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Wicky

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Posts posted by Wicky

  1. Mmmm yes from that position it's a challenge with the already whittled and brittle low quality troops at hand against the Veteran troops - plus it was real time (not my fave way of playing) - I wondered what was going on for the first 3 minutes!

    Noticed that some buidings don't block 100% and shots pass through both ways 

    If you have got an earlier turn before contact is made I'll have a look but I wouldn't hold up much hope of turning the allies over.

  2. 4 hours ago, roadiemullet said:

    Zhao Li Jian is one of them, the guy promoting the conspiracy theory that the US army brought the virus to Wuhan

    The Chinese Ambassador to the UK Liu Xiaoming also was only a few days ago speaking on the BBC denying Huhan China was the source and pointing the finger at the French as the source of the infection.

    He also denies there are no camps in Xinjiang holding Uighurs despite all the evidence to the contrary.

    Also what was interesting was how quickly it spread from China to Iran suggesting close contacts between the two esp the Iranian higher ups who came down with Covid-19 in quick sucession.

  3. 1 hour ago, DesertFox said:

    A lot of truth here:

    People should start listening to the doctors who actually are confronted with the patients on a daily basis:

     

    Numbers are starting to accelerate and blow up in Bakersfield, despite these two doctors (who, seem to be worried about their private business as they urgent care business owners). 

    Their claim that the hospitals are empty are false  Yesterday  morning (28th April) , 31 county hospital beds are full from covid--(the ones testing confirmed, with 5 dead now,  856 "tested" positives, local prisons infected, 3,615 tests still pending results.

    Their arguments are already falling apart. Every county agency has blasted them and a gaggle of local doctors, hospitals and virologists have had them on the carpet.

    This video has been making all the conspiracy/alt-right site rounds of late

  4. 32 minutes ago, kevinkin said:

    The viral outbreak from China is not a natural disaster like an earthquake or a hurricane.

    Disagree, like Astronomers warning about meteorites and Geologists doing the same about earthquakes, it was foreseen

    “Most experts believe that it is not a question of whether there will be 
    another severe influenza pandemic, but when.” 
    (The UK Government’s Chief Medical Officer, 2002) 


    
“Wherever in the world a flu pandemic starts, perhaps with its epicentre in the Far East, we must assume we will be unable to prevent it reaching the UK. When it does, its impact will be severe in the number of illnesses and the disruption to everyday life. The steps we are setting out today will help us to reduce the disease's impact on our population.”

    
(Sir Liam Donaldson, UK Chief Medical Officer, 1 March 2005)

    And US even had pandemic prep exercises, and a prep handover between Pres. terms but IIRC all the staff involved since have departed their jobs.

    1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:

    In January a task force should have been formed to monitor the situation in China.

    CDC Epidemiologist Embedded With China’s Disease Control Agency Left Post In July Before Position Cut In September

    Reuters: Exclusive: U.S. axed CDC expert job in China months before virus outbreak
    “Several months before the coronavirus pandemic began, the Trump administration eliminated a key American public health position in Beijing intended to help detect disease outbreaks in China, 

     

    A bit like in the Cold War letting CORONA GAMBIT reconnaissance satellites lapse 😉

  5. It's like being prepared for a once in a generation natural disaster like a Tsunami. When the boxing day one struck most folk had never seen or even heard about them, so when the sea simply disappeared without warning some folk wandered down to explore the exposed seabed - not knowing the sea was going to rush back in...

    At least we've had zombie / apocalyptic movies as a kind of cultural innoculation 😉

    http://www.contactmusic.com/film/review/secret-cinema-28-days-later

    secret-cinema-28-days-later-01-670.jpg

    The set-up is very clever: you are given an appointment at an NSH hospital in a secret London location, and told to wear scrubs or protective clothing. On arrival you're handed a surgical mask and ordered here and there for interviews, physical examinations and eventually an oral vaccination that seems to make everything go blurry and then pitch black. When you "wake up" all hell has broken loose, and you are sent running through a series of blood-drenched corridors and stairwells, encountering characters and settings from the film as zombies (Covidiots) lunge from every corner. In the safe zone, food and drink is for sale, and you get a chance to relax a bit, play a game, have a dance. Finally, you're led into an inventively themed cinema to watch the 2002 film as on-screen elements are performed around you.

  6. 16 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Dumb in the sense that it's not a plan to combat a crisis, it is a reaction to not having planned to combat a crisis before it hit.  Having no well thought out and executed plan going forward is as bad as not having had one before things got bad. 

    It was in the contingency of planning for pandemic at least in the UK (based on WHO measures) - around 2006 it was thought most likely an Avian Flu.  It's having to implement it based on Covid-19s bad case infectivity and fataliity rates. 

    28 April 2006 > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4602144.stm

    WHAT MEASURES WOULD BE USED TO COPE WITH A PANDEMIC?
    In the time it takes to develop and procure the new vaccine, the following measures would be used to try to buy time and stop the virus spreading:

    Travel between the UK and infected countries restricted and health screening begun at ports
    Infected people asked to go into voluntary isolation and those who had been in contact with them into voluntary quarantine
    Public gatherings such as football matches and concerts restricted, along with movement of people within local areas
    Schools closed
    Infected people, those who had been in contact with them and possibly the general public told to wear face masks.
    In addition, government television, radio and newspaper advertisements would give simple advice on hygiene and how to avoid infection.

    IMPACT ON HEALTH SERVICES
    The government warns the "intense, sustained and nationwide" impact of a pandemic could quickly overwhelm health and social services.
    Demand on health services will increase as more people become sick and at the same time the workforce itself is likely to be depleted by sickness, caring responsibilities and deaths.
    GPs are likely to see as many as 14 million more patients during a pandemic than normal.
    Hospitals will see a rise of at least 50% in admissions for acute respiratory conditions, with at least 20,000 new patients per week needing hospitalization at the peak.

    IMPACT ON BUSINESS AND DAILY LIFE
    Transport systems, supply networks and utilities are likely to be disrupted by staff sickness and movement restrictions.
    This, plus staff sickness, will have a knock-on effect for all workplaces in the UK.
    This includes all the emergency services, the military and essential services such as fuel supply, food production and distribution and transport, as well as prisons, education and businesses.
    Employers are advised to base their contingency plans on a total of 25% of workers having to take between five and eight days off over a period of three to four months due to sickness and caring responsibilities.
    But the virus may spread faster in workplaces, hitting them harder over a shorter period of time.
    In the worst case scenario, staff absenteeism is expected to peak at a maximum of 15% at any one time.
    However, some employers may be hit harder than others.
    The virus is also expected to spread rapidly in schools, where infection rates of 90% are envisaged.
    Other institutions such as prisons and care homes will be similarly hit.
    Closing schools would have serious implications for the wider society, as parents were forced to stay home from work to care for children.
    In addition to maintaining the continuity of their work, businesses are advised to consider how they would protect the security of their premises if they were badly affected by sickness.
    They are advised to make plans to run their operations with minimum staffing, and consider redeploying staff to areas they might not normally work in or taking on additional staff or volunteers where necessary.
    Employers should also consider providing accommodation, such as bunks in temporary buildings, where staff can rest in between shifts if transport disruption or movement restrictions mean they cannot get home.

  7. Economy / Public health - Rocks and hard places that we elect & pay politicians to navigate through.... No easy answers for a quick fix.  They take advise from medics and economists and mitigate as best they can...

    20 minutes ago, Holien said:

    America survived the Spanish Flu (or should it really have been called American flu as it started in America) it will survive this but with less citizens,  the number of less depends on the approach taken.

    IMO the more people means the country is stronger and will recover quicker.

    Just finished reading Berlin - The Downfall 1945 and there are parallels with Trump's pressers and the floppy fringed moustached one's prounouncements as the Russians and allies closed in that wonder weapons (small kids armed with fausts/ hydroxychloroquine) and his armies (Steiner / Kushner) would get everything back to normal pronto.

     

     

  8. 5 hours ago, kevinkin said:

    Let’s dive back in … "herd" or naturally acquired immunity has worked for humanity aka homo sapiens for around 300,000 years. The first vaccine (small pox) was with Jenner in 1800. So we have known of man-made vaccines for 0.07 percent of humanity's existence. Naturally acquired immunity works or there would be no humans. Vaccines are efficient since you can deliver immunity before a persistent virus or bacteria strikes. Yet, you need to have isolated and studied the virus or bacteria in order to create the vaccine. The China virus is novel. It was isolated a couple of months ago. Without a vaccine, naturally acquired immunity is the only safeguard. It’s not perfect since like the common cold – viruses can mutate. Distancing helps, but is a temporary band aid. It allows time for naturally acquired immunity to gain traction. There may never be a vaccine for this China virus. If we distance for several years in a manner like the northeast is doing now, while a vaccine is (NOT) being developed, there will be nothing left of our society to live for. What is life without ballgames and Broadway? Or kids running freely on a field of play?

    So our “leaders” are depending on naturally acquired immunity gaining traction allowing them to ease restrictions. There is nothing nothing nothing other than that they can depend on. 

    Give me liberty, or give me death!

    I think South Carolina’s approach is sensible. 

    PS: I wonder what over the counter medicines people used that helped them through mild cases.? 

     

    What happens when a novel disease runs unabated through a population:

    Smallpox epidemic ravages Native Americans on the northwest coast of North America in the 1770s.

  9. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/2020/03/how-cities-flattened-curve-1918-spanish-flu-pandemic-coronavirus/

    "Social distancing isn’t a new idea—it saved thousands of American lives during the last great pandemic. Here's how it worked.

    ...studies reached another important conclusion: That relaxing intervention measures too early could cause an otherwise stabilized city to relapse. St. Louis, for example, was so emboldened by its low death rate that the city lifted restrictions on public gatherings less than two months after the outbreak began. A rash of new cases soon followed. Of the cities that kept interventions in place, none experienced a second wave of high death rates."

    Image%2525202020-04-21%252520at%2525202.

     

  10. 2 hours ago, kevinkin said:

    See if distance works. Then masks while allowing everyone to work

    Any workplace like a pork processing plant or an aircraft carrier?  In the first few weeks when you've got to get on top of any spread were there enough masks for all the population - no - there was barely sufficient for healthcare staff.

    Any place can turn into a hot spot very quickly it only takes one person in the space of a couple or three days to set off a cascade of cases 

    Places like  Russia and Sweden that followed your initial course of action are now counting the cost of delayed action.

    Maybe in a month or 3 can it be considered to begin lifting measures but one has to be very wary of it jumping right back and spreading again up due to the infecticious nature of the virus.

    B3-GD353_fallba_APP_20200218123109.jpg

     

     

  11. kevinkin So you want to instigate a state policy of Senicide / wipe out vulnerable by remaining passive and letting virus freely spread?  Potentially killing millions - as not all then could access overwhelmed hospitals and would simply die at home or on the streets including a greater proportion of folk aged under 60... Have you discussed this with your older family members?

    How old is Trump 73 - 74 years old? 

  12. 4 minutes ago, Holien said:

    You would think the process is automated but it has lots of checks and balances implemented after Dr Shipman went on the rampage and hid his mass murder...

    IIRC They've temporarily dropped the requirement for two docs for the death certificate during the outbreak.

    But there's a delay as the doc to do the DC would need to be one who had worked with the patient, and if they go off shift then it can't be done till they return etc.

    Plus there's crem forms to be completed (a doc (usually a junior doc) needs to check through medical records that there's no implants (artifical joints/ pacemakers)  that could be dangerous if the person was cremated and so would need removing beforehand) Something you pay for with funeral costs. This went up x2 after the Shipman Inquiry recommendations were implemented and used to be in the 90s about £75 - quite a perk for care of elderly docs.

    17 minutes ago, Holien said:

    Conversely in the UK there seems to be a push to report people as dying from Covid rather than other causes so our true death rates of Covid are being over egged.

    Don't forget UK figures aren't including people dying of Corvid-19 in care homes or the community as they're not being tested (only hospital admitted patients).

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