dan/california

Also less likely to take out a pre school if the AI loses it. That will speed the roll out in western countries. No one can possibly think the Russians and Chinese care about the safety of much off anything at this point can they? Edit: Per my post above it is an URGENT problem.

Russians getting some kamikaze drones working unfortunately. On the plus side, the Russians just can't resist the urge to off each other.

If only there was a useful simulator? Anybody heard of one?

The_Capt, you are treasure we don't deserve. It also seems to a point for the mass is dead crowd. It is just too hard to suppress every tree line in modern ATGM range. And APS doesn't solve for mines, even if they did have it.

What we really want to avoid is a repeat of the Civil War to 1914 error where where some fairly obvious lessons were ignored at truly ruinous expense.

They would be, but the fact that the Gephards have a range of 3,000 meters, and the Helicopter launched missiles have a quoted range of ten thousand meters. is problematic Which is why every Gephardt in Europe was sitting in storage at the beginning of this war as opposed to in active service. There is going to be an excruciatingly expensive new generation of Shorad systems, some sort of A.I. based drone and helicopter hunting drone, or something. Edited: for clarity plus New system of some description is on the way a defense contractor near you. NOTO's theory until now has been that the air force could handle the helicopter problem.

I resemble that remark, especially after a beer or two.

Your perspective is extraordinarily helpful as always. I do quibble a bit what Ukraine has been yelling for, they have been yelling every kind of SAM on earth that is more dangerous to the enemy than it is to its operators, due to aging rocket fuel or similar. The party line is that we are sending every system we can spare, and quite a few more besides. The fact that they wanted some tanks as well doesn't really effect the AA systems availability. And the AA systems we have sent have prevented Kyiv from being savaged, Ukraine is quite up front they need five times as many. The helicopter threat is exhibit #1 why Ukraine needs F-16s or similar. They could throw radar guided missiles at them from WAY back.

I agree with this.

It absolutely sucks for Ukraine that this happened, but the long term upside for NATO is that this is the kind of unpleasant event that can actually drive changes in doctrine.

And then...

We forget how god awful the bill can be. Montgomery had to push an entire brigade into a suicidal attack to break the German lines at El Alamein. And this was after a ~week of pressing hard. I think that battle is considered a success historically speaking. There is more fighting to come, and a lot more bleeding. We just have to see where we are in a month.

Looking at the longer arc of the war the Russians are going to really miss the ~50 KA-52s they lost up to this points, and however many of the crews they didn't get back.

If they can keep killing artillery by whole brigades this will all work out eventually. Godspeed and good hunting the Ukrainians strapping in to launch the next assault.

We need more and better mechanics for mine warfare in the next game. Their effect on the conduct of this war has been absolutely enormous.

Excellent, but all of her stuff is.

Is this real? And if is explain to me why it doesn't justify Ukraine moving right along on the escalation scale.

I think, emphasize think, that the second map demonstrates an advance from the first map.

Almost due north of Tokomak

They weren't trying to kill anybody, it was pure messaging.

They bleeping need one, I ranted about this months ago at length. https://www.facebook.com/RaytheonIntel/videos/890101412410337/ I think every single prototype laser armed Stryker ought to be in Ukraine parked next to things like Iris-T radars

Yes, we memory holed our failures in the War of 1812 utterly. I will simply point out that that the rather thorough forgetting has led to two hundred years of extraordinarily harmonious relations between the two countries, which probably makes it the most successful propaganda campaign in written history.

48 minute video! only had time to skim it but there is a lot here. Including english subtitles!