poesel
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Posts posted by poesel
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6 hours ago, Letter from Prague said:
I know we talk about drones a lot when we talk about weapons. But one thing has been bugging me.
The West has bet a lot on PGMs. Like instead of biggest booms, or using a lot of weapons, West uses small but precise weapons. But turns out those are trivial to defeat with GPS jamming and end up being rather ineffectual.
So what next? What is being done to fix it? Didn't West lose most of its combat power when most weapons are possibly useless against peer enemy who will definitely have EW?
GPS is only one possibility in the 'P' of PGM. Since image recognition has developed in leaps and bounds recently, there is no reason why munitions shouldn't be able to fly by looking out the windows and comparing it with a map. They actually do this already but AFAIK by radar and height data.
5 hours ago, The_Capt said:Now let’s not suddenly forget the real reason why China has risen to power…western greed.
That is not wrong but do not forget that China currently just moves back into the slot they took over from the Romans and lost to Britain in the 18th century: the leading industrial nation of the world.
The main difference to then is that the US didn't exist at that time.
5 hours ago, Carolus said:The article was edited to remove that quotation.
I hope it's true and this was simply done to create plausible deniability for the UK government. But it could also just be a hasty comment by Cameron or an overly eager journalist who misheard.
It could also just be to enhance the uncertainty for Russia. Storm Shadow covers a lot of Russian soil measured from Ukraine.
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Georgia now looks like Ukraine 2013...
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8 hours ago, Kraft said:
Even putting losses into the equation is not really happening.
...
I guess a problem for reporting losses by respectable media outlets is that you can't really verify the numbers. Both sides lie, and they would be nuts if they didn't. So there are basically only rumors to report, and it's IMHO better that they don't.
Another problem is sources. If the news channels don't have their own teams, they have to use 'official' material. Again, that will be propaganda from both sides, some side more than the other (ahem).
We are used to watching Twitter videos. But those are all 'unverified' and you can understand them only in context. Another thing that makes them unusable for mass media.
This war is a difficult topic. Even though this is the one war since WWII where it's clearest which side are the baddies.
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1 hour ago, Yet said:
so why does the West media count the war by square km territory (initiated by Zelensky, EU and Washington).
Because it is an easy-to-understand metric that is good to measure and visualize.
Single value metrics for complex systems usually suck. Better metrics are hard to understand unless you know what's going on. Since the public does not, its km^2.
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2 hours ago, Maciej Zwolinski said:
That itself is an understatement. To be fair though, it is hard to overstate the directness of the message expressed in the English football chants such as "Adam Johnson's paedophile", "Does she take it up the arse" or "Your just a fat granny shagger".
Well, scientific proof that BFCs potty mouth filters are no match for English football songs.
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4 hours ago, The_MonkeyKing said:
It just me or isn't it extremely disrespectful to Ukrainians that everything goes directly to the press from the Pentagon
The Russians already knew that ATACMS could attack the bridge and since the bridge is officially still on Ukraine's territory they didn't need a green light from anyone. Ukraine could always attack its own territory with western weapons.
So explicitly stating the fact only does, as the_capt would say, enlarge the uncertainty space for Russia.
Btw, are those arches only decorative or are they a structural necessity for the bridge? I would imagine they are easier to hit than a pillar and easier to damage. Even something like napalm may weaken the strength of the steel enough.
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If I add 'Ukraine has long range weapons' and 'don't hit oil before the election' together, I would like to put some money on spiking oil prices on November 6th. No matter how the vote goes, this is the day the Russian oil industry will go down the drain. IMHO...
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10 minutes ago, dan/california said:
The EU needs to have this little conversation about whether it is a country or a trade confederation.
This conversation is ongoing for more than 60 years. The trend is 'country' but that is a loooooooong way off and far from a certainty to ever happen.
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27 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
I would very much like for the Ukrainian strategic strike campaigns to stop being “symbolic” and
You got me a bit wrong here. The Kerch Bridge is symbolic for the Russians. Any damage to it is highly visible and forces Russia to use assets to deny that to Ukraine. Its a long bridge that can be attacked by air, land & sea. That means a lot of Russian stuff has to be deployed there and not on the front.
That is a non-symbolic win for Ukraine. It is only necessary that the Russians believe Ukraine could attack it.
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It is necessary for Ukraine to attack Kerch Bridge once in a while, so Russia cannot stop wasting resources to protect it. Its high symbolic value forces Russia's hand, no matter what the actual military value is.
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About the influence of Russia & China into German politics: both the number 1 & 2 for the upcoming vote for the EU parliament of our local fascist party AfD are under the suspicion of taking Russian money. Additionally, the head of the office of #1 has been detained for being a Chinese spy.
And people still vote for them: they get about 15-30% (depending on state). If we had only two parties, I guess the political landscape wouldn't be much different than in the US. -
Found this in the thread of the GOBLN:
Ukraine has developed a drone mine-detector called “Brave 1”. It can survey 3000 m2 on a 30 minute charge. The drone scans the surface and creates a map of metal containing objects using GPS tags. It grades the size of each detection and attaches photos or video of the ground.
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Does drone supremacy (tm) solve the minefield problem? Or in other words: if you absolutely swamp one sector in drones and suppress every movement in a 10km(?) radius - is that enough to make breaching a minefield a possibility (under the assumption that you have half decent AA, too)?
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4 hours ago, The_Capt said:
Going to really have to play it smart with this package as it may be the last one Ukraine gets.
Should Trump win, couldn't (and wouldn't) Biden just value old weapon stocks at one cent per piece and have it ship to Ukraine out of his own purse? Not exactly very gentlemanlike for an outgoing president but in this case...
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6 hours ago, LongLeftFlank said:
Then they came for der Mittelstand....
I keep posting energy tech stuff because the modular/miniature/precision armaments revolution is absolutely experiencing the exact same dynamics, just not so well documented (yet).
The West will innovate, but the Chinese will beat us to mass market, every time. With quality more than adequate for purpose. As innovative firms and their ecosystems starve and die, so too will innovation.
Solar panels are now used as fences in Germany because they are more affordable than the usual fencing.
The market standard for solar panels is now moving to Tunnel Oxide Passivated Contact (#TOPCon) technology, which improves solar cell architecture to reduce efficiency losses.
The technology was developed by Germany's Fraunhofer Institute in 2013, but large-scale manufacturing takes place mostly in China.
"European manufacturers have no money to change to the new technology. So now there is no competitive advantage anymore and they have to sell old technology."
Not to dispute the general direction of this post, but I have to set some things right:
- no one is using solar panels instead of fences in Germany. But some people have installed solar panel as(!) fences. That did occur, but is very rare
- Germany has willingly killed her own solar industry herself about 10 years ago. Mostly by ****ing up subventions which went to China instead of European manufacturers. Germany basically paid for the creation of the solar industry in China, and we lost 5-figure jobs here. Thanks to the ignorance on the side of the Merkel government which believed that solar (and wind) had no futureNow China owns the market and the US is paying immense subventions for solar factories so that companies relocate there. Currently, it is pointless for Germany (and Europe in general) to push money in that direction because that would only end in an economic fight with the US & China.
OTOH if China would embargo solar panels that would be annoying but would mostly hurt China itself. The biggest market is the West.
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Russian milblogger Romanov confirms that the AFU expanded the bridgehead in Krynky 500 meter to the west. While this information is not that new, Romanov reveals Russians just left this position without a fight. He also claims Russians made a small advance in the center of Krynky.
So Krynky still exists, and the Russians have voluntarily retreated (a bit). Did they finally understand the futility of their actions, or is there another reason?
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1 hour ago, Butschi said:
We are often lamenting the pendulum swinging this way these days. On the other hand, not long ago a woman had to be given permission by her husband to take a job, had to have sex with him whenever he felt like it and could be beaten by him - legally. (In Germany, don't know about other countries)
Just to set the record straight: 'not long ago' is about 60 years (depending on which law you mean).
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1 hour ago, Haiduk said:
Even wrong clock shows a right time twice for a day. As for me "western values" is that, what was in gold 70-90th. Not this sh...t, like a hate of J.Rowling because she dare to use a word "women" instead "menstruating persons". I don't want to live in such idiotic society
Real life is very different from what you read in social media. Those things you mentioned do exist, but they are few and far between. It is blown out of proportion by the media. Take it with a grain of salt and don't fall for the propaganda. Live in general changes very little and very slow.
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12 hours ago, JonS said:
Could be useful for the last 10-20 metres, to cope with rapid final jinxing?
I guess the economics for supplying and carrying an extra sensor package just for the last 20m are not there. Especially since radar works in that range, too.
Ultrasonic is only good if you need to detect stuff that radar doesn't bounce off - like a fly. So unless drones become THAT stealthy, sound is off the table.
Wrt to swarm communications: the swarm could communicate in ways that are designed to be low range. Like weak IR for example. No physical chance to pick that up from distance.
With mesh networks, the swarm can also be quite large if its density is high enough to relay the communication.All doable - only question is when we will see it.
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2 hours ago, Sojourner said:
Echolocation? Bats use it to track small, fast moving objects.
Granted, not something we're likely to see soon, but possibly something worth looking into.
Not enough precision at range. Also, comparatively slow (speed of sound vs speed of light) against anything electromagnetic.
I put my money on radar for counter drone. IIRC the Serbs managed to detect F-117s by analyzing bounced mobile signals in the 90s. Now, drone are slightly smaller than F-117s, but then this is 30 years ago and signal processing has made huge leaps.
I wouldn't be surprised if we would see automatic counter drones this year. The pressure to have them is high as never, and the technology is there (in principle).
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4 hours ago, dan/california said:
The artillery deployed sub munitions in the very effective German smart round were developed in 1989. They deploy a parachute and float over an unlucky target, or not. Electronics and and and everything else have improved in the last thirty years, just a bit. There is ZERO reason except some development time and money that a new version of this couldn't deploy the exact same submunition with pop out glider wings instead of a parachute. So now instead of sweeping a a strip a few tens of meters wide at the mercy of the wind, it systematically searches a square kilometer for the highest value target.
The French have a version of it ('Bonus') that uses wings instead of a parachute. But the motion is the same: the ammunition is doing a spiral motion to scan for targets. The area covered is a circle with around 150m radius (that's about 70.000 m^2 or 760.000 ft^2 so slightly more than 'a few tens of meters').
The spiraling motion points it towards many points in that area, and that covers scanning and aiming in one go. Trying to replace that with something that can fly, fit inside a 155mm tube and survive the delivery was hard in '89 and still is today. Even if it were feasible I doubt it would be economical.
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6 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
This Frankenstain was destroyed by the drone of 60th mech.brigade with additional homing (meant "machine eye"?). Two more tanks were hit by FPVs of 63rd mech.brigade.
I guess this is the AI part: an optical system that can track the tank with a camera. Probably the operator needs to point out the target once and then it is autonomous. No amount of EW can defeat that (unless you can fry the drone with microwaves).
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1 hour ago, dan/california said:
This sounds more like the pre GPS cruise missile guidance systems than true AI. Although there could be another layer to the software obviously. Either way it is fantastic they can't be diverted by GPS jamming.
Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
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23 hours ago, Kraft said:
Range several hundred kilometers.
Please note the high quality tail fin art.
Wow, this is really cheap - in a good way. They didn't even bother to sink the servos into the hull. I guess aerodynamics are not that important here.
I'm a bit surprised they went for wooden ribs instead of going full foam. Since the ribs are all the same (usually they are not) they are easy to mass produce. But you still need to assemble all these parts.
Well, they will know why. Do we know anything about how this thing is controlled?
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
Ukraine would piss off the rest of Europe in a mayor way if it bought from China instead of Europe after the war. That would throw a real big spanner in any EU ascension plans.