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DesertFox

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    155mm Cluster ammo for AFU - The options on a map

     

    US  is sending M864 Cluster Munition 155mm Artillery Shells to Ukraine  each has 72 grenades and a range of ~29km If fired 7-10km from the current frontline, Ukraine can reach 100% of Russia’s 1st line of trench fortifications and 78% of the 2nd line of trench fortifications

    F0iNruEWIAIST0s?format=jpg&name=large

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    39 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Картина Маслом is not enough reliable source. He just interpretes different OSINTers and Mashovets in very optimistic manner and write "total victory day-by-day" posts. 

    His post was based on UKR TG message about pushing of UKR troops in Hrusheva Balka (terrain name) between Pryyutne and Staromajorsk. But this TG post didn't say about significant breakthrough and whole regiment crumbling. Though, yes, 394th is already heavy battered for the month of fighting.

    NOEL also has some info on it. Lets wait and see what we learn tomorrow.

     

    To the front. Velyka Novosilka axis: The AFU has advanced towards Pryyutne. Yesterday they initially managed to fend off a Russian counterattack and take advantage of the situation and pushed 1,5km deeper into Russian occupied positions. The extent might be even deeper 
     
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    1

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Russian telegram accounts mention it. As always lets wait if others corroborate it.

    https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1677767780140036096?s=20

     

    Russian sources claim that the Armed Forces broke through the Russian defenses between the settlements of Robotyne and Verbove (Zaporozhzhia) This area is held (most likely held ) by the "71st Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment". The depth of the breakthrough is currently difficult to estimate. I was not able to verify the information. The last information I had was an attempt by Ukrainians to bypass Robotyne from the East and West side.
     
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    3

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by DesertFox

     

    Whole text of Reznikovs clarification:

    1. Ukraine will use these munitions only for the de-occupation of our internationally recognised territories. These munitions will not be used on the officially recognized territory of russia.

    2. We will not be using cluster munitions in urban areas (cities) to avoid the risks for the civilian populations - these are our people, they are Ukrainians we have a duty to protect. Cluster munitions will be used only in the fields where there is a concentration of russian military. They will be used to break through the enemy defence lines with minimum risk for the lives of our soldiers. Saving the lives of our troops, even during extremely difficult offensive operations, remains our top priority.

    3. Ukraine will keep a strict record of the use of these weapons and the local zones where they will be used.

    4. Based on these records, after the de-occupation of our territories and our victory these territories will be prioritised for the purposes of de-mining. This will enable us to eradicate the risk from the unexploded elements of cluster munitions. The Minister of Defence of Ukraine is by law acting as the Head of the national de-mining agency. In this capacity I will ensure the implementation of the relevant legal framework for the de-mining process after our victory.

    5. We will report to our partners about the use of these munitions, and about their efficiency to ensure the appropriate standard of transparent reporting and control.

    https://twitter.com/oleksiireznikov/status/1677410470108471298?s=20

    5

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    4 hours ago, Jr Buck Private said:

    Since Ukraine has started their offensive does anybody know what their casualty rates have been?   I'm hoping they are well below the norm as far as what an attacking force normally suffers.   The Bradley's and other western fighting vehicles have definitely helped out.  My gut feeling is that they are better than expected, but of course Ukraine hasn't really gone "balls out" yet either.

    Ukrainian source, so take it with a grain of salt. However looks to me it is the correct ballpark figure.

    "The ratio of irretrievable losses in the South is 1 to 5.3"- Deputy Defense Minister Malyar In Bakhmut, the enemy is actually trapped. The Armed Forces made it as difficult as possible for the enemy to move and made it impossible to get out, — the deputy of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. "Due to the significant losses of the enemy in manpower in the South, some enemy units refuse to participate in hostilities. The ratio of irreversible losses in the South is 1 to 5.3. That is, the enemy in the South loses 5.3 times more servicemen than ours." - writes Malyar. "For the last day, the defense forces advanced more than a kilometer in the direction of Bakhmut" — Cherevaty. The representative of the Eastern Group of Forces says that the Armed Forces continue to hold the initiative and advance along the northern and southern flanks in the same direction.

    https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1677368874944061445?s=20

     

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    7 hours ago, Kinophile said:

    If this was anything but a war of national,  cultural and societal survival, I'd understand the concerns. But it is.

    Anything that can kill Russians quicker and in more numbers shortens the war.

    The longer Russians are in Ukraine  the longer more Ukrainians will die.

    The future daily cost of UXO is nothing compared to the current daily cost of soldiers and civilians killed. 

    Ukraine needs to Kill & Maim as many Russians as possible right now. We've got a munition that can do that? Send it. 

    Exactly. Everything except nukes should be sent. Give them everything which shortens the war and avoids more unnecessary ukrainian casualties. Zero symphaties here for those hypocrites arguing this or that weapon system could "escalate" the situation.

    0

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    20 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    What I think most people here wanted out of Prig's charge on Moscow was for maximum chaos within the Russian military which would translate into battlefield opportunities for Ukraine. 

    It is exactly that. Would have loved to see them de-militarize themselves to cubeniks and by that taking focus and troops away from ukraine.

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