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Ivanov

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Posts posted by Ivanov

  1. 1 hour ago, panzersaurkrautwerfer said:

     In this context, given the possibility of a Ukrainian insurgency, and looking at historical Russian COIN tactics, will likely utterly and totally poison Russian relations with the rest of the planet.

    I think that no everyone is aware, that in Chechenya during the period of 1995-2004, about 10-15% of the civilian population got KILLED. Then you have to add the wounded and refugees. This is the WW2 Eastern Front level of casualties.

  2. 6 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Then, I suppose we will develop "new Rzech Pospolyta" - military union of Ukraine, Poland, Baltic States (now united brigade is forming) and possibly Georgia. From "old Europe" only Great Britain left as opponent of Russia and can support us. Also Canada  - our old good ally. 

    Sure thing. We'll just need to develop nuclear weapons then :D

  3. There's much debate on what could NATO do for Ukraine but it turns out, that the very likely next US president, discredits the solidarity principle of the alliance. It may happen that the Balitics will be left on their own at the end. I'm pretty sure that with each new Trump's statement about the foreign policy, they open a champagne in the Kremlin.

    http://www.theatlantic.com/news/archive/2016/07/trump-nato/492341/
     

    Sorry if that has been already discussed here but I've been unable to follow the forum for a while.

  4. From my experience, the ATGM's are not very effective in CMBS. Just buy more tanks if you want to win. It's ok to have some cheap, expendable infantry teams, that sometimes may sneak upon the enemy, but with the tanks and APS's seeing inside the buildings, most of them will die anyway. There's a similar issue with the ATGM's launched by the BMP's. Even if they manage to fire, they are unable to hit anything.

  5. An interesting article:

    http://warontherocks.com/2016/07/was-the-russian-military-a-steamroller-from-world-war-ii-to-today/

    Of course if anyone believes that the Red Army had a 10:1 numerical superiority over the Axis on the Eastern Front is... well, misinformed. But if you look at the force ratios during the crucial moments of the war - November 1942 and July 1941, the Red Army had a 1.8:1 numerical superiority which is actually a lot, given also the mismanagement in the deployment of German forces. Where they wanted, the Soviets were actually able to achieve much greater superiority, which of course is a testimony to their operational and strategic skill.

  6. 1 hour ago, GAZ NZ said:

    Talking to people I know from the UK that are flooding into NZ is not propaganda

    Its reality

    The Violent Turkish gangs and Eastern Euro gangs now are all in the UK

    I was talking about the UK not the EU

    You seem to have trouble reading and understanding things correctly

     

    UK is still a member of the EU and you were implying, that the Turks were there due to the country's membership in this organization, which is just one of many nonsensical claims you made. There are gangs and mafias present in every European country, yet only the poor Brits are seeking a refuge in the antipodes? Interesting. Many British criminals are operating and hiding in Spain. Should I already apply for an Australian visa?

  7. 6 hours ago, GAZ NZ said:

    I work with people from the UK and they have all been flooding to NZ to get away form the Violent Turkish, Eastern Europeans etc flooding the UK and all the migrants who sit on the benefits and do crime

    That sounds like a very primitive internet propaganda. It's equally true as the Russian propaganda claims, that there are nazis in Kiev and that the Russian speakers were persecuted in Ukraine. Besides the "violent Turks" are not in the EU. 

  8. 6 hours ago, GAZ NZ said:

    The only thing going through Poland would be Gas/Fuel pipes in a big economic deal

    Interesting. Neither Poland nor Russia are planning to build pipelines through Polish territory. All the new Russian pipelines are going to bypass Poland, while Poland is doing everything possible to get the gas from other sources than Russia.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-12/poland-opens-lng-terminal-pledges-to-end-russian-gas-dependence

  9. 8 minutes ago, 76mm said:

    That's the same reason he gives for not publishing a Kindle version.  I think that Forczyk is a pretty good author, but in this age of easy self-publishing I think he's doing a disservice to himself and his readers by letting his publisher push him around like this.  

    +1

     

    8 minutes ago, 76mm said:

    I would have enjoyed this book at titled, but it sounds like another rehash of Kursk (along with a bit about other stuff in 1943), which I have zero interest in reading about (again).

    For me tha most interesting part of this book is about the early 1943 up to the Citadel. Chapter about Kursk doesn't bring anything new, the Dnepr campaign is ok, but I've aready red his Campaign book on this subject. As mentioned earlier - the ending of this book seems rushed.

  10. 26 minutes ago, Vanir Ausf B said:

    According to the author that was because the publisher limited his page count, and would not let him change the title.

    I was suspecting that could be the reason. However Forczyk mentioned few tome on the Osprey forum, that he doesn't find the late war as interesting as the 1941-43 period. It's a real shame because I was especially counting on the 1944-45 period, since there's definitely less literature dedicated to it, than to the early war.

  11. 5 hours ago, VladimirTarasov said:

    In the eastern Ukraine regions there is steppe type terrain (hilly and flat) that lead well out to kilometers of LOS. Basically the dream of Kornets and TOWs, and AT-15s. Also favorable terrain for air assets, and anti air assets. There are also foliage and forests of course which covers LOS and limits it. So LOS that leads well out a few kilometers is common in Eastern Ukraine. However the more west you go the less steppe terrain there will be, which is more favorable for the force that is using the terrain to its advantage, be it offensive or defensive.

    Keep in mind, that this is not WW2 and tank duels in the open steppes would not be so common. In modern combat the force ratio to the space would be very low and most of the fighting would take place around and in various towns, hamlets and critical road junctions, so it wouldn't be so easy to find few kilometers of uninterrupted LOS.

  12. 21 minutes ago, kinophile said:

    I'm curious... 

    What was an average tank engagement range for WW2? 1Km?

    And it's now,  what,  2km?

    I've heard something like 840 yards ( about 770 meters ) for the western front in 1944. Curiously enough, I've heard about the same average for the tank combat during the recent war in Donbass. It has more to do with the terrain and tactical situation, than with the potential range of the main tank armament.

  13. 2 hours ago, kinophile said:

    Ah, now. That's a big stretch as an example. 

    1) It was almost 17 years ago

    2) it was 2 high tech,  high intensity wars ago

    3) it used what would now be considered pretty obsolete tech for guidance, targeting and surveillance. 

    4) no drones

     

    There are even examples of NATO drones from the campaign in the Museum of Aviation in Belgrade. In total about 40 were lost (crashed, shot down ).

    Aviation%20Museum%2017%20-%20shot-down%2

     

    Aviation%20Museum%2016%20-%20controversi

     

    I remember watching some expert on BBC the day they started the bombings. He said that in case of Serbia the air power would not be very effective, mostly due to the terrain and weather. Also keep in mind, that unlike Russia, Serbia didn't have modern air defences. In general the effectiveness of air power is greatly exaggerated. Even in perfect conditions like Gulf War I, the air power wasn't nearly as effective as the initial reports were suggesting. For example the pilots of A-10s and AH-64s claimed about 600 T-72's. In reality there were between 300-400 T-72's in the area of operations and their loses were between 50-150 tanks.

    Of course the air power would be more effective in attacking Russian mechanized units advancing in the open. But it would much more difficult to dislodge Russian forces the would dig in after a short, blitzkrieg campaign, for example in the Baltics.

  14. 2 hours ago, kevinkin said:

     

    2 hours ago, kevinkin said:

    His main sources on this are some newer books, mainly "Blood, Steel and Myth" and "Demolishing the Myth". Nothing really interesting for me, since I own both of those books. Basically he repeats the conclusions of the authors: there was no massive clash of armor at Prokhorovka and contrary to Manstein's clams, the Germans were already exhausted and overextended to advance any further. 

    IMO the best part of Forczyk's book is the one about the winter 1942/43 up to Manstein's backhand blow. Dnepr campaign is alright, but I already have Osprey's book by Forczyk on this subject.

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