Girkin had a long two-post update this morning answering the question: https://t.me/strelkovii/5399
Overall, he was not particularly optimistic on the outlook for Russia.
If the fighting in eastern Zaporizhia is, as described, a see-saw battle at the moment, I hope it least gives the opportunity for the Ukrainians to attrit their forces faster, so that they can achieve their breakthrough. https://t.me/ZA_FROHT/18453