LongLeftFlank
-
Posts
5,374 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
15
Posts posted by LongLeftFlank
-
-
Interesting comments here, though source essay is in Russian. Echoes Galeev's views, though somewhat less 'academic':
Rest of the summary thread...
All the hyper repressions rolled out since Feb. 2022 have actually primed Russians for a national project more aligned with Prigozhin's extreme militarism than Putin's mix, which still finds room for the old elites and market economics.
The breaking point for Prigozhin was Putin's orders on June 13 to dissolve Wagner Group into the army by subordinating volunteer units to the Defense Ministry.
Baunov describes Prigozhin's evolving role as Kremlin outsourced 'dirty worker', to invasion figure, to public figure scoring political successes. An erstwhile goal to become Putin's heir led him to target Shoigu, who then enjoyed that spot.
Baunov says that Prigozhin's goal after starting the armed insurrection became to win emergency powers from Putin without formally removing him from office: to replace him, not merely displace him (Putin is too sacred actually to remove.
Tis a story as old as time: hardened, emboldened men returned home from the front to find what they feel is an ungrateful nation.
Baunov says Prigozhin's long interview on the eve of the insurrection, where he trashed the invasion's planning and rationale, was actually an offer to Putin to "march" with him and pin it all on Shoigu and other elites. Putin didn't take the deal.
What happens now w Russia's War Party is unclear. Prigozhin decided to convert his battlefield credibility into political clout w/o waiting for the war to end, knowing how the Kremlin likes to bump off its wartime assets once they're no longer needed. Monopoly on violence, RIP.
The punchline for Galeev's latest thread here, for those interested....
Heavy hangs the head that wears the crown...
-
11 minutes ago, cesmonkey said:
Yeah, Western Putinoids are already spinning this as a nefarious plot by the "Five Eyes". How else can they possibly make sense of it?
****
"Hey, ya forgot to turn off the World!"*
-
Rostov is very multiethnic, based on the crowd shots. I guess folks from the Caucasus and 'Stans', but also some Middle Eastern migrants, by the look of them. Lots of young guys too, unconscripted and seemingly unconcerned.
-
-
5 minutes ago, billbindc said:
Wagner will be in Moscow today:
-
12 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
So yeah, about blocakdes...
-
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1672583669226110977?cxt=HHwWgoC81Yj_mrYuAAAA
So I'm wondering how quickly UA could mount a left hook above Kupiansk and unhinge the Russian armies from Svatove down to Rubizhne, liberating another large chunk of northern Luhansk.
You've got to imagine the 76th VDV paras fighting in the forests around Kreminna will withdraw, either to fight Prig or to join him. So where does that leave the rest, all but cut off from their LOCs?
-
39 minutes ago, Grigb said:
Bridges most likely are not prepared to be blown at all.
Moscow is too big o be encircled by Wagnerites even with any army units. On other hand it is too big to be fully protected by official forces as well.
There have to be alternative crossing known to locals. They are most likely undefended.
But if they simply get to Tula, or already have a foothold there, as one of your earlier posts rumoured....
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/106th_Guards_Airborne_Division
Galeev is one of those dismissive of Prig's chances of taking power, but his thread on Wagner is still interesting.
The Wagnerites have deep ties to the elite RA formations that have been the worst battered in this war.
Galeev: Observers describe Wagner as a mercenary army. But the truth is: all of the Russian army is a mercenary army.
"By the third winter, the boots wore out"
-
4 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Voronezh. Looks like to be new meme photo )
-
49 minutes ago, buena said:
remember the maxim: don't interrupt the enemy when it's making a mistake
-
1 hour ago, The_Capt said:
Ok, well it is the weekend so good time to watch the things unfold. I suspect if Putin cannot contain this by Sun, we could be in a new ballgame.
When, when will it be, this Collapse of which you have spoken?
(Did you bring the picnic basket?)
-
23 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Good luck to both sides. Alas, I don't like popcorn %)
Brod got ya covered...
-
OK, 'Russian fatalism' just jumped the freeking shark....
(wtf? it's 'Comfortably Numb' in Russian, no lyrics, no video)
-
17 minutes ago, kraze said:
We knew you were inplacable and unforgiving, but Phil Collins is sheer barbarism, beyond the Pale and contrary to all the customary usages of war!
...I mean, if you *must* associate Genesis band members with Wagner PMC....
-
7 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
Just getting caught up. How sure are we that Wagner is in Voronezh? Or is this just rumour? If Wagner somehow can take Voronezh they will basically own the LOCs for the RA in the entire Ukrainian theatre.
Beyond that, I would start looking for indicators of power brokers in the backfield. Talking heads gonna talk but real players are the ones in the background. And the there are those that are just waiting in the tall grass.
In chess I would definitely call this entire move “check”, still not sure if Prig can do “checkmate”. But as we have said, things go slow…until they go fast.
Well the Mosculs definitely bombed the oil depot at the Voronezh airport. And they seem to be organising a defence line at the Oka river.
Beyond that, situation not entirely clear.
-
3 hours ago, kraze said:
Will they start killing each other already ffs
There ya go.
-
What's Russian for 'schadenfreude'? Also, a lot of military aged civvies in that clip. Press 'em, Prigo....
Oops, and the Rostovytsi may have a point....
-
-
Is it just me, or do the recent video clips and still photos of Budanov look somewhat altered? @Kinophile, as someone in the business do you have a thought on what might be going on here?
I know RUsimps are trying to push the line that he and Zaluzhny were killed or injured in (separate) missile strikes and are being deepfaked to cover it up. But something just looks... off. And it isn't just this one video.
-
Alperovitch reads similarly, many thanks.
-
6 minutes ago, Grigb said:
RU Mil reporter
Along the M-4 "Don" highway, not the entire highway is blocked, as some channels are claim. The section from 464 to 777 km is closed. [image]
-
Welp, one fewer for the AFU to worry about for a bit.
Get to da choppa!
If this nice friendliness would spread around Mordor....
Oh, wait.
-
So... 3 day Special Military Operation?
I mean, lightning coups de main are what the VDV paras and Spetsnaz train for. And the vast bulk of the Wagner command cadre are... from what speciality again?
-
Just now, Grigb said:
Could be both but ussualy it is the city.
OK, so if so, that's another major Russian logistical hub in Wagner hands.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by LongLeftFlank
Ah yes, the guy with the SS rune tattoos. Fighting the ukronazis...
Assuming he joins Prig in exile, he should be right at home in 'White Russia'.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaminski_Brigade