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Fenris

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    The captured CV-90

    And a captured AMX-10

    Quote

    A Ukrainian AMX-10RCR armoured fighting vehicle was captured by the Russian army- this stuck vehicle was abandoned by Ukrainian troops in Novodonetske, #Donetsk Oblast at the beginning of the last month and was recovered only now.

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    Quote

    In this video, we see wounded Akhmat retreating from Andriivka south of Bakhmut.

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1684600303532769288

    The clip is restricted so you have to click it to watch - is nothing gruesome.  Some beat up Chechen's moving away from a tiny village called Andriivka, south of Bakhmut according to this linked post.  Same vicinity that has had pressure on it for weeks.  Haven't really seen or heard much at all relating Kadyrovites since the mutiny (remember that?)

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    20 hours ago, Haiduk said:

    What is a strange flash similiar to lightning after Russian tank blew up by mine?

    Location - Berkhivka village, north from Bakhmut

    Image

     

    A new trend with the PR teams who produce these clips? (It's also occurs to me maybe we're just old and these are just effects that can be added to any tiktok clip - watch first clip below, towards the end)

     

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    More insights into RU conditions and morale. They're angry but are obviously still prepared to fight.

    Quote

    Russian occupiers from the 72nd Brigade are burying whatever is left of their comrades who were stuck in a Grad vehicle waiting for an order that never came, and condemn their leadership. The vehicle was destroyed with a precision Ukrainian strike. 72nd Brigade replaced Wagner units in Bakhmut.

     

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    Quote

    Ukrainian 2S22 Bohdana 155mm SPH in service with the 57th Motorized Brigade

    The Bohdana is a domestically produced system that utilizes NATO-standard 155mm projectiles. The first and only unit at the time was nearly scuttled to avoid capture in Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast. Units entered serial production earlier this year.

    Some nice pictures in this thread

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    I tend to agree re Robotyne.

    Sure pushing RU out of anywhere in that area is great but it's pretty obvious UKR is biding it's time.  We haven't seen any more losses of heavy equipment, it's all infantry with arty and the odd T series lending a hand doing local attacks, which is working just fine for what they are.

    Unless something significant happens I reckon the main blow will come somewhere else that is less fortified. I don't think UKR want to burn through their gear forcing the issue through Tokmak at this stage.

     

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    ISW today - actually was yesterday's report so might have already been discussed

    Quote

    Russian forces are likely responding to Ukrainian operations around Bakhmut by pulling forces from elsewhere in Ukraine. Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty reported on July 1 that Russian forces recently transferred an unspecified Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) regiment from the Lyman direction (the area west of Kreminna) to the Bakhmut direction.[21] Geolocated footage published on June 30 shows the 137th Guards Airborne Regiment (106th Airborne Division) operating south of Rozdolivka (18km north of Bakhmut).[22] A Russian milblogger also claimed that elements of the 98th VDV Division are now operating in the Bakhmut direction.[23] ISW has previously observed elements of the 237th Air Assault Regiment (76th VDV Division) and the 331st Airborne Regiment (98th VDV Division) operating in the Lyman direction, although ISW has not seen any visual confirmation of elements of either formation near Bakhmut recently.[24] Cherevaty reported that Russian forces replaced the VDV regiment in the Lyman direction with unspecified territorial defense forces, indicating that Russian forces may be redeploying more elite units to the Bakhmut area and replacing the elite units with inferior formations.[25] Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar previously stated that Russian forces transferred some of their most-combat capable units from the Kherson direction to the Bakhmut and Zaporizhia directions in the week following the start of Ukrainian counteroffensives on June 4.[26] Cherevaty stated that Bakhmut continues to offer Russian forces more propaganda value than military benefits and suggested that Russian forces may be concentrating elite forces in the Bakhmut area to preserve the perceived informational victory resulting from the capture of Bakhmut on May 21.[27]  If Russian reinforcements already sent to Bakhmut are insufficient to hold Russian gains in the area the Russian command may face difficult choices about whether to risk creating serious vulnerabilities in Kherson or Luhansk oblasts or to begin drawing forces away from southern Ukraine.

     

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    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted · Edited by Fenris

    16 minutes ago, strac_sap said:

    I engage with young adults at work constantly, and the changes due to aging in my opinions are profound. I feel like it is absolutely true that they are less motivated, find less joy in overcoming hardships towards success, and rarely even show up. But hasn't this always been the case? Haven't the older generations always lamented the youth's frivolity and laziness? So are my beliefs about this influenced by this intrinsic push towards conservatism with age? Trying to use the analytic brain and not the emotional brain here...

    I saw an amusing show some years ago called something like Grumpy Old Men. At one point the narrator read a quote with the same gist as the above.... It was penned in the 1700s. So nothing new, its society evolving.

    If you look at the young Ukrainians fighting this war I think we can see an example where they are just as capable and dedicated as any other generation. They're just a bit different and lack the years of experience and confidence that is gained with age.

    Wandering off topic so will leave it there.

    5

    How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

    in Combat Mission Black Sea

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, Grigb said:

    Exactly. From the start of the offensive, I am getting waaay less useful info from RU sources. They are all now like - Our glorious guys are holding against UKR human waves! UKR dead bodies are piling up but your guy report everything is fine!

     

    Here's an example of this kind of RU material.  This story was doing the rounds yesterday and piqued my interest.  Very quickly picked up and telegraphed by all the usual channels as well as translated into many other languages.  All of them included most of the important bits from this piece verbatim. I particularly liked the NATO deadline bit.

     

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