dan/california

Nothing about their tire-wheel-bearing-axle-maintenance is the least bit reassuring on this.

Truth

Secret Russian General Staff planning session. Although it might be giving them too much credit.

Oryx is on team Steve.

The Russians determination to lose this expensively seems undiminished. I really don't know how else to put it.

https://www.greatpower.us/p/escalating-fears-that-putin-might?s=w Good article, mostly about Putin's mental state.

Dammit!

The Russians just aren't very good at this. That or their so called soldiers are getting stuck intentionally, and then walking home.

China is going to take the Russian Far East into "protective Custody" without firing a shot at this rate.

That is GREAT news. Was there one of the old Soviet shelters under the building?

Putin is stripping forces from all his other conquest little projects to reinforce failure in Ukraine. This is how the whole thing comes apart at once. If I were Assad i would be looking hard for a plan B, because he isn't getting the next rotation from Uncle Vlad, he will lucky if the current one doesn't just disappear in the middle of the night.

They have fought like Spartans but smarter. Just saw a credible report that the French Foreign Ministry thinks the Russians are not negotiating seriously. I wonder if Putin's on generals know that, I wonder if the colonels do. Because the upper midlevel command on the ground must have pretty good idea how badly they NEED to be negotiating. The four dead generals and twenty odd other senior officers being exhibit A. the Ukrainians need to start putting it out there that the first couple of senior officers to surrender their whole units get an apartment in Brazil, a Ukrainian passport, and some cash.

Can you imagine the pressure Zelensky is under. He is 96% percent sure he is winning, but he can't be sure how many days/weeks it will take to actually win. Everyone of those days probably cost a thousand civilian lives with 100 of them children, every day is at least another 100,000 refugees, and, and... And he soldiers on acting like a sane person. If He has made bad call since the Russian tanks rolled I don't know what it was. Just incredible!

The bomb that announced its countdown was the best example. It literally squawked "I am a thirty second bomb, 29,28,27, why aren't you running yet, 19, 18 , 17, 16, you're all gonna die 11, 10...". I thought it was a brilliant idea then, and still do, for the right mission.

Given that the tank ws captured more or less intact, their emotional support was clearly inadequate.

This has to be sign of near complete failure of the Russian force structure doesn't it? Over, and over we keep asking how they can be that incompetent? Gloriously happy this guy is alive and free, can't imagine bigger propaganda win for the Ukrainians, and that is saying something.

Anything less than hundreds of NATO cruise missiles followed by every strike aircraft in Europe is not enough. Something to be said for sinking every Russian ship in the Black Sea, too. I do hope the guy who got out also got to meet the Azov gentlemen personally.

Zelensky needs a peace that allows for economic rebuilding. I would note what is published is NOT ruling out EU membership. My personal preference would three U.S. heavy brigades, and short range ballistic missiles aimed at Moscow all over the bleeping country. But how many months is Zelensky willing to grind it out while Ukrainian women and children die or flee to achieve that level of victory.

Its never done until its done, but....

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/03/15/ukraine-war-proves-russia-no-longer-a-superpower/ What he said...

The Ukrainians are not going to let the Russians reorganize at leisure.

We should have sent these already. I am guessing this is the U.S. way of telling the Russians their time is up.

https://www.politico.eu/article/belarus-ukraine-war-russia-alexander-lukashenko-dodges-weaves/ Nothing shockingly new, But more or less confirms the Belarusian military is more inclined to revolt against Lutashenko than it is to face Ukrainian missiles. Someone needs to get in there and start offering bribes with the yachts and money that used to belong to the oligarchs. If Lutashenko was deposed and the rail links severed in Belarus, the Russians would be utterly bleeped.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1503768412266377223/photo/1 This is the newest way to track the war, using a NASA satellite that was built to track forest fires.

This could be the next piece of bad planning to rain on Putin's parade.