Haiduk

Situation in northern part of Avdiivka became critical. Russians captured transport depo and now try to breakthrough to railway station (SE) and strongpoint around cafe "Brevno" (NW, yellow mark), guarding coke plant from the south. General Tarnavskyi, commander OTUV "Tavria" wrote "we strenghthe the lines to hold back the enemy" - so no any words about withdrawal. If no happen something miraculous, Russians have all chances to cut Avdiivka on two parts and to block the coke plant.

Friendly mine %)

Ahah, you should put smiles )))

We had usual FPVs, then "Mamont" - the "fat FPV" has appeared, now we have "Darts" - the "long FPVs". This is winged type-FPV, but not the same as Lancet - completely other architecture and control. M2 SBU unit already operates with them. Each "Darts" complex has 10 drones and control/transmitting equipment. There are no information except these drones can carry about 3 kg of load. Their range is more than usual FPV, but some less than Lancet. But this drone complex is more cheaper. In other "serious" class of kamikadze-drones, some recently unknown UKR long-range jet drone was found in Russia More evidences, that UKR has some new EW system, which can supress Shaheds and force them to land. One more almost undamaged UAV was found in Dnipropetrovsk oblast This statistic shows since Russians (or Iranians) two months ago made some improves in Shahed design - new black composite shell, integrated SIM card of UKR cellphone operators, which probably gives opportunity of inflight change of route wapoints, resultativity of UKR AD on Shaheds reduced on 1/3. Though, this can other reason - Air Forces Command didn't count supressed by EW and landed Shaheds as shot down. They are "drones, which didn't reach aims"

A tragedy in Kharkiv. Russian attacked the fuel storage in eastern part of the city with Shaheds, Three of eight reached own target and set on fire several tanks. Leaked burning fuel spread along the street and set on fire many private houses. Seven people burned alive in own houses You can see the scale of fire In this house burned alive all family - the couple and three their children, boys seven, four and less one year old. The temperature was so huge that only ash left afer them... The question remains. What idiot filled with a fuel tanks, encircled by houses in 40 km from the border?

There are no "traditional Cossack martial arts", all what we know from the book of Guillaume de Beauplan, French engineer and cartographer of 17th century, that Cossacks liked usual fist fight and belt wrestling, no any Shaolin, like show adepts of modern-invented "martial hopak" ). Cossacks were disciplined infantry for musket firing in dense lines, so they do not need any special martial art for unarmed hand-to-hand combat, except usual brawl and sabre fight %) The version "Zaluzhnyi just showed how he would choke Zelenskyi" was thrown-in in social media by desperated Poroshenko-followers because they can't explain such behavior of general "opressed by traitors". They even told Zaluzhnyi was forced to hug Zelenskyi according to offical protocol, but by some reasons Budanov, who got the same award next, didn't hug president %) Poroshenko followers tried to organize meeting on Maidan with demand to turn Zaluzhnyi back, but only about several dozens of people came to listen several well-known public opinion leaders from Facebook, who long time have been pushing Poroshenko's agenda about "Zelenskyi and Yermak are traitors and Kremlin agents"

Syrskyi is appointed. Very controversial choice, but let's see

Several days ago UKR social media shared scandal video, where servicemen of Dnipro city special purpose police regiment (former riot police "Berkut") rejected to execute an order, transferring them to National Police brigade "Liut' " ("Rage") Moreover, personnel of the regiment became to speak typical pro-Russian stamps and insult the chief deputy of Dnipro police directorate, who came to them with the order, naming him "Maidan scum". Policemen cried "You have no right to dispose our lives!", "The law doesn't say we have to go at the war!", "We reject to execute this criminal order", We paid our debt to our state, when we defended it on Maidan under Molotov coctails!", "You can go at the war yourself!" Acording to the law any force structure during martial law is a part of Defense Forces and have to execute orders as well participate in combat if this need. The video caused the tsunamy of the hate - police, like courts and prosecutors considered by Ukranian society as more corrupted structures, which defends not a law, but thoise who have a money. By the way many servicemen in these special purpose police units (from 50-70 in the company to about 250-300 in regiment) are former "Berkut" servicemen, which were restored by court in service with support of former minister of internal affairs Arsen Avakov. Most of these units continue to be a carriers of anti-Maidan moods. Also there are many conflicts between them and AFU servicemen on checkpoints in the rear. You can see on the photo - the servicemen are very tough bulls, not 50 y.o. tired riflemen in trenches. They in perfect physical conditions, but for them easily to show own strenght and power defending interersts of corrupted system and to chase granmas, trading apples near transport stops, than go at the war. Many of them consider themselves as untouched caste and many of new guys, who came to these units quicly become the same dumb buffalos. So, society returns them the same hate, like in 2014. Despite many policemen and retired policemen enlisted to volunteer police battalions and regimnets, which in 2023 were united in "Liut' " assault brigade, police have a reservation from sending to frontline to AFU. But they can be transferred to this brigade, subordinated to National Police. Today leadership of National Police issued a reaction - Dnipro special purpose police regiment will be disbanded. All staff wiil be moved to "Liut' " brigade. Who will reject to transfer will be fired from police service and will receive mobilization summon to AFU. Let see how this ends. Many people believe these pro-Russian scum just will pay money to military medical commitee in order they "found" many deceases and recognized them unfit for service

Russians reportedly dropped yesterday on Avdiivka and around 84 gliding bombs. As if Russian commanders got the order to put a flag on the coke plant not later than Monday. Also by unconfirmed yet info, they siginficantly recuced attacks on southern flank of Bakhmut, taking part of troops from there to Avdiivka.

NLAW, the hero of first phase of the war, still in use

We use 155 mm shells even from India. I don't know about their quality, because Pakitani ammunitions had many issues 148th artillry brigade subordinates to Air Assault Troops Command

Probably a hint one famous unit on the way to the battle for Avdiivka. Very soon a big surprise expects for pidars on one of hotest points. I think, there will be alot of videos with "200th good Russians", to be precise I know that it will be. I don't know either will it change cardinally something or not, but a..ses of rusnia will in flame literally. So, if this true, political decision is fight for Avdiivka until last opportunity.

"Fat drone" with something powerful blows up Russian position in ruines of the buildng. Operator says "mr. Serhiy (Sternenko), thank you, we received your uranium ammunition, already use it"

This woman is an angel, who help to defend Avdiivka. She is a citizen of this town. She supplies FPV drones, anti-drone EW and many other stuff for guys who defend this town. Her crowdfunding campaignns already brought hundreds of drones to defenders. But with lack of shells and under endless enemy attacks the need in FPVs, thermal sights, EW, drone detectors are huge. If anybody wants to help Avdiivka defense - you can donate to her. Her goal for next batch of drones, EW and sights is 100 000 $ PayPal: yana.statna21@gmail.com

Typical dirt road in winter Ukraine... Yesterday we had +10, today +1 and snow with rain. Only tracked vehicles will survive!

The article of Defense Express (in English) about disassembling of newest jet Shahed-238, which was shot down recently https://en.defence-ua.com/analysis/jet_driven_shahed_238_disassembled_engine_from_chechia_satellite_navigation_tools_from_canada_photo-9437.html Short list of parts and country manufacturers (detailed with photos in the article): Engine TJ150 - BPS "Velka Bites" (Czech Republic) SAT navigation signal receiver TW4721- Tallysman (Canada) SAT Nav signal processing - the board with USA chips from Intel, Analog Devices and NXP USA Inc. Inertial navigation - STM Microelectronic (Switzerland) and Analog Devices (USA) Flight control board - Texas Instruments (USA)

GUR performed cyber attack on servers of Russian "Companion" software for drones flight control. As a result operators can't get acces to the servers. "Companion" software uses for upgrading firmware of drones (any new Mavick or Autel, coming to troops - both UKR and RUS gets new firmware, to not show position of launch), also this software allows to set up control panels or fly drones via PC, not control panels, and more useful usage of this soft - video and photo caturing and it transmitting through comm lines to HQs

Russian TG reports that 13 engineers desappeared after yesterday "nuke" accident in Izhevsk on the plant, producing startegic missiles. Allegedly some test works were planned on test site in 5 km from the city, but something went wrong...

Yesterday revenge strike of UKR MLRS on Belgorod. Reportedly local reinforced concrete structures factory was hit and vitamins factory. Probably some power supply object was hit, because central part of the city turned out without electricity for some time

Our Su-25 was shot down yesterday, the pilot Vladislav Rykov has died

Usually I ignore most of articles in WP/ NT about Ukraine, because many of them had been written by authors, who worked in Russia or had any relations with Russia and this is not journalistic, but sort of influence on public opinion and to sow scepticism. But this is article, despite had been written by "anonimous sources among UKR battalion and company commanders" (if I see "anononimous source", this is 50/50 BS) in whole reflects probably more significant problem, than artillery sjells shortage - the crictical lack of pesonnel in "line units" - those who hold positions and should go forward. Problems with mobilisation and failed information policy of the state in this sector led to army receive too few replenishment. And many of infantry, who come from Ukrainian tarining centers have very weak training. (My addition - existing 151st training center, established by volunteers and saved in endless wars with old soviet dumbs top brass from GS anD MoD gives very food training, but can't reterain more that 2-3 batatlions for one cycle) In conditions, when units have 30-40 % of personnel, which have no normal rest, we can't think about any offensives, And if this not be solved in short perspective, this with addition of probable US aid termination can lead to very bad consequences https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/02/08/ukraine-soldiers-shortage-infantry-russia/

For us is just two sorts of sh...t Nadezdin: "Russia will not lost SMO. I will not give the comamnd to withdraw without reconcilement of peact treaty. If there is a peace treaty - let we will discuss it. If there is no peace treaty - we will not withdraw, we will dig in on that place, which we hols ad will wait peace treaty" All difference between "liberal" Nadezhdin and "dictator" Putin is Nadezdin doesn't want furher continuing of the war and conquering of full Ukraine. But he is for Russia must save in own composition already occupied territories and Ukraine have to accept this for the sake of peace. Else Russia will fight, not advancing, but defending own territories by all means. Also Nadezhdin categorically against any reparations from Russia side to Ukraine.

This is very sad, but looks like Avdiivka battle comes to the end and, alas, not in our favor (not counting about two divisional vehicle sets, which Russians lost here). During last three days Russians captured quarry area on the NE of the town and gained foothold in dachas and first streets of northern part of Avdiivka. Yesterday they broke through overpass bridge in front of coke plant. Also reportedly for last two days Russians dropped on Avdiivka about week amout of gliding bombs. 110th mech.brigade, defending the town itself is completely exhausted, drone operators almost don't sleep by days - FPV attacks and Mavicks maintaining resistance in conditions of artillery shells shortage. But bad weather in last days limited their flights and this immediately gave opportunity to the enemy, having overhelming advantage in manpower. Russians continuously replenish own troops with fresh meat, they go forward, die and next meat come behind of them, death conveyor is working, but Russians achive own goals in this way. Our artillery near Avdiivka keep almost full silence already four days - no shells. So 110th brigade command moved to positions as riflemen almost all rear services soldiers, because no more opportunity except FPVs and contact clashes to hold this horde. But not only ammunition shortage led to this situation. - OTUV "Tavria" command (gen.Tarnavskyi) again repeated all mistakes of Bakhmut defense. Expecting that Russians will assault stronpoints (like factories in Bakhmut and coke plant in Avdiivka) directly, when they use enough flexible tactic and after first fails attacked on flanks, made many bogus small assaults to confuse about real attack directions - passivity of OTUV "Tavria" comamnd, as far as before October, when Russians recently captured Krasnohorivka and began to fill this northern "balcony" above Avdiivka with troops. - no reserve fortifications on flanks of Avdiivka. Only when Russians crossed railways, we started to establish some positions, but in conditions of unstable weather when frosts change themeselves with rains and mud it was belated idea - manpower lack and fatigue. 110th brigade two years fights in this place and never was rotated for rest in full composition. Other units, who were moved here from Zaporizhzhia front also weren't rested and replenished after summer clashes, when Russians continously were replenishing own units. - weak air defense capabilities. For whole Avdiivka battle Russians lost only one aircraft. The map of northern part of Avdiivka for 5-6th of Feb. Avdiivka is on 90 % is private 1-2 storey cottages, only on the south east from coke plant there is small "Khimic" ("Chemestrian") micro-district with multistorey urban type buildings for coke plant employees. These are so-called "Old Avdiivka" and "New Avdiivka"

Today we had next missile strike. Kyiv form 6:00 to 7:30 of morning was under attack too. about 20 missiles were shot down over the city and on approaches. Alas, fragments of one missile hit residental buulding, causing death of four people and wounding of 36. Two more were wounded in other place, where allegedly newest 3M22 "Zirkon" hypersonic missile hit the ground between two malls. This is in 5 km from my house. In result power lines was damaged, and part of our district was cut off from electricity and heating for several hours (but not our residental area) The palce of "Zirkon" (ot its fragments) impact - Air Force Command didn't claim intercepted ballistic missiles today, but also didn't mean about "Zirkon" strike. Allegedly "Zirkon" fragment with 3M22 marking, fouded near the crater. But this marking made like by hand and we have too few information about "Zirkon", so nobody now can't say for shure what type of missile it was. "Zirkon" is newest Russian sea-launched hypersonic missile with probable range 1000-1500 km and 400 kg warheed. It's not adopted yet, but reportedly first usage in Ukriane was on 29th Dec 2023, when it hit Zaporizhzhia. Some later the similar missile hit Dnipro. Curerently unknown what Russian ship on balcj sea or submarine could launch it. Russians tested it with new frigades pr. 22530M "Admiral Grigorovich" and nuclear submarine "Perm' ", but this vessels are from Northern Fleet. Allegedly "Zirkon" can be launched from upgraded launchers for "Onyx" and "Kalibr". Probably it was launced from the ground. Kharkiv also was under attack. Initially all five missiles were claimed as S-300, but later two of them were identified as N.Korean KN-23. Mykolaiv. Kh-22 missile hit on the street of private houses. In result of impact 70 houses were damaged, 2 killed, 20 wounded. Result of AD work today (morning info, while weren't clarifications of N.Korean missiles and allegedle "Zirkon"): 20 Shaheds - 15 shot down 29 Kh-101 - 26 shot down 3 Kalibr - 3 shot down 4 Kh-22 - no interceptions 3 Iskander-M - no interceptions 5 S-300 - no interceptions

Alas, it was enough typical for western Ukriane as far as since 2014. Many patriotism in speeches, portrays of Bandera, but when the war came, as far as in 2014 many men of highland regions fled to work to Europe and to... Russia. In the same way representatives of enlistment offices met in some villages by angry mobs. This is just local mentality. The state must supply us, but we don't owe anything to the state. Of course this is not bother for westren Ukriainans with pathos to tell you how only "Halychyna and Volyn boys fight at the war for this damned russian-speaking "easterners", when they (easterners) fled to western Ukraine. This is also doesn't bother to them to lease own apaprtments for refujees for cosmic money and sit in Poland, Germany and Slovakia as "refujees", getting social payments for money of local taxpayers. According to last statistic about Ukrainian refujees in Poland, among top-10 oblasts representattives, the western ones make up more than 30 %.