The_MonkeyKing
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Posts posted by The_MonkeyKing
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I guess something was agreed last year in the backrooms of NATO that things are going to change if the war still exists in 2023. So much going on again...
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It is a party day!
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1 minute ago, Vet 0369 said:
Unfortunately, I have become accustomed th the German Government stating that they are going to do something, and then stating all kinds of excuses why they can’t do it now.
I’ll wait until actions back up the promises.
I don't think thye have walked back any of these types of specific promises? Yes, timetables have changed but not drastically.
and Germans have catched up pretty darn well. Also, their information strategy has been terrible. I think in general they have been well meaning fools and have learned a lot and are still learning.
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Marder-Scholz compilation:
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3 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
Well, this leaving a pretty short list of stuff Ukraine has not gotten yet: western MBT, western airframes, large long range missiles.
Awesome to see this happenening. White house source:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/01/05/joint-press-statement-following-a-call-between-the-president-joe-biden-and-the-chancellor-of-the-federal-republic-of-germany-olaf-scholz/Meanwhile Putin trying oneway ceasefire and getting some mad burns from Biden:
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4 hours ago, Kinophile said:
Oryx certainly has a simple opinion:
Oryx wants "tank" to mean MBT. It doesn't.
some relevant words:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tank
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armoured_fighting_vehicle
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_battle_tankLeopard 2 is a tank, AFV and an MBT
AMX-10 is a tank, AFV but not an MBTAMX-10 can be a light tank, cavarly tank, tank destroyer or a scout tank.
Leopard 2 is an MBT
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and more importantly average european politician cannot tell or explaint the diffence.
I want to see Olaf Scholz trying to explaing in a press breafing why exatly this is diffent than sending leopards haha
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1 hour ago, Huba said:
I'm 100% positive he used the "light tanks" on purpose here
It looks like the taboo is broken now.
It is broken. No one can deny AMX-10 is not a tank. It is not an MBT but it is a light/scout/cavalry/TD tank. And it is 100% western design.
You can call it a armored fighting vehicle but you can also call MBT that.
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This is a good article on how the western story of soviet unions collapse is mostly false. It was not ever determined and could have easily gone the other way.
They also have a podcast series ongoing about the subject (paywall): https://warontherocks.com/episode/therussiacontingency/28031/the-collapse-of-the-soviet-union-part-1/
I am thinking that the common meme thinking about "collapse" is mostly just that, a meme. Everything is always collapsing, China, USA, EU economy, Iran .... When we look back in history collapses are quite rare.
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TIL:
Ukraine Poised to Become First Operator of 150-Kilometer Precision Bomb:
https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/11/29/ukraine-first-operator-precision-bomb/
So the same idea as NASAMS meaning adapting the plentiful and hightech airlaunched munitions to groundlaunch. This time it is just precision guided bombs.
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4 minutes ago, dan/california said:
FINALLY
Haha, I was going to make the same post with the same text.
Finally indeed
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1 hour ago, Huba said:
Heard about that, but the available articles mentioned that it is only a proposal from some MPs, not an official proposal of FIN government. Am I right?
It is coming out of the members of The Finnish Defence Committee (Finnish govermental organisation).
Not to go in detail here but it has the blessing of the Defence Committee and by extension also the blessing of the Finnish foreing policy leaders.
It is a softer aproach like often countries use "less important" officials or govermental organisations to "feel the ground" with new ideas.
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Finland driving Europe wide initiative to get Leopard 2s to Ukraine. Idea is if everyone gives even 5-10% of their leo2 to Ukraine it would add up to hundreds. With some swapping you could also narrow it to only 1-2 variants of leo2.
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1 hour ago, Huba said:
Add second strike on Crimea bridge and drone swarms on the Black Sea. It really has a potential to become a Kherson redux.
Edit: and just as we speak, here's an very interesting development. It was forwarded by DefMon, so has to has at least some credibility. I wouldn't expect Erdogan to do this, again his recklessness comes in handy:
Downside seems to be that the terminal guidence requires laser designation. (drone for example)
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44 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:
People on Reddit speculating that this was a execution of prisoners by Ukrainians, after one Russian faked surrendering and came out shooting.
Could be either. After the RUS opening up the Ukrainian machine gun gunner (that we saw in the vid) is going to open up and understandably going to keep firing for a while. Not taking the risk any of the guys laying down have change of mind or misunderstand the situation as UKR attack and start defending themselves. Also if grenades were thrown..
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The most comprehensive analysis of the air war status from the start to this point. (second one was "Revisiting Russian Air Performance in Ukraine-the Russia Contingency with Michael Kofman" but it has paywall)
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interesting little story:
videos:
https://old.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/yy62hy/ukrainians_were_taking_a_group_of_russians/
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/ytw4rp/what_1000_kia_a_day_looks_like_large_number_of/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=usertext&utm_name=CombatFootage&utm_content=t1_iwsg7em -
18 minutes ago, danfrodo said:
WHOA! wants to live in an evidence-based reality??? and willing to change his beliefs based on evidence? Excellent example to those who live in a belief-based reality, where when evidence/reality conflicts w belief one simply denies reality.
In full context more reasonable.
More like laying the ground work to walk back the original claims. Understandable they don't want to do 180degree turn there.
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11 minutes ago, Grossman said:
One can assume NATO has worked through all scenarios. A likely response to a stray missile scenario might be to speed up the supply of missile defence systems to Ukraine; NATO sees provision essential to the protection of life and property. A 2nd option is the provision of F-15's to the Ukrainians. A third option is a no fly zone 100 km from the battlefield, in essence protecting Ukrainian major cities. It depends on the collective mood of NATO members.
I think NATO might solve the problem of Russia firing missiles near POL border. UKR intercepting these has a risk of landing in Poland like now happened. Also Russian missile malfunctions are a risk.
This might mean some sort of air and missile intercept zone for NATO lets say within 100km of Polish border. Taken care of with NATO airpower and air defence.
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23 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
Again, shouldn't be too big a issue as long as Ukraine apologizes, ensures proper payment, etc. Friendly fire happens.
Ukrainians humiliated themselves with the FM and PM statements. Lets see how they walk these back.
If they didn't jump the gun yesterday, today there would have been the angles of "we have old ****ty missiles, give use new ones" and "the Russians are firing their missiles along the UKR-POL border, so Russia is at fault, this was inevitable".
I say pretty small change it was a Russian fired missile at this point. All that remains to be known to be sure is the type of missile.
It looks like the taboo is broken now.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Germans are getting fast.