Jump to content

Eddy

Members
  • Posts

    226
  • Joined

Everything posted by Eddy

  1. More donations announced from Germany. M26 (AT2) are not the cluster munition variant but variant carrying anti-tank mines. 'Different versions' for 120mm means normal, smoke, illumination apparently. I wonder what the 50 unmanned surface vessels are.
  2. Professor Michael Clark was just on Sky News talking about this incident. His opinion is that the missile (the first one that is) was probably jammed by "something", although he does clearly state he has no evidence to back that up. The second he reckons probably failed
  3. I heard somewhere recently that the US DOD had signed contracts with Starlink some time this year for them to provide this service to Ukraine. I can't remember where (so can't provide a link) but it was definitely since the excerpt from the book was published. Is that not true, does anyone know? Or did I misunderstand what the contracts were for?
  4. I could hide behind that I used the words 'perhaps' but in all honesty I did not know any of that, so thanks for replying. Explains one of the reasons why Chally 3 will be smooth bore I suppose
  5. Don't want to derail the thread but not always apparently => Dutch disease - Wikipedia
  6. Challenger is rifled so perhaps that gives it better accuracy. Also uses DU rather than tungsten.
  7. A sober and realistic analysis of where the Ukrainian offensive is at the moment. Recommend giving it a watch even though it's over an hour long.
  8. Clever from the Ukrainian MOD Has a pop at the 'anonymous sources' talking crap Reminds everyone that these same sources were wrong in Feb 22 Emphasises that the Ukrainians know what they're doing Reiterates the point that for Ukrainians this is an existential war And for once the music's not crap Edit: Forgot they used London's Calling by The Clash recently
  9. Latest article from Kofman and Lee in War on the Rocks. Perseverance and Adaptation: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Three months In - War on the Rocks Well worth the read, although it's long.
  10. Yes but that picture would appear to be not one of them Maybe it's just an illustration of one
  11. ISW not holding back. Full thread Apparently from this piece Let Ukraine Direct Its Own Counteroffensive - WSJ (I don't have a subscription)
  12. Good read. Thread also can be found here => Thread by @emilkastehelmi on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App .
  13. Bloody hell! If you can, it's worth reading the whole thread as there is images embedded. Suffice it to say, the whole idea that the Ukrainians would succeed if only they did it the NATO way is questionable (i.e. bollocks). This would appear to be a tough nut to crack. "Translation: Much has been written about the battles in the South. I wouldn't say that this is the case where it's better to see once (or multiple times) than to hear/read about it many times. Especially through the eyes of the frontline units. A thread about battles from the perspective of aerial reconnaissance: Environment. Steppe. Fields, tree lines. Slight elevations and dips, villages, small rivers. Minefields. Whoever you may be, an armored assault group, evacuation team, aerial or infantry reconnaissance, your movement is visible from afar. The enemy has long been preparing. Equipment and personnel can be spotted from a distance and targeted. Both sides understand that there are limited places for positions and deployment. Most likely, there's something to shoot at in almost every tree line. Confirmation is needed, of course. Primarily, it's necessary to determine the priority of the target There's a limited number of access roads, logistical routes. Everything's been calibrated and fired upon repeatedly every day. You certainly can be spotted. Carrying out the mission while maintaining complete concealment from the enemy is mostly impossible There has been a great deal of talk about fortifications and minefields. Every tree line has been dug up. On one stretch of the Mariupol highway, anti-tank fortifications have been installed. We're not just talking about trenches. There's an entire system of trenches, dugouts, and even undeground tunnels in some places In each tree line, there's a network of trenches and firing positions for various weapons. AGS, DShK, ATGMs. Anti-tank ditches and mine obstacles stretch across the fields. From regular TM and POM mines to more "sophisticated" ones, all lying in wait for infantry. Once again, it's crucial to emphasize that we're specifically discussing a system of trenches, interconnected by passageways and pathways. These pathways facilitate the movement of personnel, weaponry, and ammunition. As for what remains unexcavated, it's mined. All of this must be navigated to make progress forward. For those who are "overly smart" and believe that the Ukrainian Armed Forces took an incredibly long time to drive the Russians out of the village of Robotyne, they must have missed the defense system that needed to be overcome in order to push the russians away from the Mariupol highway and gradually approach the village, encircle it, and finally seize control. Truly, a monumental task has been accomplished. The russians are establishing firing points (AGS, heavy machine guns), and they mine the routes to them. They themselves move along designated paths. Our positions in the liberated territory are surrounded by mines and tripwires. Paths are cleared for ingress, and sappers gradually clear the area. Frequently, the hidden "surprises" detonate during shelling, triggered by fires that start due to the shelling (weeds, shrubs, and trees catch fire, setting off tripwires). At times, we ourselves discover and call in sappers to clear specific areas. There's much talk about armored vehicle losses, but the issue of initial setbacks is overlooked. In the long run, it's impossible to entirely avoid armor losses, even due to the enemy's advantage in the air. However, armor serves a specific purpose that entails risks. There's much talk about armored vehicle losses, I'll skip the topic of initial setbacks. In the long run, it's impossible to entirely avoid armor losses, especially due to the enemy's advantage in the air. However, armor serves a specific purpose that entails risks. These actions are justified by the fact that they save lives. I spoke with a soldier who survived two direct hits on a Bradley during shelling. Even the most critically damaged equipment is recovered and taken for repairs. You can replace a piece of metal, even if it's expensive, but you can't repair a human life Enemy ATGM operators position cameras in advance of their positions. This way, they can spot targets (all types of vehicles) in advance and engage them effectively. If successful, artillery finishes off the targets. Alternatively, they might start with air force, followed by artillery. They hunt for evacuation teams – both vehicles and stations. Right under our noses, they hit an armored vehicle, and an evacuation vehicle arrived for the guys. They had to maneuver in a tight spot, moving very slowly on a narrow road, avoiding going off-road into a mined field. Taking risks as well. Fortunately, they managed to get them out. KAB's are one of the biggest fears. The russians use them extensively. I can't speak to their accuracy, but the weaponry is powerful. They attempt to target logistics and command centers, just as we do. They don't hesitate to simply fire on roads. Forward defenses in settlements are constantly under shelling. The aerial reconnaissance linked system Orlan-Zala-Supercam is effective and causing issues. They identify targets and launch Lances, releasing them in swarms along with KAB's. They attempt to break through and hunt down vehicles. The recaptured positions are even more calibrated. Bombs are not spared. No lack of mines either. The tree line where one of the crews was operating was simply leveled. Only a palisade remained, and a well-made trench ceased to be usable. The russians use a standard tactic for their armor. The route to the firing position is determined, usually in a way that keeps the vehicles under visual cover of the tree lines and eventually positions them in an open space for shooting. They quickly expend their ammunition and retreat Vehicle cannot be completely concealed. Dust clouds are visible during movement, and the vehicles can be seen shifting between tree lines, while drones provide visibility as well. The main task here is to execute the firing mission quickly enough to prevent artillery targeting or counterattacks using FPV or ATGMs. I understand why the russians are intensively butthurt due to the loss of the village with six streets. They put in significant effort to prevent the Ukrainian Armed Forces from advancing. Defending is easier according to all norms. On the other hand, we're putting in a tremendous effort to break through. And when we succeed, it shows that our efforts are paying off Thank you for your attention. I might continue sharing in the future."
  14. RA sending elements of 76 Guards Air Assault Division from northern Luhansk to Robotyne.
  15. Ukraine — Victory Is Closer Than You Think - CEPA More optimistic opinion piece. The author's argument is that Ukraine does not have to advance that much further (10-15Km) in order to interdict Russian GLOC by fires. Again worth a read.
  16. Autumn Approaches: Part 1 - Reports by The Lookout (substack.com) A somewhat sobering analysis of the Ukrainian offensive. Worth a read even if you may not agree with it.
  17. Operation Biting - Wikipedia This one?
  18. Interesting read: Russians See Ukrainian Progress Where Others Don’t - New Lines Magazine Pretty major push back on the 'Counter offensive is failing/too slow" line pushed by some newspapers and others.
  19. Ever wondered how artillery shells are made? Oh just me then. Anyway
  20. True and what we are not seeing is any weakening of support from the 'West' either from governments or populations. IIRC support from populations has either remained stable, slightly declined or slightly increased, depending on the country. This is despite the near constant background noise from many media outlets that declining support is to be expected. The dog that didn't bark if you will. As for the military support given to Ukraine, that seems to be increasing in both volume and earlier this year, capability. Philips O'Brien has a theory that while Ukraine is perceived to be winning, the US public will by and large carry on supporting Ukraine. I don't think he means that they want to be on the winning team, more like given what's happened in the past wrt Afghanistan and Vietnam etc. they don't want costly support for regimes that are likely to fail. I'm not a US citizen and don't live there so I don't have an opinion but I'd be interested to hear whether O'Brien belief has any weight behind it from our US forum members. Either way, given Russia's strategy is for Ukraine to fail, and the plan for that failure is for the 'West' to supporting it, it's heartening to see the continuation of support, both in governments and in large sections of different societies.
  21. If you have a spare 1 and a half hours this is well worth a watch IMHO. I'm not going to attempt to summarise it It does include their take on the Prig thing but much more than that as you can probably guess from the title.
  22. Interesting. 28 CBU-72s dropped from 4 Harriers (7 each) cleared a 30 metre breach to a depth of 210 metre with an 82% probability of clearing all of the mines. I guess one obvious problem would be getting 4 Ukrainian aircraft anywhere near a minefield given the present air environment/
  23. Ages ago I read/heard that prior to either Desert Storm or the Iraq invasion that the US used a massive fuel air explosive to clear a minefield. It was the only time I have ever read/heard of this but was wondering if a) that was true? b) whether that is a viable solution?
  24. A quick analysis from RUSI about the Prigozhin mutiny/coup/thing Prigozhin’s Rebellion: What We Discovered, and What We Still Need to Know | Royal United Services Institute (rusi.org) What Putin got right stopped the situation getting out of control What Putin got wrong failed to prevent the escalation between Prig and Shoigu made decisions without being fully informed i.e. surrounded by 'Yes' men misjudged the situation What do we know No mass defections. As FSB/GRU/MOD are such top down organisations any successful future uprising will need the support of senior intelligence/MOD people Wagner is likely to be disbanded Official negotiations with Prig unlikely to be as appeared The role of Lukashenko has been much inflated Future Shoigu's position is assured, for now Unsung people will be rewarded (mentions a number of people) There will be a shake up of sorts
  25. Interesting read from Jack Watling at RUSI. Will only take a few minutes to read and well worth it Wagner’s March on Moscow Left Unresolved Challenges in its Wake | Royal United Services Institute (rusi.org)
×
×
  • Create New...