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poesel

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Posts posted by poesel

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    I doubt that Russia could be anything like North Korea. Main reason being geography.

    North Korea can pull it off because they only have one relatively small border in the south to defend. The other three sides are either ocean or China & Russia.
    Russia's borders are simply too long and connected to too many other countries. A mass exodus could not be stopped. Case in point is the exodus that happened because of this war.

    Ireland, UK or Florida could become like North Korea, but not Russia.

    1

    A daft question ...

    in Combat Mission Shock Force 2

    Posted

    Go ask it to write a press release about a product you know, and be surprised how close this comes to the things you see in the wild.

    Mass text production is now doable and a lot of writers will be out of a job, soon. AI has achieved a mediocre creativity, which is good enough for most things.

    0

    A daft question ...

    in Combat Mission Shock Force 2

    Posted

    I don't have a better idea, so I did what you do these days and asked ChatGPT about it.

    I asked for a Gebirgsjäger motto fighting in the jungle with max. 3 words. This is what came out:

    1. "Grün und Stark"
    2. "Dschungelkrieger"
    3. "Wilde Entschlossenheit"
    4. "Gemeinsam Überleben"
    5. "Schatten im Dickicht"
    6. "Mutig Voran"
    7. "Tarnen und Siegen"
    8. "Freiheit im Grünen"
    9. "Unerbittlich im Dschungel"
    10. "Gebirgsjäger Wildnis"

    I like 8. best ('liberty in the countryside' (lit. 'liberty in green')). :D 
    A bit more serious     would be 6. - 'advance with courage'.

     

    For a laugh, here is the list before I set the 3-word limit. Not going to translate. :)

    1. "Durch Dickicht und Gefahr – Gemeinsam stark!"
    2. "Ungesehen, unerschrocken, unschlagbar!"
    3. "Wildnis bezwingen, Freiheit verteidigen!"
    4. "Tarnung, Tapferkeit, Triumph!"
    5. "Im Dschungel zuhause, für Freiheit bereit!"
    6. "Entschlossenheit im Grün – Sieg im Herzen!"
    7. "Mit Mut und Präzision zum Erfolg!"
    8. "Unser Terrain, unsere Pflicht, unser Sieg!"
    9. "Schattenkämpfer – Unsichtbar, doch mächtig!"
    10. "Im Einklang mit der Natur, unbezwingbar im Kampf!"
    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by poesel
    typo

    Question: how fast could the Russians lay new minefields? To be more precise: could the Russians 'just' built a new minefield behind a UA breakthrough (or suspected breakthrough)?

    Question2: how often can they do that? Is the number of Russian mines one of those infinities?

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    2 hours ago, dan/california said:

    The only reason the Russian Army is still in the field is that they have been conditioned since birth to think life is awful, and will probably get worse.

    Russian proverb: everything is getting better. Today may not be as good as yesterday, but it is better than tomorrow!

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Tux said:

    changes in Russian leadership.

    I very much agree with what you said.

    I'd like to add that I'm missing one piece in effecting that change, and that is an offer from the West for a way back in to the international community for Russia. It may be offensive for some on this forum to talk about that and this point in time, but I'll take the risk.

    Under the assumption that there are some people in Russia who could form a - by western standards and morale - decent government, there is currently no way for them to get there. It would be easier to form such a movement if there was an offer from the West that Russia can come back if it retreats from Ukraine, pays reparations, etc...

    Without such an offer, there is no way out for the people of Russia than to stick with the Tsar. And it would be to the benefit of everyone if there was an alternative.

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, RandomCommenter said:

    But as to whether they could join NATO without recapturing all their territory, if they came out and said (with societal consensus) that they no longer dispute those territories, then, yes, clearly they should be allowed join NATO.

    There is a precedent with a country not being completely in NATO: Germany.
    After the reunification, only the western parts were in NATO while the Soviets were still in the east. Only after they left, the Eastern Germany became part of NATO, too.

    No war at that time, of course. But has been done technically.

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, dan/california said:

    Are there enough usable bits to be worth the effort after is has been in the water for any length of time? The amount of mud in that one looks like it needs to taken apart to pieces parts.

    Even if they had to take it totally apart, it would be a good source of spare parts.

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, DesertFox said:

    Well it is not like the poles are handling Leo2s for the first time. They are servicing them since 2002 within their own structures.

    Poland has the A4s and won't buy any in the future. Ukraine has (also) the A6, so I guess RM wouldn't like to share more trade secrets with Poland than necessary. Same story as with the PzH.

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    8 hours ago, dan/california said:

    I would point out that lobbing the German 155mm version of FASCAM into what the Russians thought were cleared lanes is how the Ukrainians smashed the Russians's many attempts to take Vuelhedar into smoking wreckage.

    I don't think Germany developed its own FASCAM system. The only types I found are of US source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_Anti-Armor_Mine_System and
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Area_denial_artillery_munition.

    Maybe you are mixing it up with this shell: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SMArt_155

    2

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, keas66 said:

    The Chinese are a cowed population

    Yes and no. The Chinese can and will endure a lot of hardships and limitations to their personal freedom. But there is a breaking point and if that is reached the reaction can be quick and violent. That could be watched at the end of the covid restrictions: the Chinese had enough and went on the streets. A mob of angry people - that is the thing the CCP fears most. Thus, the restrictions ended abruptly.

    Another point is that the people expect economic improvements. The path must be up. No steeply but steadily. In this regard, the CCP has not exactly delivered in the last few years.

    The CCP may try to use Taiwan as a scapegoat for the current problems. Problem is the lackluster support from the population. I talked to (few, I have to admit) Chinese and the younger they are, the more disinterested they are in 'solving' Taiwan.

    3

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, Sekai said:

    Poland / Romania won't ignore radioactive clouds creeping into their territories. That's the difference, compared to the dam.

    Don't forget Germany: if there is another radioactive cloud from the East drifting here, the country will go nuts (again, if history repeats itself).

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    An interesting thing we will never know is what would have happened if the West had supported Ukraine with the same stuff in March '22 as it does in July '23. What kind of reaction would Russia have shown.

    Personally, I think the reaction would be the same as it is now - nothing (but talk).

    But: this kind of support would not have gone well in the public for fear of a Russian escalation (except for the Baltics & Poland of course). So even if it had made sense militarily, it was a political non-starter.

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    There is also the ample evidence that Russia is getting shells from outside sources, such as Iran, China, and possibly North Korea.  How they are getting them is cloudy because it isn't clear anybody but Iran is sending them directly to Russia. 

    North Korea & China also have a border with Russia, so there's nothing to be done about stopping it.

    If they cared, they could just repaint the shells and no one would know - except for all those three letter agencies who know it already anyway.

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