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sburke

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Everything posted by sburke

  1. As an example, though not relevant to warfare - I took a cancer screening test last year. These folks used machine learning to find DNA matches to various cancers that could then be detected via a simple blood test. MCED Resources & Information | Galleri® for HCPs Machine learning is real. The issue is more figuring out how to apply it.
  2. how about folks telling Switzerland - maybe we shouldn't buy weapons from you anymore? I think it is about time Switzerland get told maybe you should just be a little landlocked country that no one wants to really invest in. We can always ski in the Austrian and Italian Alps.
  3. that can't be true, Ramzan has declared victory. Chechen Leader Ramzan Kadyrov Declares Victory Over Besieged Ukrainian City of Severodonetsk (msn.com)
  4. I'm gonna go shuffle off and work on my fireplace mantle some more. Your perspective as always is engaging and thought provoking. As Mr Gumby said on Monty Python.
  5. yep I had that and they've been added to the "sacked" list. They are all MVD which raises some questions as to what this reflects.
  6. Heh will try to respond by paragraph 1. The procurement cycle isn't in my mind going to keep up with the pace of change. As much respect as I have for DARPA, and it is a lot, I think your reply doesn't reflect the nature of what is happening right now. Machine learning and AI is accelerating the rate of change. a 5 to 10 year development cycle won't keep pace. That last sentence there is where the divergence will happen. Having something isn't the same as running into someone who figures out a different way to use it. 2. I wasn't suggesting Russia wasn't feeling it, but rather the extent. Putin has slowed to a degree the knowledge of how bad loses have been and the state media similar to early Vietnam reporting in the US keeps up the myth that all is going according to plan. Your average Russian particularly in Moscow and St Peterburg which aren't getting the same casualty rates as say Dagestan is mostly upset because McDonalds closed. By war impact I mean the level of destruction Ukraine is facing. 3. The last point wasn't specifically intended about this conflict but rather a general observation about the cost of war. I'm not proposing Ukraine make any effort to take the war to Russia, it is counterproductive and a waste of resources assuming they even had the military logistics to do so. The point was more that most of the examples we have in the past 50 years of war are almost always very one sided. We've had nothing like ww2 where both sides suffered heavily in loss of life both civilian and military as well as massive infrastructure destruction. It isn't a full spectrum war that takes into account the full capabilities of either NATO or Russia. The US did send out some info about potential for malicious code in many places including power plants etc. This is a dimension of war that hasn't been fully explored or exploited here though there are indications US cyber command cooperated with the Ukrainians to shore up Ukrainian cyber defenses. Having been in the telecom industry most of my life this is an area that has been discussed often regarding backdoor access in Chinese based technology particularly in relationship to companies like Huawei.
  7. Watch your mouth! Funny enough I just saw this yesterday NBC Investigation: McKinsey & Company worked with U.S. and Russian defense players (yahoo.com) @LongLeftFlankthat one is for you. Regarding the rest, particularly the tail end regarding Ukraine army. I'm on the fence about whether the ending of this war will be an utter collapse of the Russian defense or simply a change in power where some new Russian leadership recognizes they need to halt the war to survive. I'll leave the "what does this mean for warfare" discussion to folks like yourself who actually understand how the process of running a war fighting force works. However, I would advise against applying too much of this conflict to "this is how wars will be fought now" for a few reasons. 1. Technology development is moving faster every day. In a few years there will be capabilities we can only guess at now. (for example . Suppose Elon Musk develops a cheap easily producible jet pack that allows a soldier to move 100 km in an hour along with a slaved unit carrying supplies - allowing troops movements to occur with a rapidity unlike anything we have today, at low level and with little visible indication and no need for roads.) 2. For the aggressor in this case, they are not facing a war impact. Sanctions yes but the war has not been carried on in a significant way to Russian society. If anything, it is frighteningly similar to the American experience where we always wage wars on someone else's turf and don't feel the effects at home other than the losses our soldiers face. Ukraine is fighting this war in one sense with one hand tied behind their back. i.e. fighting completely defensively including promising not to use new weapons to strike targets in Russia. Cyber warfare has in addition been minimal. There are whole spectrums of capabilities that have not been applied to this conflict. 3. Russia has made the inexcusable mistake of not understanding they would have to subjugate the Ukrainian people. War in the modern era is no longer simply a fight against armies. (yeah I could go back further for examples like the Peninsula war, but modern mass communications is more the point) You have to have a plan to win the peace, or you might as well keep your troops home. This is a lesson the US still hasn't fully learned despite the brutal cost to our troops in at least 3 conflicts in my lifetime that should have gotten through the thick skulls of our political leadership.
  8. Beijing chafes at Moscow’s requests for support, Chinese officials say (msn.com) Russian officials have raised increasingly frustrated requests for greater support during discussions with Beijing in recent weeks, calling on China to live up to its affirmation of a “no limits” partnership made weeks before the war in Ukraine began. But China’s leadership wants to expand assistance for Russia without running afoul of Western sanctions and has set limits on what it will do, according to Chinese and U.S. officials. Moscow has on at least two occasions pressed Beijing to offer new forms of economic support — exchanges that one Chinese official described as “tense.” The officials familiar with the talks spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the matter’s sensitivity. They declined to share specifics of Russia’s requests, but one official said it included maintaining “trade commitments” predating the Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine, and financial and technological support now sanctioned by the United States and other countries. “China has made clear its position on the situation in Ukraine, and on the illegal sanctions against Russia,” said a person in Beijing with direct knowledge of the discussions. “We understand [Moscow’s] predicament. But we cannot ignore our own situation in this dialogue. China will always act in the best interest of the Chinese people.”
  9. customer service! Hope the UK soldier filled out the requisite closing chat survey with 5 stars.
  10. Nope, they discovered washlets! Washlet - TotoUSA.com Now looting Ukraine just isn't as appealing. Putin has begun raising the concern of a little known Russian minority in Hokkaido!
  11. Russia Goes After British MP’s Son for Killing of Chechen Commander in Ukraine (msn.com)
  12. yeah the wikileaks was just part of the excerpt. What I found more interesting is the info leak back then being the MVD even if it was a hack.
  13. The list of the recently fired generals Those fired included Major General of Police Vasily Kukushkin, who was head of the Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the Vladimir region; Major General Alexander Laas, deputy head of the Main Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the Altai Territory and Major General Andrey Lipilin, head of the Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs for the Yaroslavl Region. Major General Alexander Udovenko of the Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Major General Yuri Instrankin, deputy head of the Department for Logistics and Medical Support of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, were also reportedly dismissed. Putin has also reportedly fired Police Colonel Emil Musin, who was the first deputy head of the Forensic Center of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. Putin Fires Five Generals as Russia's Military Failures in Ukraine Continue (msn.com) Interesting tidbit on Wikipedia regarding MVD In December 2019, Distributed Denial of Secrets listed a leak from Russia’s Ministry of the Interior,[6] portions of which detailed the deployment of Russian troops to Ukraine at a time when the Kremlin was denying a military presence there. Some material from that leak was published in 2014,[7][8] about half of it wasn’t, and WikiLeaks reportedly rejected a request[9] to host the files two years later, at a time when Julian Assange was focused on exposing Democratic Party documents passed to WikiLeaks by Kremlin hackers.[10] I think the first date in that post was supposed to be Dec 2014 - this is the inform Napalm post at that time Ukrainian cyber troops hack into the servers of Russian Federation: Evidence of Russian military actions revealed. - InformNapalm.org (English)
  14. Kremlin warns Biden sending rockets to Ukraine 'adding fuel to the fire' (msn.com) whoa what was that we just ran over? Oh I think it was another red line. The long version response The White House principal deputy national security adviser, Jonathan Finer, said Wednesday morning that "Russia has brought this on itself." "We don't negotiate our security assistance packages to Ukraine with the Kremlin," Finer said during an interview with CNN, adding that Biden had warned Russian President Vladimir Putin "directly" that if he "launched a new, renewed invasion of Ukraine, the United States would increase the amount of security assistance we were providing, including new and advanced systems." The short version FU Putin The missiles will be provided as part of a new $700 million security assistance package for Ukraine -- the 11th of its kind from the U.S. -- which will also include additional Javelin anti-tank missiles, helicopters, tactical vehicles and artillery rounds. The HIMARS is a longer-range rocket system that can fire munitions up to 190 miles. But the munitions the U.S. plans to provide Ukraine have a maximum range of around 43 miles, according to Pentagon officials. Belgorod is 43.94 miles from Kharkiv. hmmmmmm
  15. even Russian dogs are joining the UK army though I think this does counter the rumor of Russians eating dogs. Special forces dog abandoned by Russians joins Ukrainian forces (msn.com)
  16. 1 agreed - a war crime is a war crime 2 Ukraine needs POWs. Russia has been kidnapping civilians. Force them to trade including the guys from Mariupol.
  17. Russian Colonel Killed in Ukraine as Putin Scrambles to Reorganize Forces (msn.com) New to our list and an interesting note on further purges. Lieutenant Colonel Zaur Dimayev, the deputy commander of the 4th battalion of the Akhmat Kadyrov special forces regiment, was killed in the Donbas region of Ukraine—where the center of the fighting has moved to—by an artillery barrage on Tuesday, according to the Baza Telegram channel. According to a report from Moscow-based RBK Group, Putin issued a decree on Monday announcing the firing of five generals at the Russian Ministry of the Internal Affairs and one police colonel.
  18. China Bans Most Russian Planes From Airspace Because They're Stolen (msn.com) along with toilets, washing machines... Russia is like a stash house in the Sopranos.
  19. maybe the conscription in Luhansk and Donetsk made them reconsider. Hey let's join and become cannon fodder!
  20. article in NY times on state of the war had this excerpt. President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia appointed a new commander, Gen. Aleksandr V. Dvornikov, in April in what was widely viewed as an acknowledgment that the initial Russian war plan was failing. Soon after his arrival, General Dvornikov tried to get disjointed air and land units to coordinate their attacks, American officials said. But he has not been seen in the past two weeks, leading some officials to speculate as to whether he remains in charge of the war effort.
  21. lol that sounds like signature territory!
  22. Russia produces fertilizer... of many varieties.
  23. There was an article I read a little while back that suggested it was Putin's pet Ukrainian leaders (Yanukovych and his ilk) that had supplied the intel that made him think a coup would work. I think it is far over crediting those guys, but I don't doubt they contributed their little bit.
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