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dan/california

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Everything posted by dan/california

  1. Read the whole thread. It is still fantastic that ATACMS is there and every Russian airfield in range will have to act like it.
  2. Wow, ATACMS work just like we always said they would. I guess I should be happy they are finally there, and EDIT: NOT, bitter that they are fifteen months late.
  3. Also, If I lived within 500meters of this guy, or God forbid in the same building. I would relocate by any means necessary. I don't think he is a safe person to be round ,now, or ever again. The risk of anything from his cell phone exploding to a skyscraper falling on him seem rather high.
  4. This is Hamas' fundamental miscalculation, in their own words. Israeli troops have a history of being very casualty averse, because dead soldiers were very bad for the government politically. I think it is quite likely that the initial atrocities that Hamas committed have changed this calculus completely . If and when the ground invasion happens, and there seems to some tiny shred of possibility that Blinken gets some Arab country to take responsibility for the Gaza strip before Israel decides it is ready or some similar diplomatic miracle, the Israeli army's orders are going to be to do this as fast as is militarily possible. Getting back to Hamas' fundamental miscalculation, after decades of terrorism and police actions, they have started a shooting war. That is a very different thing. Russias first few months in Ukraine are a case study in assuming you are doing one thing, while simultaneously convincing the people that you are fighting it is the other.
  5. If Israeli tanks come off badly, the tank is dead dirge is going to get going like it means it. It does sound like they are studying Russias mistakes closely.
  6. Hopefully they have waited to long to have this revelation, and it is about to really cost them.
  7. Once the battery gets really low, any target is better than no target, well except for the target. If they are sending more of them up, it would inevitably lead to more of these videos. It may also be factor that someone noticed they get traffic on Russian Telegram channels. Can't think a better way to discourage volunteering than "Go to Ukraine, become a chew toy for an evil robot, die tired."
  8. He died tired. Given the complete absence of other people in the shot could he possibly have surrendered? I am not an any way saying he tried, just curious if was even an option?
  9. The IDF General Staff seem to be aware they cannot afford another blunder.
  10. There is piece of the video that shows a drone dropping a grenade. The operator has been at it long enough that he effortlessly leads a walking Russian perfectly. I don't think you get that right on your first try.
  11. This is unfortunately true, but read the Atlantic article above if you think there is anyway to start except ripping Hamas out root and branch.
  12. But regardless of the details of Hamas atrocities, what they did would be sufficient to start a full scale war at literally any point in human, between any two countries/tribes/entities you care to name. There is nothing to be done now except hammer them so hard most of the other crazies remember the lesson for the best part of a century. That seems to be as long as humaanity is capable of remembering anything.
  13. Somebody should ask him about the Taiwanese Peoples long shelved right to statehood. My bet is that steam comes out his ears.
  14. First reported a couple of days ago. No phos/video i know of though.
  15. Many thanks for checking in. This week we will take any hint of good news we can get.
  16. I have read several contradictory things about what launches these. Some sources say they can be fired from Himars/M270, and some sources say the launch from their own shipping container launch system. Separate question, would the SDBs this thing is launching be able to use any seeker heads beside GPS? If they have some ability to strike moving targets that could be really useful for hitting trains, among other things.
  17. Apparently sticking things in the meat grinder hurts so badly they have decided to stop.
  18. Beleg, I am seeing hints of good news about the Polish Election. Is it hopium? Do we actually know anything yet?
  19. When they tell you who they are, believe them
  20. This may, and I emphasize may, be video of the laser working. It doesn't look like anything else I have seen. If it really works they can't be built fast enough, for both Ukraine and Israel.
  21. I disagree with that statement. The total civilian casualties caused by the Israelis since 1948 don't hold the tiniest candle to the number of their own people Killed by the Assad Government, Saddam Hussein, or great many others. Edit: It is certainly a crap neighborhood though...
  22. There was a presumption of peace, it will presumably be ANOTHER fifty years before this lesson fades.
  23. Russia has a lot of artillery, they don'y have an infinity of it. That little difference may yet matter.
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