Kraft
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Posts posted by Kraft
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Russia's meat grinder soldiers - 50,000 confirmed dead
In the second 12 months on the front line - as Moscow pushed its so-called meat grinder strategy - we found the body count was nearly 25% higher than in the first year.
Prisoners under Wagner survived on average 3 Months, those under official russian strafbats only 2 months.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-68819853
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Lets not drag gender politics from twitter into this when so many more interesting things are happening.
I believe this will remain a missile/drone campaign to further reduce already low AD stocks in the west and divert attention, cause instability and uncertainty.
Lets see how much AD the US suddenly has available if Israel asks for it.
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1 hour ago, FancyCat said:
it astounds me that marking them to near zero value is impossible
Its not impossible but it is not the goal of the Biden administration to make Ukraine win by military means.
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The Arsenal of Democracy Clownshow continues.
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Supposedly russia broke their record with confirmed vehicle losses in a single day.
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Ukrainian manufactured Aeroprakt a22 ultra light aircraft being used as a kamikaze drone on Shahed factory. Range to target ~ 1200km.
Supposedly this one didnt hit the factory but a building (dormitory) infront of it, but there was another explosion, maybe that one hit the production facility
Maybe instead of scrapping A-10s, they should be converted to well armored drones?
This plane survived 8 hours in russian airspace
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1 hour ago, sfhand said:
My plan is to have this be my only post in this thread... I've known about the thread from day one. I really only have one question about the whole thing.
How can anyone know the truth of the matter?
Yeah, when we invaded Iraq because of WMD's I was one of the ones questioning the decision. I watched in disbelief Colin Powell's address to the UN, the one with the crudely made computer generations of Iraq's supposed mobile WMD labs. Not satellite photos... crudely made computer representations - the lack of no photos was a big tell. I also read all of Hans Blix's report about there being no proof of WMD's and his willingness to keep investigating.
Why was I so skeptical of the US government? I missed the Vietnam draft by 2 years. The Pentagon papers clearly showed those "in command" were lying through their teeth about the state of things. For me, this type of government mendacity erodes trust. Fast forward to Iraq and my saying to a friend during a work break meal as we watched the opening salvo Shock and Awe bombing on TV "I can't believe anyone believes the reasons for this after having gone through Vietnam". My friend's response "Obviously you don't know anyone who lives in New York" (guess where he was from). It was a very enlightening moment about the human condition and yet not enlightening at all about the justifications for the war.
Then there's Russia-gate. You all know it has been thoroughly debunked right? In a court of law no less. See the Durham report. The whole "thing" was plotted by the Clinton campaign. There is also the Inspector General's report (Horowitz) about the FBI, and its head honchos, losing its/their way. When these truths were exposed one NYT reporter commented about the Clinton campaign liars thusly "...they lied and with sanctimony...".
We were told the Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation... Trump (who I will never vote for) was called out in a debate with Biden for promoting Russian disinformation by the mainstream media moderator because he mentioned the laptop. The moderator's reasoning: 50 former high ranking intelligence operatives said the laptop bore all the classic hallmarks of a Russian disinformation campaign.
Have you ever wondered why Paul Manafort was tried and convicted for FARA violations while Hunter Biden is given a free pass? Or the fact that Peter Navarro was sentenced to prison for ignoring a congressional subpoena (yanked off an airplane and handcuffed) but Hunter faces no repercussions?
So, we've got the CIA and the FBI running covert ops against the American public in order for form public opinion in their favor. Apparently there is a healthy appetite for wolf attacks these days because no one ever seems to ignore or tire of the boy calling wolf in real life. At this point Regan definitely got it backwards: verify before trusting.
The essence of a good con is telling the mark what they want to hear. No con can succeed without it.
With this, I am out. I don't expect anyone in this thread to agree with anything I've added to this conversation and I am very much okay with it. I did want to voice my thoughts on the fundamental nature of matter. I hope you all are having a great day/night and enjoying life one day at a time.
What has Hunter Biden to do with russian tanks in Ukraine?
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Range several hundred kilometers.
Please note the high quality tail fin art.
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Pavlo Narozhnyi , the founder of "Reaktivna Poshta" and a military expert, gave an interview to the French publication Le Grand Continent.
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Currently, the situation is very difficult. We have to face several problems at the same time. The most important thing is the lack of ammunition for artillery: our fighters have to regulate the use of shells. The total number fired per day is very small, from 2,000 to 3,000. And I'm not talking about 3,000 155-mm shells, that's all calibers together. That's about 600 or 1,000 rounds of 155 mm caliber and maybe 2,000 rounds of other calibers — 152 mm, 122 mm, 120 mm.
Another ongoing problem that may soon be resolved is Russia's use of aerial bombs. This vulnerability is directly related to the lack of anti-aircraft systems. Since these are not unguided bombs, they can be launched 70 or even 100 kilometers from the front line. They can hit targets within a radius of 100 meters and can destroy any fortification, any building. Russia drops 50 to 100 such bombs on the front line every day.
But it seems that this problem is about to be solved - mysterious anti-aircraft systems appeared on the front line, and we destroyed 15 Russian planes in the first days of March. This is a huge loss for Russia, as it only has about 200 of these aircraft. And each of these Su-34 bombers has two pilots. If you shoot down that plane, it means those pilots are killed or injured. If they eject, they will have spinal injuries and need three to six months to recover.
We started using French AASM bombs. These are the same barrage bombs used by the Russians, but they are more modern. They don't just barrage, they have their own engine that gives them a longer range, which means we can hit very deep into the Russian logistics network.
Tires are also one of the biggest targets for artillery, as the roads near the front line are littered with the small remains of destroyed equipment, as well as debris that can damage the tires. In addition, Russia is constantly planting small "petal" mines that are powerful enough to tear off a person's leg or damage the tire of a very large truck. Therefore, our organization purchases mobile stations so that units can repair and replace tires directly in the field. Only one such station costs 30 thousand dollars. It's not enough. Because on the front line, if Caesar's cannon loses a few tires and can no longer move, it becomes a very easy target.
On whether kamikaze drones (in particular FPV) can compensate for artillery.
The howitzer commander can fire 3-4 shells per minute, which is very fast compared to FPV, and artillery shells are not amenable to electronic warfare. Not to mention the power: if you are trying to destroy large fortifications, concrete bunkers, a drone with a kilogram of explosives will do nothing. Dozens, if not hundreds, of artillery shells should be used on each of these fortifications.
We are committed to providing artillery units with decoy howitzers that are manufactured here in Ukraine. They are made of wood, cost $800 each, and the Russians have to be very precise to destroy them. "Lancet" is not a very accurate weapon, it usually hits one to three meters within the radius of the decoy howitzer. In this case, the soldiers smear the willows with paint and move the wooden howitzer to another position. Given that the Lancet costs about $40,000, this makes sense from an economic point of view. For example, only one of these decoy howitzers was targeted by 12 Lancets.
We built cages for the towed howitzers, and the soldiers have special radio equipment that can detect enemy drones. When the drone is about five kilometers away, it starts making a very loud sound like a siren, and the gunners have to stay away from the howitzers because they won't have time to move the gun before the drone arrives. The Lancet will aim at the howitzer, but it is covered by this cage, and the drone's explosive charge is not powerful enough to penetrate the cage. After an attack, gunners usually need to do some repairs, such as repairing the gun's hydraulics or replacing tires, but the gun itself is usually kept in good condition.
Both sides use drones. One of Russia's most advanced artillery systems, the Msta-S M2, has a special digital system that allows it to send drone coordinates directly to the artillery system. But most of them are not equipped with a digital system - and we destroyed most of these self-propelled guns because we get excellent results in counter-battery fire.
The Russian army still uses mainly towed artillery, which is outdated and has no electronics, which is a big difference between them and us. We have special command centers with live broadcast from drones. And, of course, we have Western artillery. It is more accurate, more mobile, and more powerful. A 155-mm Western shell is worth a 200-mm Russian one.
Speaking more generally, the main problem of our army is insufficient flexibility. Let me give you an example: let's say you are an officer in a unit and your truck breaks down. You must submit a request to the Department of Defense to repair or replace the truck, and this request can take up to two months to process. The guys know they can't wait that long, so they buy parts out of their own pockets.
Ukrainian charitable organizations spend huge amounts of money to support the army - there are statistics published by the National Bank: the largest organizations collected about 20 billion hryvnias - approximately 500 million dollars. No one knows the numbers collected by smaller organizations, but overall it is a significant amount.
Compared to the budget of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine - about 35 billion dollars - the funds collected by charitable organizations do not seem so significant. But the main advantage of such organizations is their efficiency. They can quickly make decisions, buy equipment that is not registered with the Ministry of Defense, and transport it to the front line in a very short time. Speed and flexibility are the main advantages of such organizations. If a gunnery officer wants to get, say, a weather station, he can't just go to a store and buy one, he has to go through a special bureaucratic process. Or he can call me and say he needs a weather station.
We have a "Bohdana", a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer, similar to a "Caesar", a very good gun. We produce six a month, which is a good figure. But we can't actually produce artillery shells, and that's a big problem. I don't have the numbers because they are classified. The only thing is that it was provided by the company "Ukrainian armored vehicles", which says that they produce about 20,000 mortar shells per month. But there is a big difference between mortars and 155 mm shells. You can use inferior steel for mortar rounds, but it doesn't work with larger calibers: the pressure in the barrel is so high that if you use bad steel, the projectile will explode inside the gun. There are also problems with the supply of gunpowder, TNT... And this is not only a problem of production in Ukraine, it is faced by everyone in the world.
If the financial and military support of the West stops?
We will fall apart, that's for sure. It's only a matter of time. We cannot produce enough here in Ukraine: it is impossible to build big factories, we do not have enough money because we have lost about 30% of our economy, and we spend almost 100% of our income on the army, on salaries, to buy fuel, food for a million soldiers.
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I dont know why the Telegraph didnt use this picture.
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33 minutes ago, dan/california said:
What does it say?
Madyar is a faggot
The truck in question burning happily a stone toss away
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One of the russians seems to follow Madyar's content and noticed who was receiving the drone gifts.
A heartfelt message was written on the road on which he hunts
just a couple meters further, a burning rus truck can be seen
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1 hour ago, dan/california said:
I'm eagerly awaiting the moment when the FPV intercepts a Russian helicopter.
Almost happened last year, FPV targeted missile dumping chopper but missed helicopter by ~100 meters as it couldnt catch up with the speed.
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Orlivka reportedly has been taken by ru forces
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10 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
He is referring to the fact that Steve already shut this conspiracy nonsense down. Keep pitching it and you will likely be sent on break.
Basically until you have credible proof - and so far all we have is one bleached blonde douchebag with an iPhone music video against a blank wall - you might want avoid speculation of this sort as it really is starting to look like the ghosts of John Kettler.
I do not find that post but I will not comment on it anymore.
I find it odd why single me out, as it is still discussed by others and it was my first comment on the matter.
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QuoteFrom March 14 to 20, oil refineries of the russian federation processed 5.03 million barrels of oil per day. That's more than 400,000 barrels per day less than the average for the first 13 days of the month.
Kyiv is justifying the attack by the fact that it seeks to limit the supply of fuel to the front line and reduce the flow of petrodollars to the kremlin coffers.
The actual reduction in total oil refining is smaller because intact refineries have increased their throughput to ensure sufficient fuel production.
PJSC Rosneft accounts for more than half of the total drop in russian oil refining volumes over the past week, after two of its largest facilities were attacked in early March.
Crude output at the Ryazan refinery, which was attacked on March 13, fell by more than 160,000 barrels per day, about 63% below the average for the first 13 days of March. Rosneft's Syzran plant, which was attacked last weekend, reduced oil processing by 62,000 barrels per day over the same period, or 67%.
PJSC Lukoil's oil refinery in Norsi, which was damaged by a drone on March 12, reduced daily oil processing by more than 91,000 barrels, or 36%.
Almost a quarter, or about 97,000 bpd, is at the PJSC Gazprom Nafta refinery in moscow, which was not hit but began scheduled maintenance earlier this week.
As the russian authorities focus on supplying the domestic fuel market, any reduction in the country's oil refining will lead to a decrease in fuel exports.
According to preliminary estimates, drone attacks could reduce diesel production in russia by 6-8%. Supplies of diesel fuel and fuel oil for export may decrease by 120,000-150,000 barrels per day.
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30 minutes ago, sburke said:
Still here? Not for long I expect.
? Is there some issue between us that I am unaware of?
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54 minutes ago, billbindc said:
Let's look at this as simply as possible: what about the Russian government for the last 20 years suggests to you that they are capable of a finely tuned false flag that somehow managed to fool the US government's vast resources pointed at ISIS-K?
Russia doesnt need to infiltrate isis, they just need to let it happen which they did.
Examplary reaction Ive seen a few times:
QuoteRussians must unite as before in order to prevent this black lawlessness with their moral teachings and orders, and also stop at all levels and severely punish those government officials, etc., who give them citizenship, the opportunity to live in Russia, work, organize pop MMA, who close eyes on their crimes, who takes money from them and is involved in concealment.
These people are enemies of the People, who through their actions make it possible to commit crimes. This is another enemy of ours who sits in the rear while Russia is at war with the Western enemy on the territory of the so-called Ukraine.
My prediction: mobilisation focusing heavily on religious minority, their passport 'volunteers' have been exhausted, now the rest will be called in.
Who's going on the street to protest if its just muslims? Let them atone for their religious brothers with blood of their own, you will hear.
Just like they dont give a **** about the convicts who turned into maggot food, no muskovite will cry over the landfill of bodies they'll be dumped in, I guarantee you that.
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300k officially*, I am sure the real number will be far greater.
QuoteThe Vyorstka Telegram channel on March 22 cited four sources close to the presidential office and Defense Ministry as saying that Moscow plans to soon announce a new wave of military mobilization that would seek to enlist up to 300,000 people to bolster its troops involved in the ongoing invasion of Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Mark Denisov, the ombudsman in Russia's Krasnoyarsk Krai, said on March 21 that several penitentiaries in the Siberian region will be shut down this year due to the ongoing recruitment of inmates for the war.
Denisov's statement came two days after the Russian parliament's lower chamber, the State Duma, approved in the final reading a bill allowing inmates to change their prison terms to suspended sentences without presidential clemency decrees after they sign contracts with the Defense Ministry.
In November, the Kremlin admitted to recruiting inmates to the war in Ukraine saying they "are atoning for their guilt with blood."
https://www.rferl.org/amp/russia-mobilization-war-ukraine-prisons/32873203.html
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4 hours ago, kimbosbread said:
Designer death
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by Kraft
There is a somewhat large risk of further breakthroughs in the Avdiivka direction from recent days and the "fortifications" are miles behind the current frontline, while russia was sitting in a tunnel/trench network that made any exploitation impossible.
Had the first line been breached there would've been 3 more hurdles before just touching Tokmak.
The line south of Ocheretyne and Soloviove will likely be abandoned if the current advances north of it continue and cant be stopped with new US aid. As of today it appears in the rumor mill that the russians are successfull there.
It may be a 7km wide frontline withdrawl by ~6kms, what that does to the whole of the front I dont know but it surely isnt an improvement and may cause issues nearby