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As far as I understand it, the fall of Russia is event driven. But, those events depend on the Russian national Morale. So if you do very well, you never hit the "trigger" points on the national moral that activates the events that kill your NM and the revolution.

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Russia won't necessarily fall, it depends very much on its casualties and loss of territory.

In one current game I'm playing, it's the summer of 1916 and France is struggling while the Tsar is still sitting rather comfortably on his throne. So it may end up that Russia outlives France.

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