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Pete Wenman

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Posts posted by Pete Wenman

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

     

    Within an article confirming Spartan APC's being handed over to the 127th Brigade - a territorial unit

    Quote

    Today, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine made a decision on the formation of mechanized units in the Territorial Defense Forces.

    " This means that we have one tank platoon per battalion and one mechanized company per battalion. For each battalion ," said the commander of the Territorial Defense Forces of Ukraine Ihor Tansyura.

     

    https://mil.in.ua/uk/news/harkivsku-tro-ozbroyily-bronemashynamy-spartan/

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Tom Cooper summarising events - not sure too many here will disagree with the premise.

    Bottom line: the ‘biiiiig’ Russian offensive appears to be petering out amid massive casualties and at least two big failures. Yes, this conclusion might be premature (and yes: even I’m surprised for coming to the idea to write this)....

    Unless much more details become available, I guess the reasons are what I’ve explained again and again:

    a) the VSRF cannot support one ‘biiiiiiiiiig’ operation in a single sector, thus was forced to distribute less troops on three ‘primary’ sectors, and these proved insufficient to overcome the combination of Ukrainian fire-power and will;

    b) because of incompatibility with the winter weather, it’s Orlan-10 UAVs are not working, and thus the Russian generals are ‘commanding blind’ (they do not know where are what of Ukrainian positions), while their artillery lacks the effectiveness necessary to breach Ukrainian frontlines and enable a serious advance;

    c) the mass of mobiks is simply not trained well-enough to conduct offensive operations (especially no mechanised operations); and

    d) the VSRF is lacking officers to organise, train, and lead 100,000, 150,000, 200,000 (or more) of mobiks into combat.

    Atop of this, due to the lack of UAVs and other modern means of reconnaissance, and bad weather, even the GRU and FSB are experiencing growing problems with collecting intelligence. Between others, it turned out they’ve requested their moles in the German BND to obtain intel on activity of Ukrainian M142 and M270-units…

    Finally, by now it’s obvious that even Gerasimov and his aides found no solution for the general degeneration of the VSRF — for which there is nobody else but Putin and the Keystone Cops in Moscow (foremost including Shoygu and Gerasimov) to blame.

    https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-18-february-2023-dc29786a91df

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Interesting article from Tom Cooper, who seems to be making sense again, suggesting that the "big" Russian offensive is underway, just not as perhaps expected.

    and worth flagging for this quote if nothing else

    Quote

    Foremost: nowadays it’s not Putin who’s micromanaging this ‘game’ with help of his idiotic orders, but Gerasimov. He might be so deeply corrupt that the bosses of Mexican drug cartels are blushing in jealousy whenever his name is mentioned, and he might do well with some cosmetic surgery, but: he’s a smart strategist and working as hard as an ugly stripper.

     

    https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-3-february-2023-56183abaab20

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    @Haiduk - can you add anything to this

    "Seems the 241st Brigade has recovered Blahodatne, yesterday. 
    If so, that would've been the first major - and the first clearly successful - Ukrainian counterattack in the Bakhmut area. And as such: right on time, then after some 6-7 months of endless Russian attacks resulting in advances, no matter how minor, the situation was beginning to get worrisome."

     

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Pete Wenman

    Interesting update from Tom Cooper at a tactical level, (he has also just done one at operational level as well)

    https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-31-january-2022-tactical-level-1d78150d44cf

    Suggests that Ukraine are in the ascendancy across the board at the tactical level.

     

    edit to add the Operational level article

    https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-1-february-2023-operational-level-e87baf595f45 

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Pete Wenman

    Some thoughts from Tom Cooper - posted at 19.45 last night so already over 12 hours out of date. My bold 
     

    Quote

    BTW, seems, Ukrainians have withdrawn from the centre of Soledar all the way back to the Mine No. 4.

    In turn, a major counterattack from three sides has smashed whatever Russians were in Krasna Hora. With this, the M03 was re-opened. T0513 is still under a threat because of the Russian presence about 1,000m east of Blahodatne. The situation in Pidhorodne remains unclear.

    'Reason': there's a general re-organisation of the ZSU in the Bakhmut area. Too many 'parts of units' from too many different brigades became involved. Several of disparate battalions have been withdrawn and replaced by additional battalions from brigades that are already there. That said, this process is likely to be complete only in about 2-3 days: that's as much as I'm giving the Russians for any additional advances.

    Finally, the Keystone Cops - who are still ignoring the general assault on Bakhmut and Soledar in their daily briefings (guess, another conspiracy, eh Tupolev?) - have claimed three Ukrainian Su-25s as shot down today. All by VKS interceptors: one near Yasenevoye, another in the Pushkino area, and ne in the Maksimilyanovka.

    and his update from this morning can be found here

    https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x/ukraine-war-11-january-2023-soledar-cf0cf0e6d5b7

    Quote

    Another rather short update, entirely focusing on the Soledar-Bakhmut area.

    For the start: the crisis is far from over, but I think it’s high point is over

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    QB Map "A December Morning"

    in Combat Mission Final Blitzkrieg

    Posted

    6 hours ago, Albert DuBalay said:

    @Pete Wenman yes thanks for these maps. I know it is an old post but still stands in 2022 (near 2023).

    I had the curiosity to check those 1944 maps on Google Map and Google Earth 2022…
     

    It  is amazing it looks very familiar. Some news houses here and there in 2022 but overall much of the same including the rail bridge. Real nice and cool to look at the 3D views of a same scenery in Google Earth and in CMFB on two side-by-side screens 😃

    Great !

    Thanks, it was an interesting map to build, but I do love the end result 
     

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    Need some help with map making

    in CM Red Thunder Maps and Mods

    Posted · Edited by Pete Wenman

    You need to scale the overlay so that it matches the editor. The overlay image therefore needs to be a known size. Easiest way is to use grid square on maps, or the ruler on GE. If the overlay image covers an area 4k x 2k, that is then the size of map that needs to be created in the editor. 

    If using an aerial photo then you will need to scale that correctly. This can be done by measuring the distance between two (or more) visible points on the photo and then measuring that distance on map. This will then let you scale the map. Otherwise you can overlay the photo over a map image and tweak the layers until they match. You can then take the scale from the map and it will also apply to the photo.

    Note the layers used here -

    grid, the purple squares being 1k x 1k, 

    layer1 the GE image (erased in part to show the layer below)

    layer0 the map image

    image.thumb.png.e2c8cc7094ad2f94e7bfb95667470b3d.png

     

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