cesmonkey
-
Posts
1,294 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Posts posted by cesmonkey
-
-
Update from Konstantin Mashovets
https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/1944
QuoteReview...
As far as I understand, in the zone of operation of his group of forces (GV) "Center", the enemy will soon be able to reach the Novopokrovskoye - Umanskoye line and take control of the village of Yasnobrodovka...
Which, in principle, will remove the situation for him , to a sufficient extent, a threat from the south for his “Ocheretinsk group” - the 137th, 30th separate motorized rifle brigades (OMSBR) and the 433rd motorized rifle regiment (MSR) of the 27th motorized rifle division. (MSD).
And this, in fact, will “free their hands” in continuing the offensive in the northwestern and western directions, that is, towards the village of Lozuvatskoye, the village of Sokol and the village of Novoselovka Pervaya.
The brigades of the enemy's 41st and 2nd combined arms armies (OVA) operating in this direction are the 74th, 55th OMSBR (41st ZVA), 15th OMSBR (2nd OVA) and 114th OMSBR 1 -th AK, reinforced by a number of regiments and battalions from the territorial troops and the mobilization reserve, will obviously in the near future try to break through along two main “directorates”:
- through Vozdvizhenka towards the Pokrovsk - Konstantinovka road, probably with the goal of cutting it off at the Malinovka section - New Poltavka
- and reach the Volchya River in the section between Progress and Kamyshevka and, if possible, capture a couple of bridgeheads on it.
And at the present time, with regard to the second directorate, I do not see much difficulty for the enemy in achieving these goals...
Obviously, Yasnobrodovka and Novoselovka The First Armed Forces of Ukraine will be lost in the near future, and then the enemy will “rush” to the Lozovatskoye - Progress line ...
The final “intermediate” chord will probably be the advance of advanced enemy units to the Vozdvizhenka area.
It should be noted that in the direction of applying its main efforts, the enemy continues to have a significant advantage in forces and means and, moreover, is actively massaging them in certain areas and directions, creating “in the moment” an almost “crushing” advantage.
The enemy’s ability to actively maneuver along the front with appropriate forces and means and constantly increase the composition of his advanced strike tactical groups clearly gives him a certain head start in this regard.
From the latest examples...
- a significant replenishment of the enemy's 15th Infantry Motorized Rifle Brigade, operating in this direction... the brigade received another "marching battalion" for this
- the introduction into battle of the enemy's "fresh" 137th Infantry Motorized Rifle Brigade (from the 41st Infantry Motorized Rifle Brigade ), it is already operating in several units in the Pokrovsky direction.
In general, the situation in the Pokrovsky direction is difficult and complex, and has every chance of further deterioration...
The enemy command, in the near future, will obviously make every effort to “broaden and deepen” there is even more of it.
In this regard, I would carefully monitor the situation in the tactical rear of the enemy’s 132nd Motorized Rifle Brigade zone and the adjacent flank of the enemy’s Main Guards “Center” and Main Guards “South”. This is the direction to Alexandropol and Kalinovo, as well as the area of the village of Karlovka. After all, obviously, the enemy will in the near future try to take advantage of the results of his success in the Pokrovsky direction.
Quote2. As for the Kramatorsk direction , we can state that the enemy here is systematically and gradually trying to realize his plan regarding the immediate tasks formulated for himself. Namely:
- He managed, with the help of the forward units of the 98th Airborne Division (Airborne Division) and reinforcements, to break through into the city of Chasov Yar and take control of almost half of the Kanal microdistrict, where tough close-quarters battles are now continuing in urban areas . Most likely, he will be able to occupy it completely and go to the bridge crossing over the canal on the street. O. Koshevoy
- And he “came closely” to the “problem” of Kleshchievka - Andreevka, the advanced units of the 102nd Motorized Rifle Regiment, the 72nd Motorized Rifle Brigade and the 6th Motorized Rifle Division of the 3rd AK began active attacking and assault operations from the area of the village of Ivanovskoye along the canal - Donbass" in a southerly direction, clearly trying to "collapse" the entire defense system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces along the Klishchievka - Andreevka line, while simultaneously attacking through Klishchievka itself in a southwestern direction.
That is, the enemy command is trying to create for itself "convenient" preconditions for breaking through BEYOND the canal south of the Konstantinovka - Bakhmut road and the assault on the city of Chasov Yar from the south...
In this regard, the enemy’s attempts to actively act along the Ivanovskoye - Stupochki direction look most dangerous (of course, if he manages to push our troops BEYOND the channel from Kleshchievka before that, than he is, in fact, busy at the moment).
That is, the prospects of a frontal assault on the city of Vremya Yar “strictly from the east” by the forces of the 98th Motorized Rifle Division are clearly not very popular with the Russian command there...
Well, Somewhere, in this regard, it can be understood - the prospect of a breakthrough through the canal under fairly dense fire influence of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from positions fortified on the western bank... well, such a “solution”.
Therefore, in my opinion, in the Kramatorsk direction in the near future we will see concentrated attempts by the enemy to achieve the withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces BEHIND the canal south of the Konstantinovka - Bakhmut road...
Obviously, this kind of Klishchievsky bridgehead of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, in the context of the prospects for the assault on the city of Chasov Yar, is very Callous to the enemy
-
Update from Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi
https://t.me/osirskiy/719
QuoteFor several days in a row, he worked in military units that conduct defense at the hottest points of the Eastern Front.
The enemy continues to conduct active offensive actions of varying intensity practically along the entire front, concentrating the main efforts on the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. Here, the enemy concentrated the largest number of his assault units from eight shock brigades.
Fierce battles in these directions have been going on for several months, and during this time our soldiers courageously restrained the enemy's advance.Fighting continues in the Chasovoy Yar, Klishchiivka, and Kalynyvka districts. The enemy is trying to capture these settlements in order to expand the geography of its advance in the direction of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.
Unsuccessfully, the enemy stormed Bilogorivka, which became an eloquent example of the resilience of the Ukrainian army in the Luhansk region.
The enemy rushes to Siversk from two directions, but each time they roll back, leaving the corpses of their soldiers behind.
In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy is conducting unsuccessful actions, trying to advance deep into our battle formations and create a so-called "security belt".
In Vovchansk, the enemy is bogged down, despite the forces and resources involved, which are constantly replenished at the expense of units from other directions.In the Zaporozhye direction, the aggressor carries out offensive actions in the Staromayorske and Robotyne districts, but in fact without success.
In the Krynka area, fighting continued for the maintenance of the bridgehead and control of the islands, without significant changes in the condition and position of the parties.In these conditions, it is very important for us to maintain the occupied lines and positions, to prevent a defense breakthrough, and to destroy the enemy's manpower and equipment as much as possible.
We need to gain an advantage over the enemy, reduce losses, and most importantly, change the defensive and offensive psychology, which will be an important step on the way to our Victory!
To do this, we are focusing our efforts on improving the quality of classes with units that are undergoing combat coordination, during which issues of combating and protecting against enemy drones, moving on the battlefield, using EW devices, evacuating the wounded and many other relevant issues are worked out. in the conditions of modern combat.Only technological superiority and training of the troops will ensure our success on the battlefield!
Glory to Ukraine! -
Quote
We are talking with international partners about supplying a Patriot system to Ukraine. The Netherlands has made a radar and three launch systems available for this purpose.
-
-
1 hour ago, LongLeftFlank said:
Yeah, spoke to a guy a couple months back who was shutting down his Ukraine aid- related consultancy owing to total frustration with the local bureacrats. Not corruption so much, just total inflexibility; they only know how to quote and apply the book, no interest in the outcome.
To get anything done, you need to work with the parallel/amateur channels (Ukrainians are really great at creating those), but that's all a no-go where any kind of US aid money is involved because 'there's no accountability'.
So, unstoppable dumb meets immovable stupid.....
I speculate that they "follow the book" to reduce the chance of corruption. Not an easy problem to solve.
-
Update from Konstantin Mashovets
https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/1940
Here's part two:
Quote2. In the Pokrovsky direction, the troops (forces) of the enemy group (GV) “Center” continue persistent attacks in the northwestern direction.
Probably, the advanced units of the enemy's 30th separate motorized rifle brigade (OMSBR), in cooperation with the 35th MRB and at least one motorized rifle regiment of the 27th motorized rifle division (MSR), most likely the 433rd MSBR, succeeded within several occupy the village of Novoaleksandrovka for a day and move north of the railway, towards the village of Lozovatskoye.
In general, as far as I understand, the Ukrainian command has not yet been able to cope with the crisis, which, obviously, has arisen in almost the entire zone of action of the enemy GV "Center"... It has
not yet been possible to stop the advance of the enemy's advanced units in the Ocheretino-Vozdvizhenka direction , as well as to the south (in the Umansky area, in the direction of Yasnobrodovka and two “axial directorates - Novopokrovskoye - Novoselovka Pervaya and towards the village of Sokol)
In addition, after the obvious tactical success of the enemy in the southern part of this strip (the area with ... In this regard, the “extreme need” for him to advance to the Sokol-Novopokrovskoye line is, obviously, gradually disappearing, although, of course, it remains quite desirable. After
all, his advanced units are gradually moving towards the village of Novoselovka Pervaya in a different direction - from the south. , which, by and large, is even “deeper” in securing the southern flank of the “Ocheretinsk” group than the above line.
In general, with the further increase of the enemy’s efforts in this direction (and it, obviously, will be so...), we have every prospect of getting not just tactical, but significant operational troubles...
At the moment, in the Pokrovsky operational direction ALREADY we have a full-scale tactical crisis, and if the enemy additionally brings in 2-3 more motorized rifle brigades (msbr) + 3-4 motorized rifle brigades... then in this case I don’t even see much difficulty for him in terms of turning these tactical successes into operational ones. ..
Obviously, the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this direction do not yet have the ability to either stop or “stop” the enemy’s offensive, which already has a steady tendency to grow in scale.
Moreover, in my opinion, due to his latest tactical successes in this direction, the “variability” of his POSSIBLE further actions begins to increase before the enemy command...
In this regard, the fact that the enemy is persistently trying to advance in the western and northern - in western directions, but at the same time “does not force events” in the zone of operation of its 132nd Omsk Rifle Brigade,for example in the direction of Kalinovo or Alexandropol...
In other words, he is trying to get “as deep as possible” BEHIND the right flank of our Toretsk tactical group from the south to the Pokrovsk – Konstantinovka road.
What will happen next, I think... there is no need to explain..
-
Has anyone heard more details on the loss / withdrawl from the Krynky bridgehead and what transpired?
-
Hmmm ...
-
A busy day:
-
Commander-in-Chief of the AFU
https://t.me/osirskiy/715QuoteThe war does not stand in the way of changes in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
We continue to improve the structures of military management. Our main task is to make the military command system more effective and eliminate duplication of functions.
These measures are carried out as part of the implementation of the strategy for the development of the types and separate branches of the Armed Forces of Ukraine until 2035.For the first time, we are planning ten years ahead.
In the same context, the formation of the Forces of unmanned systems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being carried out.
In addition, optimization of the staffing structure of the units of the General Staff continues. In particular, their number is decreasing and they are getting rid of extraneous functions. Thanks to this, the military management bodies that command the troops in the areas of hostilities have already been strengthened.Our goal, despite Russian aggression, is to create a promising structure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for the period before joining NATO.
-
-
Quote
This Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) package, which has an estimated value of $225 million, will provide Ukraine additional capabilities to meet its most urgent battlefield needs, such as: air defense interceptors; artillery systems and munitions; armored vehicles; and anti-tank weapons.
The capabilities in this announcement include:
Missiles for HAWK air defense systems;
Stinger anti-aircraft missiles;
Ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);
155mm Howitzers;
155mm and 105mm artillery rounds;
81mm mortar systems;
M113 Armored Personnel Carriers;
Trailers to transport heavy equipment;
Coastal and riverine patrol boats;
Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided (TOW) missiles;
Javelin and AT-4 anti-armor systems;
Small arms ammunition and grenades;
Demolitions munitions;
Night vision devices; and
Spare parts, maintenance, and other ancillary equipment. -
From Ukrainian Konstantin Mashovets:
https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/1934Quote
In the Pokrovsky direction , the enemy apparently managed to “catch on” to Novoaleksandrovka and provide the left flank of his Ocheretinsky group with an advance to the Sokol-Novopokrovskoye line.
In the Kramatorsk direction , the enemy is expanding the area of control, where he managed to reach the Seversky Donets - Donbass canal, south of the city of Chasov Yar, and also advance south of the "Novy" microdistrict of the city of Chasov Yar.
Obviously, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have not yet been able, unlike the Kharkov operational direction, to stop the enemy’s offensive in the Eastern operational zone - neither in the Pokrovsky nor in the Kramatorsk directions.
There will be no review tomorrow morning due to “technical reasons”.
-
Quote
“We will announce the sale of Mirage 2000-5s” on Friday during Volodymyr Zelensky's visit to France, the French president said in an interview on TF1 and France 2, at the end of a day of commemorations of the D-Day landings on June 6, 1944, to which the Ukrainian president was invited.
-
Another update from Commander Oleksandr Syrskyi
https://t.me/osirskiy/713
QuoteI consider one of my strategic tasks the transformation of the Ukrainian army into a high-tech army, in which the fighters will be maximally equipped with technologies, which will help not only to have an advantage over the enemy, but also, most importantly, to save the lives of our soldiers.
As part of this task, he held a meeting of the working group on unmanned systems. Together with the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Major General Anatoly Bargilevich, the Minister of Digital Transformation, Mykhailo Fedorov, and unit commanders, they determined the priorities for the development of ground, sea, and air unmanned systems and outlined key tasks at all levels.
The field commanders known to you by the callsigns Veres, Magyar and Achilles have unique combat experience in deploying, supplying and debugging unmanned systems. It is critical to have a common understanding of the future development of these technologies and to be aware of the challenges that lie ahead.
We have already seen the impressive results of unmanned systems and the teams that use them, in particular on the hot Kharkiv route.
Moreover, Ukrainian naval drones displaced the enemy from the Ukrainian waters of the Black Sea.
We plan to continue to improve logistics, supply chains, workshop operations, communication organization, personnel training, recruiting capable crews for unmanned units, research and experimental work, removing bureaucratic barriers, in particular, when it comes to writing off lost drones.The forces of unmanned systems are a type of military that must constantly improve in the face of new challenges and realities.
I plan to regularly hold such meetings. We will be flexible, dynamic and proactive. Only in this way will we be able to build the army of the future.
-
-
-
-
-
Update from commander Oleksandr Syrskyi:
https://t.me/osirskiy/712
QuoteOnce again, he worked in the area of active hostilities on the Kharkiv and Kupyan directions of the Eastern Front.
The enemy continues to carry out offensive actions, concentrating the main efforts on the Kurakhiv, Pokrovsky, Kupyan, Kharkiv directions. In addition, it conducts active assault operations in Vovchansk and on the approaches to Chasovoy Yar with the aim of capturing and taking control of these two settlements.
In other directions, the enemy is conducting offensive actions with the aim of stretching the line of the active front, restraining our troops and preventing them from being transferred to other areas of hostilities.
In general, the situation remains difficult due to the high intensity of hostilities and the widespread use of armored vehicles by the enemy, as well as the use of a significant number of guided aerial bombs.
In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy concentrates its main efforts and tries to advance towards Hlyboke - Lypka, but suffers significant losses and does not succeed.
In Vovchansk, our main task at this stage is to restrain the enemy, inflict maximum losses on him and gradually move forward to liberate our territories.
The situation in the Kupyansk region is difficult. The enemy is trying to break through the defense of our troops from two directions. Fierce fighting continues. Our task is to stop the enemy and force him to go on the defensive.
My task is to provide this direction with a sufficient amount of ammunition and combat-ready reserves, which will allow to significantly strengthen the defense.
Despite all the complexity of the situation, we have chances to change the situation in our favor. And the defense forces are doing everything possible for this.
I would like to note the efficient work of most commanders and staffs. The commanders of our units are fully aware of the situation, skillfully use all types of weapons, especially attack drones of all types. And I also thank the soldiers, sergeants and junior officers for their steadfastness and courage.
Together we will defeat the enemy!
Glory to Ukraine! -
-
Quote
“We were keeping a close watch on what’s happening in Ukraine to make sure that we had those requirements right,” he added.
While he didn’t go into specifics about each team’s proposal, he said the vehicles are being designed to withstand blasts from below and the top, once again with the specific loitering munition and FPV drone threat in mind. The designs also provide crewmembers with a “slightly larger” physical envelope, and include a hard-kill active protection system.
Rheinmetall and GDLS are proposing countermeasure packages that can shoot down threats, jam communications and “potentially hide the vehicle and prevent it from being seen in the first place,” Norman said.
“All of those things are in consideration and the vendors are figuring out which of those capabilities they should offer to the government in their proposals,” the one-star general added. “So we haven’t changed the requirements but we are very much in conversation with both vendors going through design reviews.”
The industry source said the two competitors are closely monitoring emerging threats as they finalize designs, asking for insights on Army combat vehicle formation changes and leaning on the modular open systems architecture (MOSA) for flexibility.
-
Another busy day:
-
Russian telegrammer Two Majors on the Zaporizhzhia front on the dangers of Ukrainian drones:
https://t.me/dva_majors/44195
QuoteThey write to us from the Zaporozhye Front:
🖋I wish you good health!
I would like to report on the situation and write recommendations in the Zaporozhye direction. Ukrainian reconnaissance actively uses drones of various types - reconnaissance, attack - kamikaze and even redirecting signals from our headsets. In addition, their artillery calibrates their fire using drones, making their attacks more accurate. Electronic warfare is blocking our communications and navigation. Therefore, camouflage and cover become vital. The ban on movement during the day was introduced for a reason.
Unfortunately, we have lost many people precisely because of non-compliance with these rules. They detect any movement and open fire. There were cases when guys a few hundred meters from the positions went out to eat or just breathe out - and received shrapnel wounds.
Safety rules are now very strict, and breaking them means being irresponsible with your life.
Disguising equipment and shelter is also the number one security issue. Khokhol directs the artillery and records the coordinates for each flash. Therefore, even a slight movement of cars can cause an artillery strike. We constantly update camouflage nets, collect fresh vegetation, and so on, so as not to give away positions.
Near the front line the situation is even worse. There, evacuation is a real roulette. In a matter of minutes you can lose a lot of blood, and the ambulance transport will not have time to arrive; there is not always enough of it! This leads to severe irreversible consequences.
Therefore, there we try to stay as collected as possible and not take risks unless absolutely necessary. In general, the situation is very tense, but we hold on! We must strictly follow the rules - this will help us survive. If someone forgets about safety even for a minute, there can be extremely negative consequences both for himself and for the entire group.
I hope this information will help you gain a better understanding of the realities on the front lines and help you prepare appropriately. Be careful and vigilant!
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
https://unn.ua/en/news/in-odessa-there-was-a-clash-between-ambulance-workers-and-employees-of-the-military-enlistment-office-the-shopping-center-reacted