Haiduk

Bakhmut area. Despite huge losses Russians have slow advance toward Chasiv Yar. They claimed Ivanivske is under their control, but this is not true, UKR frorces stiil hold south-eastern part of settlement

Kuibyshev refinery in Samara city halted after yesterday strike. AVT-4 fractionation column was taken out. Minus 7 mln.tons of yearly output

Russian TG claims yesterday some "Commander" was in Sevastopol (unknown about whom he told - maybe Navy Commander?) also he writes not only "Yamal" and "Azov" landing ships were hit, but also middle intelligense and communication ship "Ivan Khurs"

"Birds of Magyar" hit enemy FPV crew in the house in Krynky with two "fat drones" with 1,5 kg of HE payload. First drone destroyed upper floor, the second ruined ground floor and burried Russians in the basement

At the 5:00 Russians conducted next combined strike with Shaheds and Kh-101 missiles from Tu-95. Later at 9:00 MiG-31K launched two Kh-47 "Kinzhal" missiles on infrastructure object in L'viv oblast, which was hit in previous wave. Statistic of AD work: 28 Shaheds launched - 25 shot down 29 Kh-101 - 18 shot down (among them about 10 near and over Kyiv - I woke up from loud explosion, when one missile, coming from Brovary was shot down over the forest in several km from my house) 2 Kh-47 Kinzal - no interceptions Except L'viv oblast, Kryvyi Rih city power infrastructure was hit again (it had time to work one day after reparing), so citizens again remained without electricity and heating. Port infrastructure was hit in Odesa oblast. One Kh-101 missile violatred Polish airspace and was there during 39 seconds, after this it returned on Ukrianian territory. Poland scramble own fighters, but AD systems only tracked the missile, not engaging it. Scheme of attack (without later Kinzhal launches), yellow - Shaheds, red - Kh-101

On this video men discussed why they see a smoke over the ship and after all they decided this was a smoke screen - usual thing, when Sevastopol is under attack. At the morning UKR forces repeated attack on Sevastopol. Oil depot hit in Hvardiyske (rus.Gvardeyskoye) near airfield. Ukrainian General Staff also reported two large landing ships "Yamal" and "Azov" were hit, but no photos yet. Except this confirmed the hit of BSF communication center and four other military infrastructure objects Apparently first hint that "Yamal" in not good condition after this night from local TG

More probable target of UKR attack in Sevastopol was spotted due to the video - it's BSF communication center

Interesting polling

Thanks for not blurred video ) Russian sources write about launches from 9 UKR planes (in theory 18 Storm Shadow/SCALP). Nakhimov's avenue in Sevastopol is closed. But no infrmation where our missiles hit. And this Kievan regime has crossed all boundaries. (means "dare khokhols! We struck you so heavy, but you again hit something important in our sacral city?!") Aha, 100500th red line.

Thread about situation with artillery shells in one artilery brigade (main tasks of artillery brigade is long-range firing on Russian reserves, command points, counter-battery fire) I will not translate all, just some takes: - situation with shells supply was getting worse after stopping of our offensive and most bad situation was in November 2023 - winter 2024. Often they hadn't work, because was nothing to shoot. - But even their bad situatin was even better, than in some batteries of other brigades - they hadn't work at all, because whole battery could shoot 15-20 shell for a day, so some aretillery crews were disbanded and moved to infantry - in spring situation became to getting better, but anyway they have a lack of long-range HE shells, and esapecially precisiosn ammunition. Most of their ammunition now is DPICM for mid ranges. So their main task now to support infantry in defense and eliminating of enemy assault groups. Almost no counter-battery tasks. - In conditions of artillery shells deficite, inside arty battalions became to establish FPV teams, which partially substituted a lack of precision ammunnition in close- and mid-range tasks.

Sevastopol now. Despite authorities claimed "all aerial targets were shot down" locals report about several impacts in the city. There were explosions and fire in Kazachya Bay in the place of 810th naval infntry brigade deployment. Also some office building in the city was hit with big explosion. Several buildings got damages, there are some wounded citizens. There was and explosion in Balaklava too. Let's wait for firther information about results. The impact inside the city Sounds of explosions in the darkness

And some detal of these Tajiks detaining - Russian special police serviceman (but with Black Sun chevron by some reason) or whoever it was cut the ear of this guy and forced him to chew it. After this the video was shared in TG. Russians like bloody shows Warning, grafic content! https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1771545767250956576 I wonder, how much ears now Tajik migrants teens will cut from Russian teens in own showdowns. And of course, Kadyrov already made a statement his troopers also assisted in detaining of terrorists and will be awarded.

The chief of Belarusian KGB made a statement he was in continous communication with his Russian collegue and main task of KGB was do not allow the teroorrist to cross Belarusian border. Belarusian KGG helped to detain them - this information from BelTA informatin agency. Initially there was information the car was stopped in 16 km from Belarusian border near Tyoplyi settlement. But later Dtate Duma deputy Khinshtein claimed this happened near village Khatsun' in 153 km to Ukriane and 250 km to Belarus.

Some adequate people in Russia ask - well, you are Tajiks and just made bloody murdering. Your faces are on each police patrol, around the city activated plan of interception. And you... even not wearing other clothes, sit all four in the same car, on which you arrived to make the attack, keeping own passports with you and drive... no, not to Petrovskiy market area, where huge Central Asian migrants getto, where you can just lost for authorities. You drive to Ukraine - through huge Fridays's evening traffic jams on the exits from Moscow, you drive through all these checkpoints, police, SOBR, which already hunting for you, through Rosgvardiya posts on the roads in rears of Russian troops in Bryansk oblast, through deployments of troops, through zero-lline positions, minefields, drones in the air - so even is Ukrainian side "prepared a window", what other Russian forces would be doing? And other comment form Russian social media - if you try to escape after terrorist attack to Bryansk oblast almost to Belarusian border and spend about 5 hours for this through Moscow Friday's evening traffic jams - immediatelly communicate with Formula-1, you will get a contract %)

Of course, some such percentage takes place, but main reason is a fear for own life. Modern people, who live in comfort it's have something to lose. You can be surprised maybe, but there were already dozen cases, when SBU unvealed Russian agents inside AFU - they are, sympathic of Russia, were enlisted by GRU/FSB and by own free-will mobilized themselves to army to perform espionage

No, they actively supported Putin. Though, most of Russians are indifferent to this. On their perfomance there were both "putinists" and "liberals", but more those who "we are out of policy". But in this time a policy came to them. Maybe you will be surprised, but even in Ukraine enough people continue to listen Russian rap, rock, watch their movies etc even these groups or artists openly supoprted the war. "I just like them, music/cimema is over the war and policy". These speeches you can hear even among UKR soldiers.

I know, but all consequences of this attack are benefit for Kremlin regime, not for strenghten of any ISIS group. It were many talks during the war with ISIS, that Russia also had a hand in their activity. You can find what detained Tajiks said on interrogation - it's just ridiculous - they communicate with own customers in open social media chats, got money on usual cards (and FSB with own tracking capabilities couldn't see this?), they got 500 000 RUB for such "work" - they could get the same money for signing of ciontract and first month of contract service in Russian army. This is enoug for poor Tajik in Moscow, but not enough for trained ISIS fihghter. This attack is for inner usage mostly. Many "liberal" Russians, hearing about "Ukrianian trail" will stand for Putin now - "he is evil, but Ukrainians are just demons if they hire ISIS to kill us". Russian will more calmly accept new level of dictatorship, enetering of death penalty, mobilization etc.

The look of DniproGES dam in Zaporizhzhia city after the strike. The road through the dam is opened for movement, but railway passage is destroyed in one section. There will be need some days in order experts could enter to power plant facilities (there are alot of smoke still there) and to asses the damage level and asses it was intended strike on the dam, but they missed and hit power plant facility and gas pipe (exactly this caused large fire) or they targeted exactly power plant facilities. In week before attack some Russian TGs shared information as if "UKR special services prepare destruction of the dam to blame Russia again"

I suppose it was not ISIS, but Kremlin work at all. For ISIS, more logically would be to make terroristic attack as revenge for Gaza or something else, but not against country, withstanding with West - their main enemy. There was claims about "attack on Christian gathering", but who knows, how much Muslims, except Christians or atheists were killed in this attack

Most serious incident before this took place in training center, where Tajiks shot out Slavic servicemen, which humilitated them. Usually only insults, bulling and browls between Russians and Middle-Asians. Though many of Middle-Asians are indigent low-educated Muslims and can be easily enlisted by many of Muslim terrorist organisations for not so big money. In the same way like they enlist to Russian army.

Attackers were Tajiks, they are not Caucausins. Tajikistan rejected these men were their citizens, because they already long time lived in Russia and got Russian citizenship - some of them on the eve of attack. But in Russia, especially in Moscow there are huge number of Tajiks live, involved in unqualified work - building, couriers, garbagers, janitors etc. They are not so warlike, dare and agressive like Chechens and Dagestanians, who can shoot with firearms in the center of Moscow or block the roads during marriages and police will afraid to react. Russians often treat Tajik and Uzbek workers as own servants or even slaves (oh, yeah Russians very like to be in role of "white masters" in front of non-white people - you can see alot of videos with behavior of Russian tourists in Egypt or Turkey). They can easy to offend them and even to beat up Tajik couriers if he late, for example. But in last time Middle-Asian migrants became to unite in some sort of fraterneties, and became to develop aggression to Russians, taking an example from Caucasians. In some Russian scholls already most of pupils are not Slavic, but Middle-Asians and Caucasians, so Russian kids more and more encounter with Muslim bulling and this cause a response - the growing of skinheads and other similar movements. Among Russians already many aggressive comments in social media concerning Tajiks, so with time this mutual tensions will just grow more and more. Like and in other countries, encountering with sharp increasing of alien-culture population share

ISIS Amaq news agensy issued a statement, where claimed ISIS fighters did the attack in Moscow. Allegedly on the video four men are present, weared in similar closes like and real attackers. Though, ISIS as many of other terrorists likes to take on themeselves any resonance action, to increase own authority, so this information can be fake too. About this writes SITE Group, which monitor terrorists media and TG. https://ent.siteintelgroup.com/Jihadist-Threat-Statements/is-reveals-4-fighters-involved-in-moscow-concert-hall-attack-boasts-fiercest-attack-in-years.html Comparison of persons from ISIS video and detained attackers (the link only, I can't paste a photo from TG here): https://t.me/rusbrief/213478 On other hand Russian media and TG continue to boost "Ukrainan trail" thread. NTV TV channel issued on air deepfake video, where Oleksandr Danylov, the Secreter of National Securit Council "confirms" participation of Ukriane in this attack. And here enough logical plan from the one of milblogger about why all this was need:

Well, here is our answer to Sullivan or to "anonymous sources" in influent Western medias. Kuibyshev refinery, Samara city was struck by two drones this night. Fractionating column is burning. This refinery has 7 mln.tons of year output PS. It was confusion between two refineries. Part of media write about Kuibyshevsk refinery (in Samara city), part about Novokuinyshevsk refinery (Novokuibyshev city, 15 km SW from Samara). I checked Samara VK publics - they tell about the refinery in Samara city - so this was Kuibyshev refinery (Kuibyshev is old Soviet name of Samara). Interesting, Russians rejected any thougts that UKR UAVs can reach them. They believed this is UKR refugees, enlisted by GUR launche frones from Russian territory %). "This villagers just can't do that" - chauvinistical hubris PPS. Reportedly drones also attacked and hit metallurgical plant in Staryi Oskol city, Belgorod oblast. This plant specialized on producing of special sorts of steel. Local sources say oxigen workshop building was hit, no casualties, no information about damage. The range is 900 km

Let's wait several days. As I wrote already about a week there are no strikes on refineries. Maybe we replenish the stock of drones? Or maybe it wasn't fake? Or after today's attack Zelenskyi fu..d off Sullivan and strikes will continue? Let's see...

Faces of probable shooters in Moscow - all from Ingushetia. It smelled like a "HE shugar" set by Chechens, controlled by FSB, when several houses were blown up with multiple victims. Let's see what Russia will claim in next days. Some of their officials already blame Ukraine. Next - "we need come together around our lovely strong president in his fight with world evil -> mobilization -> inner terror -> possible preparations to invasion in Baltia/Poland"