kraze
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Posts posted by kraze
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41 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:30 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
And remember that Russian journalist that did the on-air stunt with the sign? Few of us here believed it was real and was instead some sort of orchestrated psyops stunt. Well, she apparently was facing 10 years in prison and so she and her daughter left and are now in Europe somewhere. If we believe her to be a Russian state asset then moving her there is likely part of it. If we instead believe she was an asset for the RU Moderates, then she is likely there to escape real legal problems. If she's just an anti-war protestor that the Russia used as a Useful Idiot, then it is also an escape.
Whatever the truth is, she's no longer in Russia:
Steve
Probably part two of the show.
She lived in Germany but her BS about how sanctions make poor russians suffer and it's all "putin's war" didn't work (and how she's in fact 100% ethnic Ukrainian and is going to change her last name to a Ukrainian one - wonder where that all went) so instead of, you know, staying in a 'safe' place - she went back to Russia.
I mean russians aren't exactly about smarts (fining her $300 to make a martyr) but more about brute force so get ready for a new round of "martyr".
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Karma is beautiful this season in Yeysk
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14 minutes ago, panzermartin said:
What are they hitting with the small kamikaze drones in downtown Kiev? From the start of this war the russian raids seemed to be random and lacked focus.
They are trying to hit the power plant, but they can't seem to find it.
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44 minutes ago, Sojourner said:
Ahh, but there's also something relaxing in the sound of jet fighters, especially when they are on your side.
* well, maybe more comforting than relaxing.
Wouldn't it be nice to see something like this again?
Admittedly hearing your own jets (and seeing them and making out silhouettes) is ultimately a very calming thing. I think I had quite a good night's sleep in a while after that. Beautiful beasts.
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1 hour ago, danfrodo said:
Holy Moly! the airplane isn't dead! Like tank isn't dead! Airplanes are, of course, sons of lesser gods relative to tanks, but this is a really welcome bit of news. RU troops have to be absolutely terrified by this. UKR untermenschen w air superiority???? And are increasing that advantage by knocking out more AA sites. This is beautiful.
I travelled a bit around for the weekend. Let's say at a place I went to I couldn't quite relax in silence due to all the Su-25s and Su-27s going back and forth nearby.
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33 minutes ago, LongLeftFlank said:
Comic book manuals and *shudder* reading is so, like 1985, Daddy-O. The Millenials and Gen Zer(o)s viddy the old YT....
In this case writing Gen Z is more appropriate than you think
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4 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
Something to be said. We are fortunate to have at least four Ukrainians in the Kyiv area who regularly post to this thread. Since the terror strikes disrupted their lives we haven't seen much activity from them. That is perfectly understandable. I presume their daily routines got seriously upended in addition to it being more difficult to maintain connections to the internet. The interactions with our Ukrainian members ensures we have a direct connection to this war each and every day we discuss it. It is of great benefit to us all, as thinkers and as caring Human Beings, and I'm sure we all miss their contributions. But the connections they have helped make between us and this war remains even in their temporary absence.
Slava Ukraini!
Steve
It's just that there's not much to post when nothing major happens daily apart from the usual things.
On Oct 10th when strikes happened in my district electricity was turned off only after missiles stopped coming (probably to do load balancing). It was off for 12 hrs and that's it, but it wasn't much of a problem, just an annoyance because I (just like many others) expected russians to do it, so I bought a portable power plant - which was enough for phones and a laptop - among other things like canned food and an oil eater. So in my case a large part of the evening was spent playing boardgames with my gf using candles and flashlights and watching neighbors using theirs too.
I just didn't expect them to do it too early, when it's 15C+. Crimean bridge certainly forced them to make stupid decisions.
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25 minutes ago, Taranis said:
Personally, I'm not that surprised. They are profound idiots but like everywhere, there are always people who are against aid to Ukraine or who believe Russia's lies (US plot etc...).
I think the ties between Russia and Germany are stronger than between Russia and FRA-UK-US.
I guess it's historical first, with the post-WW2 occupation, GDR etc. There are always people (a minority) who regret the GDR. We didn't have any physical contact further west like Germany had with the Russians. Perhaps the presence of a still existing US military base plays into the animosity of some? (simple guess) We haven't had any in France since around 1966. I think there are as many nonconformists, conspirators and opponents of the US as there are pro-Russian radicals.
Secondly and partly thanks to the historical part, there is the economic link which has developed in recent years (Nordstream etc) and the opposition of some would be mainly for their own comfort.Take care mate!
Those cases are due to traumas of russian occupation of half of the country during 1945-1989, which didn't just go anywhere. Nation-spanning Stockholm syndrome is a very hard thing to beat, we in Ukraine unfortunately know it all too well.
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33 minutes ago, keas66 said:
Well I would kind of suggest "existence" is being meant in a more subtle way here ? Russia - if allowed to continue in its current political form - will simply keep trying exactly what is is doing now until it succeeds or until it no longer "exists" in its current form . There has to be a change in view/perspective at the top in Russia for anything to change . Until that happens Kraze is kind of on point .
Russia is an empire. It's not a single country. Political change in an empire is impossible because anything but an aggressive, violent, despotic government leads to a very fast disintegration.
And if empires can't just take and hold new lands - they start exterminating the populace until they can. Anyone in putin's place will keep doing the same. Because an emperor is as much a slave of the system as he is an owner of it.
Changing a guy on the imperial throne will not stop the cycle of violence, because a weak one will simply get dethroned by his stronger subordinates.
So no, no subtle way about it. Time to accept that Russia should not exist as a single entity, it has to end or millions will die.
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2 minutes ago, poesel said:
I guess Russia is trying to up the ante: on Saturday, two railway communication cables were cut in the span of a few hours. One in Berlin, the other in the Ruhr area. One was the backup of the other. This has led to 3h ours outage of all rail traffic in northern Germany.
You need intimate knowledge of that communication network to know of the cables, their location and their interdependency. I can't think of no other actor than Russia who has both means and reason.
The other thing just happened today:
It is not a difficult guess that Russia starts to go after European infrastructure.
Personally, I think that will backfire - as have most of Russia's plans lately.
Germany is also one of those countries that keeps letting russian "refugees" in in droves. That can't possibly backfire some time around winter.
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11 minutes ago, Grigb said:
I fully agree. The Kremlin (not just Putin) is under heavy RU Nat pressure due to the bridge attack. They have to give something to RU Nats. This is what RU soldier wrote from the front line in Kherson (8-Oct).
I always find it funny how russians keep whining about "decision-making centers" because they still don't get Ukraine. They are incapable of thinking outside their old, totalitarian box and still think our minister of defense sits inside the ministry of defense and general army stuff sits in the building of general army stuff. There are no "decision making centers" to strike and it's ironic that even putin and his bros understand this, while his fanbase doesn't.
And it's why I think PICs and "liberalization" won't work. Like how will they control the thing if it's private? As in not privately owned by someone closest to emperor as is the case with Rybar and other Wagner trash. Even "smarter" russians from Rybar keep thinking Ukraine is this Soviet state where everything is decided inside a single building in the center of the capital.
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2 minutes ago, Grigb said:
In reality it does not. RU explicitly aim for mass civilian casualties and genocide. The cheer in RU telegram you see is not about UKR civilian casualties due to missile strike.
They cheer because they believe Kremlin finally started proper full-scale genocide of UKR - they belive RU missile strikes aimed at power and heat infrastructure will lead to UKR mass civilian casualties during the winter and cause at least collapse of UKR state or preferably disappearance of UKR nation.
RU having a seat in Security Council of UN undermines whole idea of UN.
Hence why I say it's us or them. There can be no other outcome. Everybody who says that Russia should keep existing is explicitly taking the russian side and suggesting Ukraine should cease existing. Even if hypocritically pretending to be "civilized".
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7 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
Pedestrian bridge. 0.5 miles away from the Presidential Palace and other government buildings. Inaccurate missile or terror attack?
Apparently it was Kh-101. This is the precise one, they don't have many of them and these are very expensive.
But it didn't hurt the bridge much.
Irony is that Klitschko was criticized for a supposedly poor bridge quality.
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9 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Too loud enough... Two impacts in our district (far from center), something is burning, but I suppose they missed at least with one missile if they wanted to hit THIS object...
They missed the other object too, hitting Akhmetov's tower instead (photos are public already).
Their missiles are really **** at precision, but to kill civilians you don't need precision either.
No objects in Shevchenko park though.
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13 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
To be honest, I don't understand what Putin is trying to achieve. Intimidation doesn't work. We have already gone through this, at the very beginning of the war there were similar attacks on the residential areas of Kyiv and this only caused an increase in hatred towards the Russians. I think the only result of these attacks will be an increase in military assistance to Ukraine.
russians (not putin, people should stop pretending it's just some putin, as much as some "civilized" forum members here may not like it) simply don't know how to do it any other way. It worked in Chechnya and it worked in Syria, so must work here too.
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5 minutes ago, RockinHarry said:
Best good morning pics since long time. Was the first to see after switching on TV and news. My best bet would be truck bomb a well, but who sent it? Since Vlad is threatening with his sh***y hypersonic crap and
right from the start, I wouldn´t be surprised if it was himself then justifying use of tac nukes. Anything could happen since Vlad knocked his head after slipping from the toilet bowl in february.
Not the bridge. He would've exploded a few apartment blocks in Moscow, he has a track record.
Bridge is a symbol. Exploding a symbol of your power on your own bday? Nah.
Besides our secretary of security council kind of said "we did it" in his tweet.
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20 minutes ago, MikeyD said:
We say Ukraine but lets remember a lot of Russians are really REALLY pissed with mass conscription, especially in ethnic minority areas. That lowers the probability that Ukraine did it from 98% to 78% (still pretty darned high). How would Ukraine get 2 tons of explosives onto a truck driving out of Krasnodar?
Russians will never do such a thing. They are "pissed" (scared) with the conscription, but they still support the invasion and bridge itself is a Holy symbol of their victory over the evil West, which accepted the occupation. Plus dying in a truck so you don't possibly die in a war makes no sense. Not to mention a truckload of explosives isn't something a russian has at home, unless it's some military organization. And, again, the Bridge is Holy. An enlistment office? Yes. Bridge? No. Holy.
Truck drivers get hired all the time. They do deliveries so often they won't care what's in the boxes loaded into the truck as long as they get paid. It's the easiest part of the plan.
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6 minutes ago, chrisl said:
The train is a pretty short target in time - do Russian trains run as reliably as Swiss?
It might be easier if it's not a suicide bomber to know which truck it's going to be in and follow it in a car with a remote (which could just be a call from a phone).
A
russian trains do have a schedule (it's their main supply artery for whole Crimea, not just frontlines - so it's reasonable to assume a fuel train always delivers fuel through the bridge at XX:XX AM) and the truck was most likely followed by one of the cars, where the spotter was going to hit the button when the truck crosses ways with the train.
I'd even say they were trying to go for exploding it at the bridge arc ideally (as you can see it's really close) but the train was faster (here you have that unpredictable train time variation)
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10 minutes ago, LongLeftFlank said:
Martyrdom operation or self-driving VBIED?
Maybe Elon is on the side of the angels after all, in his own twisted way (lol)?
Let's play guessing game: I'd say the likely way to do it was knowing the supply train schedule (easy enough by just watching the bridge daily) and exploiting that to fullest by hiring some unaware russian truck driver to deliver a ton of something in cardboard boxes (e.g. "washing machines") by driving out strictly at 7 AM to catch the train. And hitting the button at the right time.
Now that would've been pretty "uncivilized" by western standards and I guess it means that Nobel peace prize should be taken away so only belarussians and russians share it.
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3 hours ago, Grigb said:
Rybar reports that Dagger units at Zaporozhye direction consist mainly of polish mercenaries. The Poles are everywhere!
That's easy to explain. You see since in their heads Ukrainians don't exist - we also don't have a language, just a weird dialect of russian. But then russians hear Ukrainian language on the radio and go like "I don't understand a word, but it sounds
actually slavicnot russian, so must be Polish mercs!" -
7 hours ago, MSBoxer said:
If this is true, it gives me hope. For all of those that say that Russian culture is irredeemable, I ask
If Ukraine was such a substantial part of Russia/Soviet Union just over 30 years ago, I have hopes that if there is actually a change at the top in Russia we could see a change in the overall regard for humanity across the board.
This may be a simplistic view, and I have no idea if the average Ukrainian from 30+ years ago had the same views as today's Russians, but it gives me hope and there are times when hope in your fellow man is all you can ask for.Ukraine was under the russian occupation 30 years ago and russians kept repressing Ukrainians well into 1991. Ukrainians also wanted freedom and fought for it to various degrees through the whole russian occupation of 20th century.
An average Ukrainian certainly didn't have the same views. It's the same as saying Czechs had the same views because they were occupied from 1945 until 1990.
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Just now, Artkin said:
For sure. The Belarussian military is something like a corps in strength last I remember. It's really not much. If the forces were committed in February they would have been effective. Now, they will come across battle hardened veterans who have been rotated to the rear. After being stopped by TD, of course.
I don't see it as likely either, everyone knows what would happen lol.
In the Tpyca video it was noted that Belarus has 7 BTG on the border already. We have seen a lot more than 7 BTG's get wiped off the map so far. More like 70.
I think Belarus will keep playing the role of simply tying down our forces in the north and for that they will be making statements a la "we are going to attack any day now" while keeping their troops near the border without ever crossing it. In fact that's been their modus operandi for the past 6 months.
After all Lukashenko stayed in power longer than putin (28 years now) and he didn't need any "small victorious wars" to make his people love him (and belarussians do love him, have no illusions about that), just enough to keep his throne secure.
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29 minutes ago, Artkin said:
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-belarus-border-war-russia-/32066770.html
In this video they have mixed opinions. The commander of the Northern Operational Group doesnt think so, but it was noted in the video that Belarus is building up rail and airport transportation infrastructure
at this point in time Belarus "army" will simply get massacred once it crosses the border. They lack numbers (they can commit 20k at most, their whole standing army is 60k), don't have russians anywhere near like it was back in February and in a much much worse shape than russians are. If russians thought that gluing western tech to soviet tanks made them the top army and did just that - Belarus never left the '70s.
Sure if they decide to go full in - they will be able to kill some of ours, but Belarus will cease having any army in a month (and who will be protecting their leader then?). Russians committed about 60k troops for their initial push on Kyiv when we didn't have defense lines in the north and those were their most elite.
Furthermore you have to remember that HIMARS-striking Belarus is being held back only by AFU's wish, US absolutely doesn't mind every Belarus military object being smashed if there's a need, unlike when it comes to Russia.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Obviously it wasn't a training flight, as evidenced by the video (non-stop secondaries) the plane was fully fueled and heavily loaded with bombs. It was clearly flying to the Donetsk area.
At least pilots did perform the given task of bombing civilians successfully.