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Vet 0369

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Posts posted by Vet 0369

  1. On 4/5/2023 at 11:50 PM, dan/california said:

    Every single point you make is correct. No one has more to lose in this than the Taiwanese. I sincerely hope Xi decides he has enough problems ,and Taiwan just gradually fades out of the news. But if Xi has all but decided to go for it and the planning process is under way, nothing short of an ironclad guarantee that attacking Taiwan means war with the U.S. and all our Asian allies is going to dissuade him. Two U.S. brigades parked outside of Kyiv in January 2022 might have averted the entire tragedy in Ukraine. I assume Taiwan probably has better intelligence sources in China that anyone else. I would simply state that if the Taiwanese Government asks for U.S. forces to be stationed there, The U.S. should have them the in days not weeks. Which implies all the prep, and all the planning have already been done, on both sides. Because we have seen Ukraine, we have seen  Hong Kong, and we have seen Xinjiang. We all really want war in the Taiwan straight to remain a fictional scenario. Taiwan most of all.

    Positioning “a Division” of Marines in Taiwan (which was Formosa to me while I was gtowing up), is pretty much already done, and China knows it. The 1st Marine Division and the 1st Marine Air Wing are already stationed in Japan, Okinawa, and other scattered areas around there. You can be very sure that China hasn’t missed or forgotten how quickly the  Marines were able to deploy to S.Korea (albeit it a lot closer) when N. Korea invaded S. Korea. The USMC can deploy a Rapid Deployment Force (such as the 4th Marine Brigade) anywhere in the world within a maximum of 72-hours. Why do you think the Commandant of the Marine Corps has already revised Marine strategy by getting rid of its tanks and long-range arty in order to fight in the South China Sea? I’ll guarantee you that China hasn’t missed it.

  2. On 4/5/2023 at 8:00 PM, kevinkin said:

    https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/bill-clinton-reveals-blames-himself-211859904.html

    A good idea that just needed much better support. I think the US forgot that they actually took the nukes after a few years. Or that supporting Ukraine's security without them was critical. And when they did think about it, the powers that be did not want to piss Putin off thinking they could bring Russia into the fold with enough time. 

    It’s about time someone “fessed-up” to being wrong. However, I don’t believe that failure should be laid at the feet of the Clinton/Gore Administration. They were trying to create a way to secure the nukes from access by terrorist organizations. It should be laid on the Obama/Biden Administration that failed to live up to the commitment made by the Clinton/Gore Administration. Obama wanted nothing to do with the invasion by the “little green men” and the “Vacationers,” so he gave it to Biden to take care or it. I sometimes wonder if Biden’s election instead of Trump wasn’t somehow related to Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine when he did (one can never be sure what Trump’s reaction would have been. Never trust what a crazy person might do).

  3. On 4/5/2023 at 7:03 AM, Grigb said:

    I don't have much time, but I noticed something interesting - I'm not sure if you discussed it, but there are rumors that UKR successfully pushed back RU at Avdiivka and Maryinka in the last few days. Furthermore, the RU is said to have did a tactical withdrawal at Vuhledar (retreated to better defensive positions). The claim is that this is not the offensive, but rather an improvement of local situation before the offensive elsewhere. 

    It is extremely unreliable, but Girkin today declared that At Avdiivka, our offensive choked [suddenly stopped with negative connotation].

    Let's monitor the situation closely. 

    When the students are ready, the Master will appear!

    Welcome back Grigio.

  4. 2 hours ago, Lethaface said:

    Ah, ok my bad I thought you saw some demonic form in a democracy lol. 

     

     


    I know some about the US history, but the US wasn't the first republic to exist and the architecture of it's democracy doesn't define what is a democracy or republic. Anyway in NL woman were only allowed to vote from ~1922; most democratic countries weren't fully representative democracies until later in the 20th century. 

    You are absolutely correct, Rome was a Republic before Julius Cesar proclaimed himself (or his Legions proclaimed him, I don’t remember which) Emperor.

    fun fact: the first woman elected to the House of Representatives, was elected before women gained the right to vote, by Nineteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution in 1920. She was elected because her State allowed women to vote in State elections even though they couldn’t vote in the Presidential elections. The States selected their Representatives, not the Federal Government.

    So sorry, no more from me.

  5. 6 hours ago, Lethaface said:

    A republic is generally considered to be democratic / a democracy. Aristocracy is something very different, a voting system in which only the aristocracy gets to vote is nowadays not considered democratic.
    Don't know where you got the demoncratic idea from, but it's not cognitive congruent. 
    As an example; our country is a representational democracy disguised as a constitutional monarchy. But we could easily transform into a republic by replacing our ceremonial King with a ceremonial President. 

    How much powers a president has, how many parties there are, the common law/constitution etc, all of those things ARE NOT defined by whether the form of democracy installed in a governing body of a nation state is a republic or not.

    A republic is generally considered to be democratic / a democracy. Aristocracy is something very different, a voting system in which only the aristocracy gets to vote is nowadays not considered democratic.
     

    The U.S. originally specified that only white men, age 21 or older, who owned property, were allowed to vote for their Representatives. Senators were selected/elected by the State Legislatures. The “Voters” didn’t get to directly elect Senators to represent their States in the Senate until the 20th Century. Benjamin Franklin supported a vote to remove the requirement of owning property and penned a very succinct reply to a five-page statement by his supporters in favor of removing ownership of property. He said “A man owns an A**, the man can vote. The A** dies, the man can no longer vote. Therefore the vote lies not with the man, but with the A**.” I used to use it when I was teaching Executive Branch Regulatory Writers how to write in plain language (required in the 1990s by a Presidential Executive Order).

    Don't know where you got the demoncratic idea from, but it's not cognitive congruent. 
     

    It was a typo.

  6. 7 hours ago, Cobetco said:

    I think you might want to look up the definition of Republic. western nations are democracies.

    I watched a “Master Course” one time on the U.S. Constitution and Bill of Rights. The Presenter said that the Framers of the Constitution envisioned the U.S. as a Republic, and would be horrified to see it now as a two-party Democracy. He said tha one off the signers actually said “I am an Aristocrat! I love Liberty, but I hate equality!”

    We began as a Republic and evolved (or devolved) into a Demoncracy. Perhaps why our two major parties are Republicans and Democrats.

  7. On 3/30/2023 at 6:11 PM, chrisl said:

    I told you that a long time ago.

    knock knock

    ”who’s there?”

    ”candygram”

    “Candygram?”

    (land shark chomp)

     

     

    LOL, for all those of you who don’t understand the joke, the “Land Shark was a comedy skit in the late 1970s and early 1980s on the U.S. comedy show Saturday Night Live. The land shark would knock on a door and announce a delivery. It would cycle through a number of deliveries until the door was opened, and then “chomp.”

  8. On 3/24/2023 at 12:16 PM, Battlefront.com said:

    A couple of new videos from Hromadske about Ukrainian artillery operating in the Avdiivka area.  There's a lot of good details here for anybody that wants to know more about how these systems work.
     

    First one is from a 59th Mech mortar position.  A lot of older, long serving crew.  The 82mm Mortar looks like it's been around for a very long time, but it still does the job.

    well, since mortars are smooth bore, except I believe the U.S. Army 4.2 inch which was rifled, they don’t tend to “wear out” as cannon barrels do. Our USMCR 60mm tubes in the late 1970s were M2’s from WWII, and my gunners could still hit a pile of junk on the range out to 1,000 yards (and the accuracy spec was stated as within 30 yards).

  9. On 3/24/2023 at 1:47 AM, G.I. Joe said:

    I wouldn't call myself an expert, but they look like the standard Soviet hardpoints to me. The instruction sheet PDFs for these resin modeling detail sets from the Ukrainian firm ResKit have good side view diagrams:

    APU-470 & APU-73

    APU-470 & APU-60

    Good news either way!

    Perhaps one of our DCS aces could load a MiG-29 and review the hard points to determine whether or not they are Soviet era or if they are different. DCS has extremely accurate aircraft.I’d do it, but I’m not at my PC at the moment.

  10. On 3/21/2023 at 12:37 PM, The_Capt said:

    Don’t have an acronym but I had NCOs back in the day who would have described as an operation “that looks like a dog humping a football”.

    LOL! We had the same basic expression in the USMC, except that we said a monkey. We had a stencil in the Squadron metal shop that would be used to paint in numerous places on any USN, USAF, or rival USMC Squadron F4 that was unfortunate enough to be in our squadron area long enough for us to make an assault. Thank you got that. It brings back good memories from 50 plus years ago.

  11. On 3/17/2023 at 10:51 PM, Battlefront.com said:

    I bent down, took one look at it, and thought "nope not going to do the kissing thing, good enough to see it".  It did not look nice!

    Steve

    When we took my Mother-in law to Ireland (her parents were both Irish immigrants in the 19th century), we visited the Castle. Our 6-year old son wanted to kiss the Blarney Stone, so we let him even though I had my doubts. I took one look at the stone and the fact that it was in a bump-out in the wall with its opening directly over where the moat would have been. That screamed “privy” or “loo” to me, and I decided that the Irish were saying “There’s our revenge on the English!”

  12. On 3/17/2023 at 4:20 PM, Haiduk said:

    FPV of the siege of Russian blindage. UKR soldiers came to it from back and throw grenades inside, adding rifle fire. Likely blindage enough wide and deep, that even after several grenades one Russian soldier tried to crawl out from the "secret hole" from other side, but UKR trooper spotted the movement and shot Russian

     

    Good Lord! That landscape looks like WWI.

  13. On 3/16/2023 at 5:54 PM, chuckdyke said:

    What is this? Transporting or an innovation?

     

    The concept isn’t new. During Operation Barbarossa, the German assault was stopped for a time by a modified KV-1 chassis (I believe) that had a 5 inch Naval Rifle mounted on it. It actual stopped the assault for a number of days. See CMx1 CMBB.

  14. On 3/16/2023 at 2:00 PM, Battlefront.com said:

    They haven't been paying any attention to the fact that the brothels and strip clubs in Russia are already facing a customer shortage because of this war, so Wagner should conclude that market is already tapped out.

    Steve

    Perhaps the lack of “live” patronage is simply related to men who fear being “snatched” as it were in those places just resorting to “safer” modes of entertainment?

  15. On 3/16/2023 at 10:23 AM, Tux said:

    The more I think about it the more I suspect this whole thing is actually just a case of an idiot (and let’s just say it one more time: f*ing *reckless*) pilot accidentally colliding with the MQ-9.  There’s no way he deliberately approached a moving target at a closing speed of something like 100kts, the last second or two with the ‘target’ out of sight, and then purposefully clipped just the outer 20cm of the propeller.  There’s also no way his superiors ordered him to try to do just that. 

    I think this is an angry clown of a pilot trying to scare the drone’s operators with a very close flyby and… ahem… “messing” it up. 

    I’m not really “sure”what the stall speed (the slowest speed at which an aircraft can maintain lift) of the SU-24, or the “cruising speed” of the MQ-9, but I believe the SU-24 stall speed is about 200 to 230km/h. If the cruise speed of the MQ-9 is slower than that, the SU would have to be doing more than say 200 to 230 Km/H or else the SU would fall out of the sky. I feel quite certain that it was a deliberate act to knock the MQ-9 out of the sky. The only question is if it was ordered by someone, or if the pilot made a “command decision” on his own to do it.

  16. 4 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Oh, for sure that can't be ruled out.  And so far the US language is, in fact, implying that is what happened.  However, based on the little info we have I they meant to knock it out of the air using some means of "plausible deniability" vs. shooting it down with cannon or missile fire.  If true, then this was a carefully calculated move from Putin on down.

    Steve

    Based on another major news feed that I read earlier this evening, I believe that it was undeniably intentional. The report said it evolved over about 30 minutes of “buzzing,” and even included the fighters dumping fuel to coat the drone and set it on fire with their engines.

  17. 22 hours ago, sross112 said:

    I don't want to be understood wrong or people think that I am equating these countries or their people to the cesspool that is Russia. It is just that the Russians once were one of the two super powers

    No, “Russia” was never one of the “two super powers,” the Soviet Union was. Saying that Russia was is like saying that Texas or Hawaii was one of the “two super powers.” Russia also tends to “forget” that the two strongest leaders, Stalin and Khrushchev weren’t even “ethnic Russians,” they were Georgian and Ukrainian respectively.

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