panzermartin
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Posts posted by panzermartin
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Apparently Greece has been asked to provide all, or part of their older Leo2A4 s fleet ~170 tanks I think. But these are older with no sophisticated defenses. Turkish ones suffered much in Afrin from Russian made ATGMs.
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It's rather strange that Russians having invested and held so long in Kherson area, decided to leave now just before winter frozing the front lines.
But this could signal entering a new phase in their campaign. Intensifying the long range terror strikes against UKR infrastructure, during harsh winter, while pausing operationaly and holding just the bare necessary, guarding the access to the South and Crimea (they will comfortably hold on the left bank in Kherson for infinite time I think ) and fortifying whatever the gained in eastern Ukraine.
Seems they are only hoping for negotiations at this point.
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Star wars over Kiev
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Last night I dreamt that Putin was assassinated and in the next hour nuclear bombs started to fall all over Europe and I could see the distant flashes in a stormy beach and we were rushing for cover in buildings. And while dreaming, I thought I wanted to post on this forum that someone who argued that we have not that much to fear because of bad russian maintenance of WMD, was deadly wrong.
I need to stop reading this forum everyday and stop drinking beers late at night
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I can't fully trust random pro russian accounts but they claim that so far artillery with krasnopol and UAVs are dealing blows to a new Ukrainian blitz today in Kherson. (Footage looks from 19th)
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The ghosts of Zaporizhzhia.
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44 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
Russians can't hit what they can't find. Even if they could, they had difficulty hitting a power station. A power station is a tad bit bigger than a HIMARS
Drones have the same limitations as all other forms of ISR in that they can only find what they can see and they can't see everywhere all the time. Even if they did spot something, HIMARS doesn't stick around and unless you have a loitering munition drone with a munition that tracks moving targets, fat load of good it will do to spot a HIMARS. Best Russia can hope for is being able to track it back to a hiding place and hit the hiding place. Given how far behind the lines HIMARS operate, that's not likely to happen.
Correct. Russian MoD has even stopped lying about hitting HIMARS. No point because they keep getting hit by them, so lying about destroying them doesn't seem to be worth while.
Steve
Yes it's true that they are very hard to track and obviously UA are taking extreme measures to ensure their most valuable assets is protected both by AD and by moving all the time away from the lines.
Russians do have some more accurate tracking drones I think, like lancet but still I think saheds are used in a rather dumb way, hitting big static targets and terrorizing civilians, while they could do more damage targeting military units. They still have an impressive range of over 2000kms. They could have been used to slow down the Kharkiv offensive, attack artillery etc but their presence there was minimal if I'm not mistaken.
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What I dont really get is why Russia, facing the major threat of himars and other artillery pieces, didnt conduct a massive drone campaign against these. They did fire more at night and RU ISR is lacking but still I would at least try with a swarm of Shaheds and a surv drone towards suspected areas. I think Ukraine hasnt lost a single HiMARS so far...
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Is there a way for Ukraine to counter this? What if Russia goes all the way and the whole country is left with no electricity, no internet, transportation etc
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I get some harkonen vibes from the new Russian commander
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What are they hitting with the small kamikaze drones in downtown Kiev? From the start of this war the russian raids seemed to be random and lacked focus.
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1 minute ago, IanL said:
Sorry who is that? Am I supposed know?
Former chief commander of DPR https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Igor_Girkin
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https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/13/politics/elon-musk-spacex-starlink-ukraine/index.html
Musk seems put starlink on free trial and now it expires, someone will need to pay. It's too good to let go though, so I think eventually his terms will be accepted.
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1 hour ago, Taranis said:
On Spy/Intelligence front :
Russian arrested in Norway in possession of drones and 4 terabytes of photos and videos
From le Monde
Personally, 3 years for spying, I don't think that's a lot...
No worries it's Norway, where hitman killer Breivik lives in luxurious prison. Probably better than a russian block apartment.
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https://www.ft.com/content/9a7b922b-2435-4ac7-acdb-0ec9a6dc8397
Did the UA outpace starlink in newly liberated regions, or the russian lasers are doing actual work
(Or Musk is setting the limits in accordance to his Twitter polls)
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2 hours ago, Sandokan said:
Guys, your opinion about scenes like this. Is the programme "I want to live" really working?
That almost reminded me of Spielberg's SPR halftrack ambush scene,when they meet Ryan for the first time. Nice colors and all seems too orchestrated but I'd agree it could reflect other real life incidents. Maybe it's almost a staged demonstration to encourage more Russians to follow this route.
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8 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
After the collapse of Russia in 1917, the USSR was a pitiful sight. And look what he became by the 1940s.
The USSR became what it became because Hitler waged a total war of annihilation on them. A lazy, incompetent and backwards military that couldn't find its way in the Lapland forests and was humiliated, was forcibly transformed to a fearful giant army to cope with an existential threat. It remains to be seen if Russia will transform under this new threat or they will collapse. I see no signs of the first to be honest...
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19 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
In my opinion, the United States is striving to prevent the expansion of the war further into Europe, beyond the borders of Ukraine
There is no evidence of Russia ability to threaten conventionally the rest of Europe. It's crystal clear that they lacked the will and readiness to wage a war of a larger scale and had only hoped for a quick collapse. Now their impotency is right in front our eyes. No doubt it's also thanks to tenacious fight of the Ukrainians. But what army that wants to conquer the world is drunk, deserter, and abandons brand new equipment in the woods? That's not the way Wehrmacht conquered Europe.
Will mobilization change this? I doubt.
Yes there is the nuclear threat remaining but that takes two to tango and if the West does not want to dance, it won't happen. Some here want to but thankfully they are in the minority.
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5 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
Ok, let's say Ukraine is not a party to the conflict (at least that's what Russian propaganda tells us). What do you think is the benefit for the United States from this war? What will the US get from winning?
To borrow Kraze's phrasing early in this thread, empires either expand or crumble. There is so much to win in Ukraine war for US.
Your main adversary since the end of WW2 will be kaput.
If you achieve this with no nuclear holocaust, a deadly threat of almost a century will cease to exist and rival you.
West for the first time will have the chance to securely expand so deep towards East.
Black Sea no longer primarily a Russian lake.
Containment of China becoming more possible.
A blow to Europe's economical and political strength and thus autonomy.
US returning to the continent and reestablishing itself as the dominant player, like in post WW2.
Gaining the upper hand in the energy game.
Troublemakers Syria, Iran will probably suucumb after Russia's collapse.
Turkey back in NATO yard.
Honestly, the gains are too many to count... And all this without loss of US personnel.
In your opinion why US is that much involved in Ukraine ?
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12 minutes ago, Zeleban said:
Ok, as far as I understand, the first empire that participates in this war is Russia, then who is the second empire in your opinion? Ukraine?
Well primarily the one orchestrating the UA operations and funding with billions of aid, US. UK and the rest european countries follow.
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11 minutes ago, kraze said:
in Russia people "walked out of the window" for much less in the past 7 months. Why is Navalny still fine?
Wasn't he hospitalized with life threatening poisoning in Germany? Why should Russia go that far in his "acting".
We have to keep in mind Russia is like all the other countries. It has national interests. No Russian politician, nationalist or leftist Marxist is going to just give back Crimea, a russian populated area of huge strategic and symbolic value. They are going to fight for it untill the end (of Russia as we know it) . They have been colliding with the West, Ottomans etc over Crimea for centuries. Behind the ethics wrapping, it's just another imperialistic war of the great powers. In retrospect its not that much different than 1850 (except nuclear)
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From a strategic point of view, could they probably still hope to achieve cutting off Ukraine from the sea. And making black sea a safe Russian lake. That would be a major victory for Russians, one that could even signal end of offensive, even if not much more else is taken. The republics joining Russia, a secured Crimea and taking all the south coast sounds like a great deal. For this they will need to advance to Mikolayev and Odessa and Kherson is vital. I presume this was very high on their list at least before invasion. Now it seems not very realistic but who knows. Donbas is more of political value than Kherson Imo.
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And about the treatment of Germany and Japan post WW2. Marshall was the way to go and the smart choice fortunately . But It wasn't that much out of kindness towards the people of those ruined countries but mostly they should be viable enough as assets for the containment of USSR and communism. A potato economy driven Germany wouldn't be that of an obstacle for the reds, Morgenthau was really short sighted in that aspect too. In the same way US must be logically thinking a functioning, western leaning Russia could prove valuable for containing China one day. Those who call for taking Russia back to the stone age aren't reading the future well.
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I find it funny that many high profile Germans were enlisted in the CIA post WW2 or even took NASA to the moon with the rockets that were killing kids in London but here some people call for collective punishment of Russia because it invaded Ukraine. Talking about bias.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
I don't get the LEO2 German bashing. They have almost a smaller army than my country, the excuses from the US side about M1s being expensive and tough to maintain is equally bs.