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Aragorn2002

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Posts posted by Aragorn2002

  1. 7 minutes ago, Butschi said:

     

    But to value honor, freedom and self respect higher than peace and your life is in itself already a choice you've made and a choice that was made many times throughout history (with both outcomes).

    That is not semantics. It makes all the difference in the world to make that choice deliberately or be forced to.

    Peace can only exist when there is honor, freedom and self respect. If they  are missing there ain't no peace.

    If there ever was a reason to prepare for war, it's now.

     

  2. 3 hours ago, chuckdyke said:

    Guess who said this. World War 2 was just finished. "I have no particular desire to understand them except to ascertain how much lead or iron it takes to kill them... the Russian has no regard for human life and they are all out sons-of-bitches, barbarians, and chronic drunks."

    Patton?

    Love that guy.

  3. 30 minutes ago, Butschi said:

    Your refreshingly belligerent way of communicating never fails to amaze me.

    For your education: It was part of a quote. The full one goes like this, I think:

     

    But he ain't wrong, is he?

    Playing with semantics  can be irritating, so you've asked for it.

     

  4. 3 hours ago, Aragorn2002 said:

    1. Support Ukraine to continue to fight, even if that means sending what little we have left ourselves.

    2. Rearm like mad, damn the economical consequences, no matter how painful they will be.

    3. Make it clear to our societies that this is only the beginning of a very dark time.

    4. Prepare for large scale war, because that's what we're heading for one way or the other. +

    5. Stop acting as if we have a choice in the matter.

    6. Kill them all. 🧐

    Forgot the most important one. 

  5. 1. Support Ukraine to continue to fight, even if that means sending what little we have left ourselves.

    2. Rearm like mad, damn the economical consequences, no matter how painful they will be.

    3. Make it clear to our societies that this is only the beginning of a very dark time.

    4. Prepare for large scale war, because that's what we're heading for one way or the other. +

    5. Stop acting as if we have a choice in the matter.

  6. 9 hours ago, Grigb said:

    RU is not winning this part. You read BS about Great Patriotic War.

     

    RU has no war economy. Western sanctions inflicted critical damage on RU economy ensuring slow death of RU state as we know it.

     

    You do know that RU morale is so low that Putin is afraid to call mobilization, don't you? 

     

    What drones are you talking about? RU Nat fighter from Avdiivka reported on February 9

     

    Do you talk about Shaheds? Last time I checked, 40 out of 45 were taken down.

     

    RU military production reached it's peak at the end of December. It cannot increase anymore due to lack of western heavy machinery.

     

    UKR NATO 155mm arty needs less shells as it is more effective than RU arty

     

    Last time Trump was president he b*tcslapped RU so hard that I laughed whole week reading RU Nat hysterics. 

     

    Interesting question. Given that it took RU several months of relentless meat assaults to move front just couple km west and given that there are 560 km to Kiev, RU can be expected to threaten Kiev in 233 years. EU shells will arrive long before that. 

     

    Nope, Agent Murz reports how RU learns lessons IRL

     

    Except from infamous Tolkonuk letter to Stalin about how Red Army generals learned lessons of war by the winter 43-44 

    Remove reference to Germans and it reads like description of Avdiivka battle.

     

    I dont like RU propagand but there it is.

     

    Great post. Really lifts my spirit. Thanks for that.

  7. 1 hour ago, Lille Fiskerby said:

    Well, examiming some parts:

    Attrition: Russia is winning that part, those of us that has read about the Great Patriatic War, this comes as no surprise.
    War production: Russia is winning that part, 30 % of the Russian economy is now war economy, western sanctions has not destroyed the russian economy.
    Morale: Ukranian morale is not as good as it was at the start of the war. Fatique is a problem, 6 of 7 russian drones now hit their targets, that used to be 1 out of 7 drones.
    Ammunition: Russia is winning that part with their war production, western applause in Munich does not making any 155 mm shells, if Trump wins the election US contribution will almost dissapear, the EU countries really has to step up but how long will that take ? one danish ammunition factory will be ready in .......... two years, that is way to slow.
    Combat: the russian army is learning from their mistakes, just as they did in 1941-42-43-44.

    I dont like it but there it is.

    The Russians prepared far better than we thought, that's for sure. But they can't and they won't win. Denmark gave a good example by announcing all Danish artillery will be send to Ukraine. I hope other countries will following that grand gesture. Ukraine MUST prevail and it will. The Russians didn't learn much from their mistakes, don't believe their propaganda. They want us to believe that they are winning. They are not. They are bleeding. Badly.

    The West is awake and will crush Putin and his thugs. It will take years, but we'll make them pay.  Patience and perseverance! If it takes another world war, so be it.

  8. 7 hours ago, Vacillator said:

    As posted by someone else the other day, here's another one with John Cleese and company:

    And with that I shall stop, it's silly and a bit suspect I think...

    It's glorious and hilarious, Tim. And we all know about your weakness. No need to apologize. 2024, you know. 😉

    But seriously, my friend. Thanks for that. Really made me laugh and that didn't happen a lot this week. The bewildered look of that officier at the end. Brit humor at it's best. Priceless. 😂

  9. On 2/7/2024 at 11:35 PM, Butschi said:

    Short Teaser: Actually, I didn't want to do this because there are good tools out there... but over the last year or so there were so many questions, calls for help and even an offer to pay me for making a map that I came to realize that maybe, just maybe not everyone out there is a map nerd or geodesy scholar. :D So, I have been clobbering something together that should make getting those elevation maps (and possibly OSM, too, at a later stage) into CMAutoEditor as comfortable (and fool proof!) as possible.

    More info to come but I will close with asking for help myself: Are there any volunteers out there willing to beta test this tool? If so, please PM me! 🙂

     

    Following this with great interest.

  10. 21 minutes ago, The_MonkeyKing said:

    IMO most important parts:

    "This has led to significant increases in production output. For example, Russia is delivering approximately 1,500 tanks to its forces per year along with approximately 3,000 armoured fighting vehicles of various types. Russian missile production has similarly increased. At the beginning of 2023, for instance, Russian production of Iskandr 9M723 ballistic missiles was six per month, with available missile stocks of 50 munitions."

    "Of the tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, for example, approximately 80% are not new production but are instead refurbished and modernised from Russian war stocks. The number of systems held in storage means that while Russia can maintain a consistent output through 2024, it will begin to find that vehicles require deeper refurbishment through 2025, and by 2026 it will have exhausted most of the available stocks."

    "Perhaps the most serious limitation for Russia, however, is ammunition manufacture. In order to achieve its aspiration to make significant territorial gains in 2025, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) has assessed an industrial requirement to manufacture or source approximately 4 million 152mm and 1.6 million 122mm artillery shells in 2024. Russian industry has reported to the MoD that it expects to increase 152mm production from around 1 million rounds in 2023 to 1.3 million rounds over the course of 2024, and to only produce 800,000 122mm rounds over the same period. Moreover, the Russian MoD does not believe it can significantly raise production in subsequent years,"

    "This means that to properly resource the armed forces, Russia must – in the short term – further draw down its remaining 3 million rounds of stored ammunition, though much of this is in poor condition. To further compensate for shortages, Russia has signed supply and production contracts with Belarus, Iran, North Korea and Syria, with the latter only able to provide forged shell casings rather than complete shells. Although the injection of around 2 million 122mm rounds from North Korea will help Russia in 2024, it will not compensate for a significant shortfall in available 152mm"

    "The Russian theory of victory is plausible if Ukraine's international partners fail to properly resource the AFU. However, if Ukraine's partners continue to provide sufficient ammunition and training support to the AFU to enable the blunting of Russian attacks in 2024, then Russia is unlikely to achieve significant gains in 2025. If Russia lacks the prospect of gains in 2025, given its inability to improve force quality for offensive operations, then it follows that it will struggle to force Kyiv to capitulate by 2026. Beyond 2026, attrition of systems will begin to materially degrade Russian combat power, while Russian industry could be disrupted sufficiently by that point, making Russia's prospects decline over time."

    That may all very well be true, but I'd rather count on our own strength than on the weaknesses of our enemy. The Russians are no fools and so far more resourceful than the West expected. 

    In that respect I agree with orange boy, rearming is key for NATO. Whatever the costs. The time of free riding is over. Let's hope we're not too late.

  11. 3 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    And any challenges to Trump's decisions, or lack thereof, would have to be settled in court.  That could take weeks, at best, years at worst.  And even then all Trump would have to do is continue to stonewall whatever he was obligated by the courts to do.  More time lost.

    And throughout this there would likely be an impeachment process started.  If the Republicans hold the House that would be unlikely to happen.  Which would mean more court battles.

    To put it another way... the damage Trump can do to US foreign and military policy is nearly endless, the ability to correct for it is very limited while he is in office.

    Steve

    All in all no matter how you look at it a very bad and worrying situation to face the coming difficulties or even another world conflict. 

  12. 10 hours ago, Centurian52 said:

    As I've said several times recently, I can almost guarantee that the next western front title will be in North Africa. In fact it is almost certain to be Tunisia 1943.

    They haven't gone backwards since Sicily because they prioritized finishing up the late war first. The late war is finished. There is no direction to go now but back. The next step back in time from Sicily 1943 is Tunisia 1943. It's going to be Tunisia 1943 next.

    I doubt that, but it would be nice. To be honest, I'm not really looking forward to any of the new modules/packs as announced by Steve. Just not really my cup of tea, but that doesn't mean I'm not happy for those who do like them. And I will buy them.

    For me personally it's time for some new and refreshing titles. I'm hoping for a Eastern Front module for 1943/44, but especially something unexpected and 'forum shaking', like North Africa, Finnish Winter War or Stalingrad.   

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