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Posts posted by chris talpas
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2 hours ago, akd said:
A bit better resolution:
Wondering if the Neptune missiles might have set off some of the SS-N-12 Sandbox missiles? Always seemed like a risky weapon design from a damage resistance perspective.
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2 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
This video is hilarious, but if you can't understand Scottish accents you are going to struggle with it!
Thanks for sharing that Steve!
I'm in tears listening to it. The Scottish accent adds so much!
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24 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
I think I am going to take an MS Flight Simulator spin over the area, maybe take some screenshots.
It really is an amazing piece of software. Fun to explore the world and as you indicated it gives a very realistic depiction of the earth. Seeing the terrain really helps in understanding how the battlefield will be impacted by it.
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4 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Yes, actually this was lucky shot, caused detonation + storm. In other conditions two Neptunes too few to sunk such class ship
I find chance often favours the bold and righteous! My thanks to you @Haiduk for all that you have done to shed light on this barbaric and senseless attack by Russia. The skill and valour of the Ukrainian people are an inspiration to us all.
This could be a Midway moment where the Russian fleet is essentially neutralized as a threat to land based forces and thus shifts the initiative. I think Ukraine has taken a decisive first step in essentially breaking up Russia's sea denial/control strategy. And to do it in a way that is especially cheeky and symbolic -sinking Moscow and releasing a commemorative stamp that features a Ukranian solder giving the bird to the Moskva prior to the attack.
A further consideration is that Russia is unable to redeploy additional vessels into the Black Sea due to closure of the Dardanels to warships by Turkey.
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If the stories behind the tactics of using the drone to distract and fixate the most capable (but with significant blindspot) radar system are true, then that shows a supreme inside understanding of enemy unit technical weaknesses. I am reminded of the scene in The Hunt for Red October, where Ryan and Mancuso are aboard the Red October and Ramius is directing Ryan to steer into the oncoming torpedo with Mancuso urging Ryan not to do it. When the torpedo harmlessly impacts -Mancuso praises Ramius' insider knowledge using standard tactics against them -doing the unexpected. I think a lot of planning went into this attack. I also think it no coincidence that the commerative stamp was released shortly before this attack.
The creative choice of using a sacraficial drone to district and the choice of timing in rough seas which helped hide the sea skimmers shows real imagination and audacity [again common theme with the Ukrainians!].
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Someone had mentioned earlier it was interesting to see the naval aspects discussed. I went over and visited the Matrix Games Command Modern Operations forum and found this:
https://www.matrixgames.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=10201&t=382814
Refreshingly, like in other matters related this this war, this forum is leading the way in terms of both quality and timeliness of information. THE CMO analysis at this moment lags behind.
Well done everyone!
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Not that I want to find out, but one has to wonder how well maintained is their nuclear arsenal? Hey why spend money on something that no one thought would be realistically used. Like I said probably better not to dwell on those types of weapons.
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7 minutes ago, BeondTheGrave said:
The crazy part is that in 40 years Moscow never decided to pull the trigger on the upgrades and decided, apparently, to leave it with much of the old installed equipment she launched with. It makes the money fire (literally!) Kuznetsov even more scandalous in hindsight. Shes in such bad shape that she has to sit out the war, BUT they've already poured a fortune into keeping her (barely) afloat and giving her major rebuilds. Imagine if that gone into upgrading the Moskva a phased radar instead. Or even just in a few more AWACs with naval search radar.
Seeing a recurring theme of poorly maintained equipment and poor tactical operation now across all their forces (including the relatively absent Air Force too). A real Potemkin village situation.
I love the irony/synchronicity of the postage stamp release and the successful attack on the Moskva
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Video showing the recetnly liberated village of Romanivka. Presents the physical destruction at a human scale. Looking at the extent of destruction, it almost resembles a path of wreckage. from a large twister. I cannot begin to imagine the extent of damage to Ukraine's infrastructure, let alone the human suffering.
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1 hour ago, The_Capt said:
You are very welcome. However the real hero we have had on this thread and deserves the thanks is @Haiduk. He stayed in country, scoured Ukraine social media, and translated from day 1. Without that contribution, along with all the others who have been scanning open source, we would have been blind on all this.
Indeed many many thanks to @Haiduk for his reports, and on the scene insights. You have added so much to this thread. We are all in your debt!
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Want to add my thanks as well for the excellent analysis provided by TheCapt and Steve
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Ironic that I was composing my prior post while Longleftflank did his.
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Putting aside Boris Johnson’s own political motives, I think his appearance strolling the streets of Kyiv with President Zelensky projected a powerful message of strength and courage. This beacon of hope, Kyiv, which fiercely resisted and drove back the dark forces of Sauron, is being shown to the world as still being free.
But the flame of freedom needs to remain fuelled; I’m glad the Zelensky was not left empty handed. I thank the Peoples of the UK for their support of Ukraine.
It is fitting for the Brit’s to up the aid ante by now offering the means to project counter sea-denial operations. No longer will the Russians operate on the Black Sea with impunity!
This expands their ability to cause Ivan some pain. Not only Russia’s naval forces but couldn’t merchant traffic even be called fair game.
Fitting too that it be done by a NATO member with their own sovereign nuclear force.
The frog continues to slowly boil.
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49 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:
Is there any chance of this war ending with a Russia divided into 2-3 separate countries?
Check this out from around 21:30 onwards where it discusses regional governors beginning to put their regions first in order to protect their own butts.
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Could this approach work offensively?
Use switchblade drones to target artillery assets, then use javelin NLAW to deal with tanks & IFVs and then finally artillery going after the softer targets. Use SAM assets to protect the artillery since ATGM equipped infantry can be more dispersed and easily hidden.
Essentially trying to use stand-off technology to minimize UA losses.
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1 hour ago, MikeyD said:
Russian practices and Ukrainian practices are not equivalent. Also, its a mighty big coincidence that the Russian speaking territories Russia is 'liberating' just happens to coincide with the location of newly discovered oil and gas deposits.
Actually a great breakdown of what resources lUkraine has:
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Some historical comparison. After Pearl Harbour, Admiral William Halsey said 'Before We're Through With 'em, the Japanese Language Will be Spoken Only in Hell" A sentiment shared I'm sure by many Americans at the time.
Passions can run high during war time.
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Here is a nice video on the Ukrainian Stugna P ATGM
Chris
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1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:
Let's put it this way. Some random person now has intel from a front thousands of miles away in a timeframe that no battlefield commander would have had prior to drones and cellphones.
You know, as much as I've been following this since 2014 I don't think the full implications have yet to register with me. I say this because pretty much every day of this war I find myself having a new insight.
Steve
Borg SpottingTM a concept that was ahead of its time
Come on Steve, are you sure you don't have some sorta time machine?
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Very good synopsis of the situation and larger geopolitical analysis. A particular highlight is the eirily prescient comments of Oleksiy Arestovych given in an interview several years ago predicting this war. Highly recommend a view.
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Wouldn't a Russian/Belarusian operation open the way for them to once again suffer heavy losses as they push into previously unconquered territory? I doubt they would be effective at cutting off supply unless they cozied up to the Polish border but that would be a new round of escalation and an awful lot of territory to try and hold.
One has to wonder about the motivation level of any Belarusian forces, especially if they run into the expected fierce resistance.
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Good interview with a Canadian commander who was involved in NATO training of the Ukrainian forces. She gets into changes that were instituted in nature of command structure empowering local commanders with taking initiative rather than the Soviet/Russian top down almost micromanagement approach. The development and importance of the senior NCOs was also discussed. She also expresses her immense pride in how the Ukrainian forces have performed and her confidence in them.
https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/2011381827562
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Pretty standard pathogens that you could see in analytical testing labs serving hospitals or pharmaceutical manufacture.
The geobacillus stearothermophilus for instance is used as a reference organism (Biological Indicator) in the validation of sterilization cycles in pharmaceutical applications (primarily those manufacturing sterile dosage forms) since its spores are extremely hardy.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by chris talpas
Added T72 info
Another good video from 'Good Times Bad Times'. Lots of info covered in this thread but also adds some additional geopolitical analysis. Also has a bit of footage of the Polish T72s