deanco Posted September 4, 2000 Share Posted September 4, 2000 I compare CM to another game I like a whole lot, backgammon. Why? In backgammon, sometimes its better to wait til the right, telling moment to kill (read : attack) your opponent rather than shooting at everything that moves. In backgammon, your opponent can make a very bad move. Yet, depending on your roll of the dice, that same bad roll can suddenly become a deadly, game-winning move. And finally, this is the part I'm wondering about. In backgammon, a very good player will usually win against a very poor one, but not always. Luck plays a big part. It's not like in chess, where a certain difference in ability means the other guy doesn't stand a chance in heck of winning, even if they play 100 games. My question is this : How much do you think luck plays a part in winning at CM? A lot, a little, none at all? Common wisdom states that the game backgammon is 80% luck, 20% skill. I'll throw those numbers out as a starting point, just so everyone can have something to disagree with. Finally, in one of the first books I bought on backgammon strategy, the author prefaced each chapter with a quote by Clausewitz. At the time I wondered why...I don't anymore. DeanCo-- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Check6 Posted September 4, 2000 Share Posted September 4, 2000 85% skill, 15% luck. Tough luck can kill you, but usually it can be anticipated. There are those weird instances in which your pillbox takes the first round straight through the firing slit, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SF Posted September 4, 2000 Share Posted September 4, 2000 When I play it's more like 95% luck and 5% skill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grognerd_Fogman Posted September 4, 2000 Share Posted September 4, 2000 When I played you my luck was running at bout 77% that game. I'm sure it will go up in the future... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark IV Posted September 4, 2000 Share Posted September 4, 2000 I like the backgammon analogy, though I think luck plays a bigger roll in it, than in CM. So much of backgammon is knowing the odds, and making the best of a bad thing. You can't really make luck, but you can make yourself easy for luck to find. Or be in a position to take advantage of luck that comes your way. I could use some double ones right now, in fact... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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