but my wife pulled the ripcord at about 5 in the morning and we bailed.
The primary problem with winter fighting is, as was mentioned earlier, footwear. Unlike hands which can be shoved into pockets or taken inside a jacket for a boost, feet just hang out at the furthest distance from the body's heat center. Nothing you can really do about them other than periodically pull them out of boots and warm them by a fire.
Even in the relatively mild winter climate of Ukraine (and it seems the warming trend makes it mild by my standards) it doesn't take long to get frostbite from improper footwear. In fact, there were tons of reports of Russian soldiers developing frostbite and other cold related health issues during the "exercises" prior to the war's start. They didn't have proper clothing even then, it's probably going to be even worse this winter.
Steve
on the personal equipment (no translator required because photos):
https://puolustusvoimat.fi/documents/1948673/2258487/PEVIESTOS-TaistelijanVaatetusM05-2013.pdf/e756573d-0ebe-4157-84a9-cb28bef3e30e/PEVIESTOS-TaistelijanVaatetusM05-2013.pdf.pdfmore general all around guide to everything including "surviving" (also lots of photos):
https://puolustusvoimat.fi/documents/1948673/59593990/Sotilaan_kasikirja_2022.pdf/0302c220-4a06-0bd2-2f7f-6adaa0e00926/Sotilaan_kasikirja_2022.pdf/Sotilaan_kasikirja_2022.pdf?t=1639574353843For the bad weather you just need the right gear (personal and formation gear)
From personal experience you survive quite easily indefinably in -30°C(-22°F) when you have personal gear and squad gear.
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I will start to get worried if I see anything like this in the RUS mobilization (Finnish exercise for reservists):
footage from gearing up the troops -
5 minutes ago, Huba said:
True, but I think we are about to witness it. RU is supposed to have a defensive line spanning somewhere from Beryslav to the west to Inhulets river. I think they are falling back to it right now - if it holds, they still have prospects to evacuate considerable number of men. If it does not hold though...
We should probably compare this to the initial Harkiv attack.
How far Ukraine went and how much it needed to pause for before continuing.
Similar laws might apply here
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Repairing the bridge is not a binary thing.
On the first day it was one lain for small vehicles and a lone train locomotive.
From a year or two from now it could be "good as new" including from full load capacity to new coating on the all the structures.
In between of those two are many many other states. Including "shut down for further repairs", even if it was close to full capacity before that.